PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Noah II vs Mika Result & Analysis

Date: 04/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Noah II
Noah II
Vs
55%
23%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This match between Noah II and Mika in the Armenia: First League is shaping up to be an exciting high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. Noah II's recent form has been inconsistent, coming off a defeat against Mika, who are also looking to capitalise on their own recent win. The home side has been strong at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match against weaker opponents, while conceding none. In contrast, Mika has struggled to score away from home, averaging just 0.83 goals against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.42.

The model predicts a home win with 55% probability, with a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%. The single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a 10.3% probability. The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.5% probability of hitting. Noah II's home win percentage is 55%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 22%. The model's other selection is the home win, with a 55% probability.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Mika has defeated Noah II 3-2, spoiling the home side's chances of extending their undefeated run at home. The actual result was an away win, which is a surprise given the pre-match favourite, Noah II, had a 55% chance of taking home the win. Unfortunately for the model, its call of a home win was incorrect. The model's selection, a home win, was the favourite, but it didn't come through. The model's other selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit, with a 85.5% probability, which is a correct call given the final score of 2-3.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Noah II win✗ Miss
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mika win✓ Hit
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L15L24L13L10W00D13L30W10WH·ARA24/03A·HAY31/03H·ARA07/04H·SYU22/04A·BEN28/04H·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05A·MIK25/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.931.731.470.872.40
vs Stronger (12)0.752.421.332.330.172.50
vs Similar (12)1.671.502.170.501.172.50
vs Weaker (6)1.671.831.671.671.672.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D05L10W12L23L13L32W12L01LA·PYU23/03H·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.001.001.801.132.20
vs Stronger (26)0.962.121.002.080.922.15
vs Similar (4)1.751.251.000.002.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.8%
Under 2.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
Noah II goals ↓
Mika goals →
01234
04.5%3.6%2.9%1.2%0.4%
16.4%10%5.9%2.5%0.8%
27.6%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
35.2%6.7%4.2%1.8%0.6%
42.7%3.4%2.2%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Noah II goals (down), columns = Mika goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Noah II is 0.10 points better than Mika in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 0.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Noah II is 0.23 goals better than Mika in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Noah II is 0.07 goals better than Mika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Noah IINoah II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L03L11D00D00D01L20W00DH·ARA24/03A·HAY31/03H·ARA07/04H·SYU22/04A·BEN28/04H·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05A·MIK25/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.670.670.401.27
vs Stronger (12)0.331.330.501.330.171.33
vs Similar (12)0.580.750.830.170.331.33
vs Weaker (6)0.830.670.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D01L12L01L11D01L00DA·PYU23/03H·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.030.470.870.131.20
vs Stronger (26)0.271.040.381.000.151.08
vs Similar (4)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Noah II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Noah IINoah II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D14L21W02L10W00D12L10W10WH·ARA24/03A·HAY31/03H·ARA07/04H·SYU22/04A·BEN28/04H·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05A·MIK25/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.971.070.800.471.13
vs Stronger (12)0.421.080.831.000.001.17
vs Similar (12)1.080.751.330.330.831.17
vs Weaker (6)0.831.171.001.330.671.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D03L10W11D11D12L21W11D01LA·PYU23/03H·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.970.530.931.001.00
vs Stronger (26)0.691.080.621.080.771.08
vs Similar (4)1.250.250.000.002.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Noah II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Noah II and Mika have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Noah II and Mika have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Noah II and Mika have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Noah II and Mika have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
NI wins
1
Draws
0
MIK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Noah II vs Mika · H/A from NI
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26AMika Vs NI0-1
09/11/25HNI Vs Mika4-0
30/04/25AMika Vs NI1-2
22/10/24HNI Vs Mika8-0
26/05/24HNI Vs Mika1-0
08/11/23AMika Vs NI2-2

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26AMika Vs NI0-1
21/05/26HNI Vs Shirak II3-0
15/05/26AAndranik Vs NI3-1
11/05/26ABanants II Vs NI0-0
05/05/26HNI Vs Van II1-0
28/04/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs NI3-1
22/04/26HNI Vs Syunik2-4
07/04/26HNI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-5
31/03/26AHayq Vs NI2-0
24/03/26HNI Vs Araks Ararat0-0

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26HMIK Vs Noah II0-1
18/05/26AHayq Vs MIK2-1
12/05/26HMIK Vs Shirak II3-2
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
27/04/26HMIK Vs Banants II2-3
20/04/26AArarat II Vs MIK2-1
13/04/26HMIK Vs Van II1-0
07/04/26ASardarapat Vs MIK5-0
29/03/26HMIK Vs Bentonit Ijevan0-0
23/03/26APyunik II Vs MIK0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.48
HomeDLLWW1.52
AwayLLDLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals3.243.283.20
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.661.921.40
Conceded1.581.361.80
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.86
HomeDWLWL0.84
AwayWLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%20%24%
AVG goals3.342.883.80
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %48%36%60%
Scored1.100.961.24
Conceded2.241.922.56
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches