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NK Domzale vs Mura Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2023
Time: 18:15
Final 0-0
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Vs
33%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NK Domzale win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mura win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W04L20W11D20W00D41W12L01LH·CEL07/12A·MUR12/12H·TAB12/02A·BRA19/02H·MAR23/02A·GOR26/02H·KOP04/03A·OLI12/03H·RAD15/03A·CEL18/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.461.181.291.431.640.93
vs Stronger (13)1.311.310.861.291.831.33
vs Similar (15)1.601.071.711.571.500.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L00D22D00D21W11D12L21WA·OLI08/12H·NK 12/12A·CEL11/02A·RAD18/02H·TAB21/02A·BRA25/02H·MAR05/03A·GOR10/03H·KOP16/03H·OLI19/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.171.731.201.001.13
vs Stronger (13)1.311.691.711.430.832.00
vs Similar (17)1.410.761.751.001.110.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0 ✓
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
NK Domzale goals ↓
Mura goals →
01234
012%11%7.1%2.7%0.8%
110%15%7.7%3.0%0.9%
26.3%7.2%4.2%1.6%0.5%
32.3%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NK Domzale goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
NK Domzale and Mura are level in average points per game (both 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
NK Domzale and Mura are level in goals scored per game (both 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
NK Domzale is 0.08 goals better than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
NK Domzale is 2.6 percentage points worse than Mura in terms of average possession (47% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 3.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

15026294113263410523549811548715599A·CELA·OLIH·KOPA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CELH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

70112322214112312216512543534476A·CELA·OLIH·KOPA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CELH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 12.4 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

40012141591714161014102515101210111115171426243126244022212631A·CELA·OLIH·KOPA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CELH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MuraMura

For 4.6 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1603115587975553243227461410151610865910H·OLIH·KOPA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIA·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

90321225412243224115329147451H·OLIH·KOPA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIA·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.6

⚠️ Fouls

36016161211121811195191216191711101212141432233030242836212428H·OLIH·KOPA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIA·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)8.18.67.62.73.22.227.427.527.2
vs Stronger (13)7.67.57.73.65.02.028.429.227.0
vs Similar (15)8.912.07.61.91.42.426.022.527.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line19%12%25%43%57%29%94%100%88%
% under line81%88%75%57%43%71%6%0%12%
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)10.410.010.92.53.21.826.325.926.8
vs Stronger (13)10.613.39.23.32.44.327.228.326.7
vs Similar (19)10.48.613.52.03.90.325.124.427.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line65%60%70%38%50%25%94%88%100%
% under line35%40%30%62%50%75%6%12%0%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
10.3
Celje
9.7
Tabor Sežana
9.1
Gorica
9.1
Koper
8.9
Maribor
8.6
Bravo
8.3
NK Domzale
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.9
NK Domzale
4.8
Mura
4.5
Celje
4.5
Maribor
4.3
Koper
4.1
Bravo
3.8
Gorica
3.8
Tabor Sežana
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bravo
27.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
27.6
NK Domzale
27.4
Mura
26.3
Maribor
25.9
Gorica
25.9
Celje
25.5
Koper
23.3
Tabor Sežana
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.7%
Under 3.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.3%
Under 21.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L10W10W10W00D30W01L00DH·CEL07/12A·MUR12/12H·TAB12/02A·BRA19/02H·MAR23/02A·GOR26/02H·KOP04/03A·OLI12/03H·RAD15/03A·CEL18/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.250.430.361.140.14
vs Stronger (13)0.770.150.290.141.330.17
vs Similar (15)0.800.330.570.571.000.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D02L00D21W00D00D21WA·OLI08/12H·NK 12/12A·CEL11/02A·RAD18/02H·TAB21/02A·BRA25/02H·MAR05/03A·GOR10/03H·KOP16/03H·OLI19/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.730.730.600.40
vs Stronger (13)0.770.621.000.570.500.67
vs Similar (17)0.590.530.500.880.670.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D03L10W01L10W00D11D11D01LH·CEL07/12A·MUR12/12H·TAB12/02A·BRA19/02H·MAR23/02A·GOR26/02H·KOP04/03A·OLI12/03H·RAD15/03A·CEL18/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.930.861.070.500.79
vs Stronger (13)0.541.150.571.140.501.17
vs Similar (15)0.800.731.141.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D20W00D00D11D12L00DA·OLI08/12H·NK 12/12A·CEL11/02A·RAD18/02H·TAB21/02A·BRA25/02H·MAR05/03A·GOR10/03H·KOP16/03H·OLI19/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.601.000.470.400.73
vs Stronger (13)0.541.080.710.860.331.33
vs Similar (17)0.820.241.250.120.440.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls79.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ND wins
1
Draws
1
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

NK Domzale vs Mura · H/A from ND
DateH/AGameScore
12/12/22AMura Vs ND0-1
01/10/22HND Vs Mura2-2
24/07/22AMura Vs ND4-3

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23ACelje Vs ND1-0
15/03/23HND Vs Radomlje1-2
12/03/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs ND1-4
04/03/23HND Vs Koper0-0
26/02/23AGorica Vs ND0-2
23/02/23HND Vs Maribor1-1
19/02/23ABravo Vs ND0-2
12/02/23HND Vs Tabor Sežana0-4
12/12/22AMura Vs ND0-1
07/12/22HND Vs Celje2-1

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/23HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
16/03/23HMUR Vs Koper1-2
10/03/23AGorica Vs MUR1-1
05/03/23HMUR Vs Maribor2-1
25/02/23ABravo Vs MUR0-0
21/02/23HMUR Vs Tabor Sežana2-2
18/02/23ARadomlje Vs MUR0-0
11/02/23ACelje Vs MUR2-1
12/12/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-1
08/12/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.50
HomeWLDDL1.29
AwayWWWWL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%29%50%
AVG goals2.642.712.57
Over 1.5 %75%79%71%
Over 2.5 %46%57%36%
Over 3.5 %29%36%21%
Scored1.461.291.64
Conceded1.181.430.93
BTTS50%57%43%
Clean Sheet36%21%50%
Corners8.128.627.62
Cards4.755.623.88
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.53
HomeLDWLW1.88
AwayDLDDD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%56%19%
AVG goals2.562.942.19
Over 1.5 %69%75%62%
Over 2.5 %53%69%38%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.411.751.06
Conceded1.161.191.12
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet34%25%44%
Corners10.4510.0010.90
Cards4.505.203.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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