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Njardvik vs Leiknir R. Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 3-1
Njardvik
Njardvik
Vs
58%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Njardvik win✓ Hit
58.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. win✗ Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W51W11D10W22D30W21W21W23L13LH·KEF26/06A·GRI03/07A·VÖL12/07A·FYL18/07A·IR 25/07H·HK 29/07H·SEL08/08A·FJO13/08H·THR17/08A·THO23/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.332.071.001.941.62
vs Stronger (6)2.171.502.001.252.502.00
vs Similar (21)1.901.331.780.892.001.67
vs Weaker (3)2.331.005.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L02L11D01L02L23L10W21W11DA·SEL27/06H·FJO04/07A·THO12/07H·THR18/07A·HK 25/07H·KEF29/07A·GRI08/08H·FYL13/08A·VÖL17/08H·IR 23/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.071.591.821.622.38
vs Stronger (17)1.652.881.382.751.893.00
vs Similar (13)1.541.001.781.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
3-1 ✓
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
Njardvik goals ↓
Leiknir R. goals →
01234
05.2%3.7%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.7%11%5.3%2.0%0.5%
28.9%9.9%5.5%2.0%0.6%
36.1%6.8%3.8%1.4%0.4%
43.2%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Njardvik goals (down), columns = Leiknir R. goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Thor Akureyri
2.05
Njardvik
1.92
HK Kopavogur
1.84
Keflavik
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.71
IR Reykjavik
1.68
Völsungur
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.05
Fylkir
1.05
Grindavik
0.95
Selfoss
0.86
Fjolnir
0.68
Njardvik is 0.87 points better than Leiknir R. in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Keflavik
2.44
Thor Akureyri
2.32
Njardvik
2.17
HK Kopavogur
2.12
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
1.73
IR Reykjavik
1.73
Völsungur
1.64
Fylkir
1.55
Fjolnir
1.45
Selfoss
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.09
Njardvik is 1.08 goals better than Leiknir R. in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Njardvik
1.21
IR Reykjavik
1.23
Thor Akureyri
1.41
Fylkir
1.45
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Keflavik
1.64
Leiknir R.
1.82
Throttur Reykjavik
1.83
Selfoss
2.00
Völsungur
2.36
Fjolnir
2.41
Grindavik
2.77
Njardvik is 0.61 goals better than Leiknir R. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NjardvikNjardvik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W10W00D10W10W11D00D12L02LH·KEF26/06A·GRI03/07A·VÖL12/07A·FYL18/07A·IR 25/07H·HK 29/07H·SEL08/08A·FJO13/08H·THR17/08A·THO23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.860.360.810.75
vs Stronger (6)0.830.671.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.620.560.330.920.83
vs Weaker (3)1.330.003.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L01L01L01L22D00D10W01LA·SEL27/06H·FJO04/07A·THO12/07H·THR18/07A·HK 25/07H·KEF29/07A·GRI08/08H·FYL13/08A·VÖL17/08H·IR 23/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.100.470.940.851.31
vs Stronger (17)0.651.650.251.621.001.67
vs Similar (13)0.620.380.670.330.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NjardvikNjardvik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D01L10W12L20W10W21W11D11DH·KEF26/06A·GRI03/07A·VÖL12/07A·FYL18/07A·IR 25/07H·HK 29/07H·SEL08/08A·FJO13/08H·THR17/08A·THO23/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.771.210.641.120.88
vs Stronger (6)1.330.831.000.752.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.140.711.220.561.080.83
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D10W00D01L01L10W11D10WA·SEL27/06H·FJO04/07A·THO12/07H·THR18/07A·HK 25/07H·KEF29/07A·GRI08/08H·FYL13/08A·VÖL17/08H·IR 23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.971.120.880.771.08
vs Stronger (17)1.001.241.121.120.891.33
vs Similar (13)0.920.621.110.670.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
Njardvik and Leiknir R. have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Njardvik and Leiknir R. have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Njardvik and Leiknir R. have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
Njardvik and Leiknir R. have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
NJA wins
1
Draws
2
LR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Njardvik vs Leiknir R. · H/A from NJA
DateH/AGameScore
20/06/25ALeiknir R. Vs NJA1-1
18/07/24HNJA Vs Leiknir R.3-2
03/05/24ALeiknir R. Vs NJA1-2
02/09/23HNJA Vs Leiknir R.2-4
02/07/23ALeiknir R. Vs NJA3-0

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AThor Akureyri Vs NJA3-1
17/08/25HNJA Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-3
13/08/25AFjolnir Vs NJA1-2
08/08/25HNJA Vs Selfoss2-1
29/07/25HNJA Vs HK Kopavogur3-0
25/07/25AIR Reykjavik Vs NJA2-2
18/07/25AFylkir Vs NJA0-1
12/07/25AVölsungur Vs NJA1-1
03/07/25AGrindavik Vs NJA1-5
26/06/25HNJA Vs Keflavik3-1

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HLR Vs IR Reykjavik1-1
17/08/25AVölsungur Vs LR1-2
13/08/25HLR Vs Fylkir1-0
08/08/25AGrindavik Vs LR3-2
29/07/25HLR Vs Keflavik0-2
25/07/25AHK Kopavogur Vs LR1-0
18/07/25HLR Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-1
12/07/25AThor Akureyri Vs LR2-0
04/07/25HLR Vs Fjolnir0-1
27/06/25ASelfoss Vs LR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.58
HomeWWWWL1.74
AwayDWDWL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%33%
AVG goals3.203.043.33
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %44%39%48%
Scored1.862.001.74
Conceded1.341.041.59
BTTS70%57%81%
Clean Sheet24%35%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.00
HomeLDLWD1.11
AwayDLLLW0.87
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals3.383.153.65
Over 1.5 %72%74%70%
Over 2.5 %54%52%57%
Over 3.5 %42%41%43%
Scored1.421.411.43
Conceded1.961.742.22
BTTS60%63%57%
Clean Sheet10%15%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NjardvikNjardvik2446
54%
1.9
5229+23
3.4
96%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2546
56%
1.8
5338+15
3.6
92%
80%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
3Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2245
64%
2.0
5131+20
3.7
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.4
-
4KeflavikKeflavik2543
52%
1.7
6141+20
4.1
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.41.6
-
5Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2441
50%
1.7
4844+4
3.8
96%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2237
45%
1.7
3827+11
3.0
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7VölsungurVölsungur2225
32%
1.1
3652-16
4.0
95%
77%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.4
-
8FylkirFylkir2223
27%
1.0
3432+2
3.0
91%
64%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2223
27%
1.0
2440-16
2.9
77%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.8
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2221
27%
1.0
3861-23
4.5
100%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.8
-
11SelfossSelfoss2219
27%
0.9
2544-19
3.1
95%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12FjolnirFjolnir2215
14%
0.7
3253-21
3.9
95%
77%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.4
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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