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Njardvik vs Vestri Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Njardvik
Njardvik
Vs
62%
18%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Njardvik faces Vestri in the Iceland: 1. Deild. Vestri's recent form is concerning, coming off a 0-3 defeat, while Njardvik is on a 2-game winning run. However, Vestri has struggled away from home, scoring just 0.86 goals on average against stronger opponents. Njardvik has excelled at home, scoring 3.6 goals on average, with a low 1.4 conceded. The model predicts a home win, with a 49% chance of Njardvik emerging victorious. The expected total goals is 3.8, with the most likely score being 1-1 at 8.7%. The model's selection is the home win, where it disagrees with the market. The model also suggests Over 1.5 (90.1%), Over 2.5 (73.2%), and BTTS Yes (72.2%), with significant edges in the latter two selections. The probabilities for home win, draw, and away win are 49%, 22%, and 29% respectively.

Results analysis

Njardvik's 3-1 victory over Vestri extends their 3-game winning run. The win comes as no surprise, given the model's pre-match prediction of a home win, which had a 62% probability of occurring. The model's call was correct, as Vestri struggled on the road, particularly against stronger opponents. The model's selection of Njardvik to win also came in, with the home side's average goal tally at 3.6 and average conceded at 1.4. Meanwhile, the model's selections of Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals hit, with probabilities of 95.1% and 84.3% respectively. Additionally, the model's prediction of BTTS Yes also came to fruition, with a 78.3% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Njardvik win✓ Hit
62.0%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.50
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Dafabet
1.54
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Draw✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.22
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.53
Dafabet
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
Betfair
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Vestri win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 4.95
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.28
Pinnacle
5.14
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
5.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D10W15L52W10W25L54W14L32W10WH·GRI13/02H·KA 21/02A·KR 28/02H·HVÍ30/03A·TIN03/04A·AFT13/05H·GRI10/07A·FYL17/07H·HK 24/07A·ÆGI28/07
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.672.711.501.561.81
vs Stronger (5)2.000.803.001.001.330.67
vs Similar (23)2.221.962.671.581.732.36
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VestriVestri

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L25L22D10W04L25L03L26L11D03LA·HK 18/02A·FRA28/02A·STJ17/03H·LEI11/04H·GRO14/05H·FYL13/07H·QAR16/07A·HK 20/07H·RĪG30/07H·GRO03/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.430.812.501.212.36
vs Stronger (8)0.751.880.332.001.001.80
vs Similar (21)1.052.710.922.621.252.88
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%16%24%32%1%03%111%216%319%417%532%6+
The model estimates around 4.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (32%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
95.1%
@ 1.12+12.6%
Under 1.5
4.9%
@ 5.27-12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.20
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.44+20.6%
Under 2.5
15.7%
@ 2.53-20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Under
BetVictor
2.63
Unibet
2.63
Pinnacle
2.61
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.4%
@ 2.12+24.8%
Under 3.5
31.6%
@ 1.64-24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
78.3%
@ 1.54+18.5%
No
21.7%
@ 2.28-18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
No
Unibet
2.45
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.27

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.1%@ 7.21+1.1%
3-1 ✓
6.9%@ 9.96+2.6%
2-2
6.1%@ 12.00+2.5%
3-2
6.0%@ 16.08+3.3%
1-1
5.3%@ 7.89-0.1%
4-1
5.1%@ 16.95+2.5%
4-2
4.4%@ 26.28+2.7%
1-2
4.2%@ 14.07+1.1%
Njardvik goals ↓
Vestri goals →
01234
01.4%1.2%1.4%0.8%0.4%
12.3%5.3%4.2%2.4%1.0%
24.1%7.1%6.1%3.5%1.5%
34.0%6.9%6.0%3.4%1.5%
42.9%5.1%4.4%2.5%1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Njardvik goals (down), columns = Vestri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Njardvik is 1.25 points better than Vestri in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Njardvik is 1.44 goals better than Vestri in terms of goals scored per game (2.44 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Njardvik is 0.74 goals better than Vestri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 2.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NjardvikNjardvik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W00D12L50W00D01L33D04L11D10WH·GRI13/02H·KA 21/02A·KR 28/02H·HVÍ30/03A·TIN03/04A·AFT13/05H·GRI10/07A·FYL17/07H·HK 24/07A·ÆGI28/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.360.640.750.62
vs Stronger (5)1.200.002.500.000.330.00
vs Similar (23)1.000.831.170.750.820.91
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VestriVestri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D21W21W00D04L05L02L04L11D02LA·HK 18/02A·FRA28/02A·STJ17/03H·LEI11/04H·GRO14/05H·FYL13/07H·QAR16/07A·HK 20/07H·RĪG30/07H·GRO03/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.300.381.560.711.00
vs Stronger (8)0.621.250.331.330.801.20
vs Similar (21)0.481.380.381.620.621.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NjardvikNjardvik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W03L02L10W24L21W10W21W00DH·GRI13/02H·KA 21/02A·KR 28/02H·HVÍ30/03A·TIN03/04A·AFT13/05H·GRI10/07A·FYL17/07H·HK 24/07A·ÆGI28/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.031.360.860.811.19
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.501.001.000.67
vs Similar (23)1.221.131.500.830.911.45
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VestriVestri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L01L10W00D20W01L22D00D01LA·HK 18/02A·FRA28/02A·STJ17/03H·LEI11/04H·GRO14/05H·FYL13/07H·QAR16/07A·HK 20/07H·RĪG30/07H·GRO03/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.130.440.940.501.36
vs Stronger (8)0.120.620.000.670.200.60
vs Similar (21)0.571.330.541.000.621.88
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.595.1%1.12
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+12.6%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes78.3%1.54
William Hil
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
+18.5%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Njardvik and Vestri have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Njardvik and Vestri have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Njardvik and Vestri have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Njardvik and Vestri have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
NJA wins
0
Draws
1
VES wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Njardvik vs Vestri · H/A from NJA
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23HNJA Vs Vestri2-0
03/06/23AVestri Vs NJA2-0

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/26AÆgir Vs NJA0-1
24/07/26HNJA Vs HK Kopavogur3-2
17/07/26AFylkir Vs NJA4-1
10/07/26HNJA Vs Grindavik5-4
13/05/26AAfturelding Vs NJA5-2
03/04/26ATindastóll Vs NJA0-1
30/03/26HNJA Vs Hvíti riddarinn5-2
28/02/26AKR Reykjavik Vs NJA5-1
21/02/26HNJA Vs KA Akureyri1-0
13/02/26HNJA Vs Grindavik2-2

VestriVestri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/26HVES Vs Grotta0-3
30/07/26HVES Vs Rīgas FS1-1
20/07/26AHK Kopavogur Vs VES6-2
16/07/26HVES Vs Qarabag0-3
13/07/26HVES Vs Fylkir2-5
14/05/26HVES Vs Grotta0-4
11/04/26HVES Vs Leiknir R.1-0
17/03/26AStjarnan Vs VES2-2
28/02/26AFram Reykjavik Vs VES5-2
18/02/26AHK Kopavogur Vs VES3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.70
HomeDWWWW2.00
AwayLWLLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals3.483.463.50
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %68%67%69%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.962.251.69
Conceded1.521.211.81
BTTS72%62%81%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.10
HomeLLLDL1.08
AwayWLLDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals3.143.003.29
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.221.041.42
Conceded1.921.961.88
BTTS54%38%71%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards0.000.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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