PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

NK Domzale vs Bravo Result & Analysis

Date: 14/10/2022
Time: 18:15
Final 0-0
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NK Domzale win✗ Miss
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bravo win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W32W00D02L23L31W12L22D11DH·TAB30/07A·BRA06/08H·MAR14/08A·GOR22/08H·KOP27/08A·OLI04/09H·RAD09/09A·CEL18/09H·MUR01/10A·TAB08/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.421.501.501.331.331.67
vs Stronger (5)1.201.801.001.331.502.50
vs Similar (7)1.571.292.001.331.251.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L01L01L01L40W11D01L20W02L61WA·OLI31/07H·NK 06/08A·CEL12/08H·MUR20/08A·TAB26/08A·RAD05/09H·MAR11/09H·GOR18/09A·KOP01/10H·OLI09/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.921.500.670.831.17
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (11)1.270.911.500.671.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-0 ✓
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
NK Domzale goals ↓
Bravo goals →
01234
09.6%8.1%5.3%2.0%0.6%
110%14%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.7%8.7%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.5%3.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NK Domzale goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
NK Domzale is 0.44 points better than Bravo in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
NK Domzale is 0.47 goals better than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
NK Domzale is 0.03 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
NK Domzale is 2.8 percentage points worse than Bravo in terms of average possession (47% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1306245454924899136H·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

8015115444361687H·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

340925121581511122093427232329H·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BravoBravo

For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1403654425942996146A·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

4031121221341344A·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

310131215121811141712132527293125A·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (12)9.07.711.02.33.21.527.228.725.0
vs Stronger (5)7.07.0-2.64.30.031.531.5-
vs Similar (7)10.39.011.02.12.02.224.323.025.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line20%0%50%33%50%17%100%100%100%
% under line80%100%50%67%50%83%0%0%0%
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (12)8.811.57.01.30.81.827.429.026.3
vs Stronger (1)9.0-9.04.0-4.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (11)8.811.56.01.10.81.428.029.027.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line20%50%0%25%17%33%100%100%100%
% under line80%50%100%75%83%67%0%0%0%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
10.3
Gorica
10.2
Koper
9.3
NK Domzale
9.0
Bravo
8.8
Celje
8.8
Maribor
8.7
Tabor Sežana
7.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.6
Koper
5.0
Mura
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.8
Celje
4.5
Maribor
4.1
Tabor Sežana
3.4
Bravo
3.2
Gorica
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bravo
27.4
NK Domzale
27.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.8
Maribor
26.2
Celje
25.8
Koper
23.5
Mura
23.2
Gorica
22.5
Tabor Sežana
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.5%
Under 9.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.9%
Under 3.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.9%
Under 21.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D00D00D20W01L10W11D10WH·TAB30/07A·BRA06/08H·MAR14/08A·GOR22/08H·KOP27/08A·OLI04/09H·RAD09/09A·CEL18/09H·MUR01/10A·TAB08/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.330.500.501.330.17
vs Stronger (5)0.800.200.330.331.500.00
vs Similar (7)1.000.430.670.671.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D10W00D00D20W01L20WA·OLI31/07H·NK 06/08A·CEL12/08H·MUR20/08A·TAB26/08A·RAD05/09H·MAR11/09H·GOR18/09A·KOP01/10H·OLI09/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.330.830.170.170.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.550.270.830.170.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D21W00D02L03L30W02L11D01LH·TAB30/07A·BRA06/08H·MAR14/08A·GOR22/08H·KOP27/08A·OLI04/09H·RAD09/09A·CEL18/09H·MUR01/10A·TAB08/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.171.000.830.001.50
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.671.000.002.50
vs Similar (7)0.570.861.330.670.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D01L30W11D01L00D01L41WA·OLI31/07H·NK 06/08A·CEL12/08H·MUR20/08A·TAB26/08A·RAD05/09H·MAR11/09H·GOR18/09A·KOP01/10H·OLI09/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.580.670.500.670.67
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.640.670.500.800.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.0%--------
Over 21.5 fouls88.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards86.0%--------
Over 23.5 fouls79.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners78.6%--------
Under 3.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.9%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ND wins
0
Draws
0
BRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

NK Domzale vs Bravo · H/A from ND
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22ABravo Vs ND0-1

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22ATabor Sežana Vs ND1-1
01/10/22HND Vs Mura2-2
18/09/22ACelje Vs ND2-1
09/09/22HND Vs Radomlje3-1
04/09/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs ND3-2
27/08/22HND Vs Koper0-2
22/08/22AGorica Vs ND0-0
14/08/22HND Vs Maribor3-2
06/08/22ABravo Vs ND0-1
30/07/22HND Vs Tabor Sežana1-1

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22HBRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana6-1
01/10/22AKoper Vs BRA2-0
18/09/22HBRA Vs Gorica2-0
11/09/22HBRA Vs Maribor0-1
05/09/22ARadomlje Vs BRA1-1
26/08/22ATabor Sežana Vs BRA0-4
20/08/22HBRA Vs Mura0-1
12/08/22ACelje Vs BRA1-0
06/08/22HBRA Vs NK Domzale0-1
31/07/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.17
HomeDWLWD1.50
AwayWDLLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%33%17%
AVG goals2.922.833.00
Over 1.5 %75%83%67%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored1.421.501.33
Conceded1.501.331.67
BTTS67%67%67%
Clean Sheet25%17%33%
Corners9.007.6711.00
Cards5.606.334.50
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.08
HomeLLLWW1.50
AwayLLWDL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%17%
AVG goals2.082.172.00
Over 1.5 %50%33%67%
Over 2.5 %17%17%17%
Over 3.5 %17%17%17%
Scored1.171.500.83
Conceded0.920.671.17
BTTS17%17%17%
Clean Sheet25%33%17%
Corners8.8011.507.00
Cards3.202.503.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches