Noah II vs Andranik Result & Analysis

The model sees Andranik as the clear favourite, giving the away side a 66 % chance of victory. This high rating stems from Andranik’s strong away form, scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding only 1.0 against similarly strong opponents, while Noah II’s home record is modest, with 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The expected total is 3.9 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at a 20 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 for Andranik, a 9 % chance. Home win probability sits at 15 %, draw at 18 %, and away win at 66 %. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.3 %), Under 7.5 (95.7 %), Away +2 handicap (93.8 %), Away over 0.5 goals (92.7 %), Home under 1.5 HT goals (92.4 %), and Under 6.5 (90.4 %). Noah II entered the match after a win, whereas Andranik comes off a defeat.

The pre-match favourite, Andranik, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had given the away side a 66% chance of victory, yet the outcome was a stalemate. The model’s selection was therefore incorrect. Every suggested pick was examined: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.3%, Under 7.5 hit at 95.7%, Away +2 handicap hit at 93.8%, Away over 0.5 goals missed at 92.7%, Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.4%, and Under 6.5 hit at 90.4%. The teams entered the game with recent form notes of coming off a draw, and the final score of 0-0 confirmed a tightly contested encounter.