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NK Domzale vs Maribor Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2022
Time: 18:15
Final 3-2
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
vs
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NK Domzale win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maribor win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D34L11D10WH·CEL16/07A·MUR24/07H·TAB30/07A·BRA06/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.250.500.502.002.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (3)1.671.671.001.002.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W03L00D32W01L12L02L02L01LH·SHA06/07A·SHA13/07H·RAD16/07H·SHE20/07H·GOR23/07A·SHE26/07A·KOP31/07H·HJK04/08H·OLI07/08A·HJK11/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.300.501.500.751.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.381.000.001.000.751.00
vs Weaker (2)1.502.501.502.50--
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
NK Domzale is 0.28 points worse than Maribor in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
NK Domzale is 0.56 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
NK Domzale is 0.03 goals better than Maribor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
NK Domzale is 4.0 percentage points worse than Maribor in terms of average possession (47% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 3.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1304545492499136A·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

8011544431687A·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

2901215815111220927232329A·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MariborMaribor

For 4.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

120246562311101022625756118411128712A·HJKH·OLIH·HJKA·KOPA·SHEH·GORH·SHEA·SHAH·SHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

704232325211212221635731343A·HJKH·OLIH·HJKA·KOPA·SHEH·GORH·SHEA·SHAH·SHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

3101615121288312416H·OLIA·KOPH·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)9.27.511.05.56.54.525.526.025.0
vs Stronger (1)6.06.0-7.07.0-29.029.0-
vs Similar (3)10.39.011.05.06.04.524.323.025.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line25%0%50%75%100%50%100%100%100%
% under line75%100%50%25%0%50%0%0%0%
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)8.810.27.03.52.55.023.723.524.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)8.49.87.04.23.55.027.531.024.0
vs Weaker (2)12.012.0-0.50.5-16.016.0-
% over line44%60%25%40%17%75%67%50%100%
% under line56%40%75%60%83%25%33%50%0%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
10.4
Gorica
10.3
Koper
9.3
NK Domzale
9.2
Bravo
8.8
Maribor
8.8
Celje
8.8
Tabor Sežana
7.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.5
Koper
5.0
Olimpija Ljubljana
5.0
Mura
4.8
Celje
4.5
Maribor
3.9
Tabor Sežana
3.4
Bravo
3.2
Gorica
2.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bravo
27.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.8
Celje
25.8
NK Domzale
25.5
Maribor
23.7
Koper
23.5
Mura
23.2
Tabor Sežana
22.0
Gorica
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.0%
Under 21.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W10W10WH·CEL16/07A·MUR24/07H·TAB30/07A·BRA06/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.250.500.002.000.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (3)1.670.331.000.002.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L00D21W00D11D00D01L00DH·SHA06/07A·SHA13/07H·RAD16/07H·SHE20/07H·GOR23/07A·SHE26/07A·KOP31/07H·HJK04/08H·OLI07/08A·HJK11/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.330.670.500.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.250.000.250.500.25
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.50--
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L01L00DH·CEL16/07A·MUR24/07H·TAB30/07A·BRA06/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.001.000.000.500.001.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D11D01L01L02L01L01LH·SHA06/07A·SHA13/07H·RAD16/07H·SHE20/07H·GOR23/07A·SHE26/07A·KOP31/07H·HJK04/08H·OLI07/08A·HJK11/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.800.170.830.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.120.750.000.750.250.75
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.501.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls90.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls81.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ND wins
0
Draws
0
MAR wins

Head-to-head

NK Domzale vs Maribor · H/A from ND
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22ABravo Vs ND0-1
30/07/22HND Vs Tabor Sežana1-1
24/07/22AMura Vs ND4-3
16/07/22HND Vs Celje0-0

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/22AHJK Helsinki Vs MAR1-0
07/08/22HMAR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
04/08/22HMAR Vs HJK Helsinki0-2
31/07/22AKoper Vs MAR2-1
26/07/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MAR1-0
23/07/22HMAR Vs Gorica3-2
20/07/22HMAR Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0
16/07/22HMAR Vs Radomlje0-3
13/07/22AShakhter Soligorsk Vs MAR0-2
06/07/22HMAR Vs Shakhter Soligorsk0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDW1.25
HomeDD1.00
AwayLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%50%
AVG goals2.501.004.00
Over 1.5 %50%50%50%
Over 2.5 %25%0%50%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored1.250.502.00
Conceded1.250.502.00
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners9.257.5011.00
Cards5.506.504.50
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.80
HomeLDWLL0.83
AwayWLLL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%17%25%
AVG goals1.902.001.75
Over 1.5 %60%67%50%
Over 2.5 %30%33%25%
Over 3.5 %10%17%0%
Scored0.600.500.75
Conceded1.301.501.00
BTTS20%17%25%
Clean Sheet30%33%25%
Corners8.7810.207.00
Cards3.893.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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