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Niva vs Ostrovets FC Result & Analysis

Date: 28/10/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
Niva
Niva
Vs
23%
20%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niva win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC win✗ Miss
56.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NivaNiva

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-652W03L12L12L12L14L11D20W10W36LH·VOL16/08A·FC 20/08H·ZHO27/08A·FC 10/09H·LID16/09A·ARS24/09H·LOK01/10A·BAR08/10H·SLO15/10A·ML 21/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.562.191.622.311.502.07
vs Stronger (2)1.505.500.005.003.006.00
vs Similar (21)1.572.191.702.401.452.00
vs Weaker (4)1.500.502.000.501.000.50
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-750W25L21W31W31W44D70W14L03L03LA·SLO15/08H·ML 19/08A·MOL03/09H·SHA09/09A·OSI17/09H·ORS23/09A·BUM30/09H·VOL07/10A·FC 14/10H·ZHO22/10
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.901.312.122.291.64
vs Stronger (8)0.883.250.603.401.333.00
vs Similar (18)1.941.441.671.442.221.44
vs Weaker (4)2.751.251.502.004.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%06%116%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.4%
Under 1.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
75.8%
Under 2.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.4%
No
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.6%
1-1 ✓
7.8%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-3
5.4%
0-3
4.5%
Niva goals ↓
Ostrovets FC goals →
01234
02.6%3.9%5.6%4.5%2.7%
12.2%7.8%8.6%7.0%4.2%
22.2%5.4%6.6%5.4%3.3%
31.1%2.8%3.4%2.8%1.7%
40.4%1.1%1.3%1.1%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niva goals (down), columns = Ostrovets FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.53
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.28
FC Vitebsk
2.28
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.94
ML Vitebsk
1.91
Baranovichi
1.50
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.44
Volna
1.34
Lida
1.28
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.28
Niva
1.28
Ostrovets FC
1.22
Bumprom
1.19
Orsha
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.69
Slonim
0.69
Osipovichy
0.16
Niva is 0.06 points better than Ostrovets FC in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.69
ML Vitebsk
2.62
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.34
FC Vitebsk
2.12
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.94
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.72
Ostrovets FC
1.69
Niva
1.66
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.59
Orsha
1.56
Baranovichi
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Lida
1.38
Volna
1.28
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.03
Slonim
0.81
Osipovichy
0.66
Niva is 0.03 goals worse than Ostrovets FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.69
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.75
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.94
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.25
Lida
1.50
Baranovichi
1.53
Volna
1.53
ML Vitebsk
1.62
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.75
Orsha
1.94
Ostrovets FC
1.94
Bumprom
1.94
Slonim
1.97
Niva
2.06
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.25
Osipovichy
2.66
Niva is 0.12 goals worse than Ostrovets FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.06 vs 1.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W00D12L02L00D10W00D02LH·VOL16/08A·FC 20/08H·ZHO27/08A·FC 10/09H·LID16/09A·ARS24/09H·LOK01/10A·BAR08/10H·SLO15/10A·ML 21/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.561.110.691.080.431.14
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.521.140.701.100.361.18
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.000.501.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W03L10W21W01L11D30W11D01L01LA·SLO15/08H·ML 19/08A·MOL03/09H·SHA09/09A·OSI17/09H·ORS23/09A·BUM30/09H·VOL07/10A·FC 14/10H·ZHO22/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.500.940.710.50
vs Stronger (8)0.121.120.001.600.330.33
vs Similar (18)0.720.610.780.670.670.56
vs Weaker (4)1.000.500.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W02L02L12L00D12L11D10W10W34LH·VOL16/08A·FC 20/08H·ZHO27/08A·FC 10/09H·LID16/09A·ARS24/09H·LOK01/10A·BAR08/10H·SLO15/10A·ML 21/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.070.921.231.070.93
vs Stronger (2)1.503.500.003.003.004.00
vs Similar (21)1.051.051.001.301.090.82
vs Weaker (4)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W22D11D10W30W33D40W03L02L02LA·SLO15/08H·ML 19/08A·MOL03/09H·SHA09/09A·OSI17/09H·ORS23/09A·BUM30/09H·VOL07/10A·FC 14/10H·ZHO22/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.170.811.191.571.14
vs Stronger (8)0.752.120.601.801.002.67
vs Similar (18)1.220.830.890.781.560.89
vs Weaker (4)1.750.751.001.502.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.575.8%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes72.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
FV (13)
€2m
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
FDM (6)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
NIV wins
1
Draws
0
OF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Niva vs Ostrovets FC · H/A from NIV
DateH/AGameScore
24/06/23AOstrovets FC Vs NIV1-1

NivaNiva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23AML Vitebsk Vs NIV6-3
15/10/23HNIV Vs Slonim1-0
08/10/23ABaranovichi Vs NIV0-2
01/10/23HNIV Vs Lokomotiv Gomel1-1
24/09/23AArsenal (Belarus) Vs NIV4-1
16/09/23HNIV Vs Lida1-2
10/09/23AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs NIV2-1
27/08/23HNIV Vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe1-2
20/08/23AFC Vitebsk Vs NIV3-0
16/08/23HNIV Vs Volna5-2

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/23HOF Vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe0-3
14/10/23AFC Vitebsk Vs OF3-0
07/10/23HOF Vs Volna1-4
30/09/23ABumprom Vs OF0-7
23/09/23HOF Vs Orsha4-4
17/09/23AOsipovichy Vs OF1-3
09/09/23HOF Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov3-1
03/09/23AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs OF1-2
19/08/23HOF Vs ML Vitebsk2-5
15/08/23ASlonim Vs OF0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.15
HomeWLLDW1.08
AwayLLLWL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%31%36%
AVG goals3.743.923.57
Over 1.5 %85%92%79%
Over 2.5 %67%77%57%
Over 3.5 %44%46%43%
Scored1.561.621.50
Conceded2.192.312.07
BTTS67%69%64%
Clean Sheet15%8%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.48
HomeLWDLL1.36
AwayWWWWL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals3.483.483.48
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %68%64%72%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored1.781.601.96
Conceded1.701.881.52
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)3281
81%
2.5
8630+56
3.6
84%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3273
69%
2.3
7524+51
3.1
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.8
-
3FC VitebskFC Vitebsk3273
72%
2.3
6822+46
2.8
72%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2012.10.7
-
4Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3262
59%
1.9
5540+15
3.0
88%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.2
-
5ML VitebskML Vitebsk3261
59%
1.9
8452+32
4.2
94%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.61.6
-
6BaranovichiBaranovichi3248
44%
1.5
4649-3
3.0
81%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.5
-
7Zhodino YuzhnoeZhodino Yuzhnoe3246
41%
1.4
6252+10
3.6
88%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
8VolnaVolna3243
38%
1.3
4149-8
2.8
72%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
9LidaLida3241
38%
1.3
4448-4
2.9
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.5
-
10Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43241
34%
1.3
5156-5
3.3
88%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.8
-
11NivaNiva3241
38%
1.3
5366-13
3.7
88%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.72.1
-
12Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3239
31%
1.2
5462-8
3.6
84%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.9
-
13BumpromBumprom3238
31%
1.2
4562-17
3.3
88%
66%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
14OrshaOrsha3231
25%
1.0
5062-12
3.5
88%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
15SlonimSlonim3222
16%
0.7
2663-37
2.8
62%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
16Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3222
19%
0.7
3372-39
3.3
81%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy325
3%
0.2
2185-64
3.3
84%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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