NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 Result & Analysis

NK Slaven Belupo are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a compact affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.1% chance. Slaven Belupo’s home form shows they average 1.78 goals for and 1.33 against against similar opposition, while Istra 1961, on the road, averages 1.11 for and 1.0 against. The probabilities for the match result are 47% home win, 27% draw and 25% away win. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 90.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 81.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.7%, Under 3.5 at 72.1%. The remaining picks, Over 1.5 at 75.8% and the rest, are also noted.

The pre-match favourite, NK Slaven Belupo, failed to deliver as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The home side, after a string of losses, had hoped to extend a win streak, but the game ended in a stalemate. The model had given the home team a 47% chance of victory, yet the result was a draw. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 90.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 81.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.7%, and Under 3.5 at 72.1%. Only the Over 1.5 selection missed, scoring 75.8%. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the unexpected draw.