NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win for Istra 1961, with a 44% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of a home win for NK Varazdin. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 26% of the time. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. NK Varazdin, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, while Istra 1961 on the road averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.0 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 88.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 83.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 82.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 74.9% and Under 3.5 goals at 72.6%. The match is poised for a tightly contested draw, with both sides showing recent positive form.

The pre-match favourite, Istra 1961, was expected to win with a 44% probability, but the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. NK Varazdin’s recent win extended their good run, while Istra’s last outing was a draw, setting the stage for a tight contest. The model’s suggested selections all proved accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 88.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 83.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 82.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 74.9%, and Under 3.5 goals at 72.6%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw, underscoring the unpredictability of the match.