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Norwich vs Derby Result & Analysis

Date: 08/02/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Norwich
Norwich
Vs
54%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Referee: R Ricardo

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norwich win✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.76
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.71
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.66
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NorwichNorwich

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L21W11D10W21W04L02L02L51W10WA·SUN21/12H·MIL26/12H·QPR29/12A·LUT01/01H·COV04/01H·BRI11/01A·SHE18/01A·LEE22/01H·SWA25/01A·WAT01/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.532.431.500.811.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.621.522.431.500.871.53
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W01L24L01L11D02L01L12L01LA·LUT20/12H·WES26/12H·LEE29/12A·SHE01/01A·BRI04/01A·LEY14/01H·WAT18/01H·SUN21/01A·CAR25/01H·SHE01/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.271.291.070.751.44
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.001.000.671.67
vs Similar (24)1.171.291.501.080.831.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 2.00+7.2%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.82-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
Norwich goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
06.7%4.9%3.1%1.1%0.3%
19.2%12%5.7%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
35.7%6.0%3.2%1.1%0.3%
42.6%2.7%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Norwich goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Norwich is 0.15 points better than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Norwich is 0.50 goals better than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.54 vs 1.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Norwich is 0.26 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Norwich is 14.9 percentage points better than Derby in terms of average possession (58% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NorwichNorwich

For 5.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1506478496791594442246510151313101486611A·WATH·SWAA·LEEA·SHEH·COVA·LUTH·QPRH·MILA·SUNH·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

9042124211211142145314363325394A·WATH·SWAA·LEEA·SHEH·COVA·LUTH·QPRH·MILA·SUNH·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

330814109111112991691115188111415141322192221252033192927A·WATH·SWAA·LEEA·SHEH·COVA·LUTH·QPRH·MILA·SUNH·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

150221058448761142953475341512121315118118H·SHEA·CARH·SUNH·WATA·BRIA·SHEH·LEEH·WESA·LUTH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

4011121113132111113112324432241H·SHEA·CARH·SUNH·WATA·BRIA·SHEH·LEEH·WESA·LUTH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

2601012111291211111278814913814128622232122191623212614H·SHEA·CARH·SUNH·WATA·BRIA·SHEH·LEEH·WESA·LUTH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NorwichNorwich

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.010.53.83.74.022.522.622.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.310.110.64.14.04.222.522.722.4
vs Weaker (4)9.07.010.01.00.51.522.321.023.0
% over line57%52%62%52%48%56%49%57%42%
% under line43%48%38%48%52%44%51%43%58%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.410.73.43.23.622.022.821.1
vs Stronger (5)11.811.512.02.22.02.320.422.019.3
vs Similar (35)11.010.911.03.53.23.822.022.221.8
vs Weaker (10)8.28.08.53.63.63.622.624.819.8
% over line64%58%70%54%48%60%57%67%48%
% under line36%42%30%46%52%40%43%33%52%
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield Weds
11.7
QPR
11.4
Luton
11.3
Coventry
11.2
Stoke
11.1
Sheffield United
11.0
Derby
10.7
Portsmouth
10.7
Leeds
10.5
Millwall
10.5
West Brom
10.4
Hull
10.3
Plymouth
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.3
Swansea
10.2
Bristol City
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Blackburn
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Watford
10.1
Oxford
10.0
Burnley
9.7
Cardiff
9.5
Preston
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.7
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.4
Luton
4.1
Norwich
4.1
Burnley
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Preston
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Sheffield Weds
3.9
Oxford
3.8
Leeds
3.8
Hull
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Coventry
3.8
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Plymouth
3.6
Millwall
3.6
Derby
3.5
West Brom
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Luton
25.1
Portsmouth
24.3
Sunderland
24.2
Preston
24.0
Millwall
24.0
Leeds
23.8
Watford
23.8
Sheffield Weds
23.5
Plymouth
23.3
Swansea
23.0
Hull
22.8
Burnley
22.5
Blackburn
22.5
Norwich
22.5
QPR
22.5
Coventry
22.3
Oxford
21.9
Bristol City
21.9
Derby
21.7
Cardiff
21.5
Stoke
21.1
Sheffield United
20.7
Middlesbrough
20.5
West Brom
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NorwichNorwich

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L00D01L02L01L01L10W10WA·SUN21/12H·MIL26/12H·QPR29/12A·LUT01/01H·COV04/01H·BRI11/01A·SHE18/01A·LEE22/01H·SWA25/01A·WAT01/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.831.070.860.440.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.760.791.070.860.470.73
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D01L01L11D01L01L00D00DA·LUT20/12H·WES26/12H·LEE29/12A·SHE01/01A·BRI04/01A·LEY14/01H·WAT18/01H·SUN21/01A·CAR25/01H·SHE01/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.570.430.250.62
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.500.331.00
vs Similar (24)0.460.500.670.420.250.58
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Norwich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NorwichNorwich

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L10W10W20W02L01L01L41W00DA·SUN21/12H·MIL26/12H·QPR29/12A·LUT01/01H·COV04/01H·BRI11/01A·SHE18/01A·LEE22/01H·SWA25/01A·WAT01/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.701.360.640.380.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.860.721.360.640.400.80
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L23L00D00D01L00D12L01LA·LUT20/12H·WES26/12H·LEE29/12A·SHE01/01A·BRI04/01A·LEY14/01H·WAT18/01H·SUN21/01A·CAR25/01H·SHE01/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.710.640.500.81
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.000.500.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.710.790.830.670.580.92
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Norwich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Norwich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Sargent39%
Abu Kamara33%
Borja Sainz33%
Lewis Dobbin18%
Emiliano Marcondes15%
Ante Crnac15%
Marcelino Núñez14%
Kaide Gordon10%
Shane Duffy9%
Anis Ben Slimane6%
Jack Stacey5%
Forson Amankwah4%
Onel Hernández4%
Ben Chrisene4%
José Córdoba3%
Oscar Schwartau2%
Callum Doyle2%
Christian Fassnacht0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Angus Gunn0%
Grant Hanley0%
Kenny McLean0%
George Long0%
Liam Gibbs0%
Vicente Reyes0%
Brad Hills0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Kellen Fisher0%
Elliot Myles0%
Gabriel Forsyth0%
Jacob Wright0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Doyle26%
Kellen Fisher24%
Anis Ben Slimane18%
Marcelino Núñez17%
Borja Sainz16%
Kenny McLean16%
Emiliano Marcondes15%
Gabriel Forsyth14%
Jacob Wright13%
Ashley Barnes12%
Jack Stacey11%
Kaide Gordon10%
Lewis Dobbin9%
Shane Duffy9%
George Long8%
José Córdoba8%
Onel Hernández8%
Ben Chrisene7%
Oscar Schwartau7%
Josh Sargent6%
Ante Crnac5%
Forson Amankwah4%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen4%
Angus Gunn3%
Christian Fassnacht0%
Grant Hanley0%
Liam Gibbs0%
Vicente Reyes0%
Abu Kamara0%
Brad Hills0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Elliot Myles0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abu Kamara33%
Jacob Wright20%
Callum Doyle16%
Onel Hernández15%
Emiliano Marcondes15%
Jack Stacey14%
Forson Amankwah12%
Josh Sargent12%
Marcelino Núñez11%
Ante Crnac10%
Kellen Fisher10%
Kenny McLean8%
Borja Sainz7%
Anis Ben Slimane3%
Christian Fassnacht0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Angus Gunn0%
Shane Duffy0%
Grant Hanley0%
George Long0%
José Córdoba0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Liam Gibbs0%
Vicente Reyes0%
Brad Hills0%
Kaide Gordon0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Elliot Myles0%
Gabriel Forsyth0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Borja Sainz40%
Josh Sargent18%
Marcelino Núñez9%
Onel Hernández4%
Emiliano Marcondes3%
Ante Crnac2%
Kellen Fisher2%
Callum Doyle2%
Shane Duffy2%
Christian Fassnacht0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Angus Gunn0%
Grant Hanley0%
Kenny McLean0%
George Long0%
Jack Stacey0%
José Córdoba0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Liam Gibbs0%
Anis Ben Slimane0%
Vicente Reyes0%
Abu Kamara0%
Brad Hills0%
Kaide Gordon0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Elliot Myles0%
Gabriel Forsyth0%
Jacob Wright0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jerry Yates24%
Ebou Adams13%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen12%
Kayden Jackson8%
Corey Blackett-Taylor8%
David Ozoh8%
Craig Forsyth7%
Marcus Harness7%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing7%
Curtis Nelson7%
Harrison Armstrong7%
Matthew Clarke6%
Kane Wilson6%
Dajaune Brown6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Eiran Joe Cashin5%
Liam Thompson3%
Nathaniel Phillips3%
Josh Vickers0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Ben Osborn0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Callum Elder0%
Sonny Bradley0%
James Collins0%
Joe Ward0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Sondre Klingen Langås0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tawanda Chirewa33%
Callum Elder28%
Marcus Harness27%
Ebou Adams27%
Eiran Joe Cashin23%
Sondre Klingen Langås21%
Liam Thompson20%
Harrison Armstrong20%
Nathaniel Phillips16%
Kayden Jackson12%
Matthew Clarke12%
Joe Ward12%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing12%
Sonny Bradley11%
Ryan Nyambe11%
Curtis Nelson10%
Craig Forsyth10%
Tom Barkhuizen10%
Kenzo Goudmijn9%
Corey Blackett-Taylor8%
Ben Osborn8%
James Collins5%
Jacob Widell Zetterström5%
Jerry Yates2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Kane Wilson0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder10%
Craig Forsyth10%
Jerry Yates10%
Marcus Harness7%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing7%
Nathaniel Phillips6%
Dajaune Brown6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Kayden Jackson4%
Ben Osborn4%
Curtis Nelson3%
Kane Wilson3%
Ebou Adams2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Sonny Bradley0%
James Collins0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Liam Thompson0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Sondre Klingen Langås0%
David Ozoh0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ebou Adams13%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen12%
Jerry Yates10%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing7%
Dajaune Brown6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Eiran Joe Cashin5%
Kayden Jackson4%
Kane Wilson3%
Craig Forsyth2%
Josh Vickers0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Ben Osborn0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Callum Elder0%
Sonny Bradley0%
James Collins0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Joe Ward0%
Marcus Harness0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Nathaniel Phillips0%
Liam Thompson0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Sondre Klingen Langås0%
David Ozoh0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Norwich's squad is €50m more valuable than Derby's (€107m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Norwich's attack is €22m more valuable than Derby's (€46m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Norwich's midfield is €17m more valuable than Derby's (€31m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Norwich's defence is €11m more valuable than Derby's (€29m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
NOR wins
0
Draws
1
DER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Norwich vs Derby · H/A from NOR
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ADerby Vs NOR2-3
10/04/21ADerby Vs NOR0-1
03/10/20HNOR Vs Derby0-1

NorwichNorwich

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25AWatford Vs NOR0-1
25/01/25HNOR Vs Swansea5-1
22/01/25ALeeds Vs NOR2-0
18/01/25ASheffield United Vs NOR2-0
11/01/25HNOR Vs Brighton0-4
04/01/25HNOR Vs Coventry2-1
01/01/25ALuton Vs NOR0-1
29/12/24HNOR Vs QPR1-1
26/12/24HNOR Vs Millwall2-1
21/12/24ASunderland Vs NOR2-1

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25HDER Vs Sheffield United0-1
25/01/25ACardiff Vs DER2-1
21/01/25HDER Vs Sunderland0-1
18/01/25HDER Vs Watford0-2
14/01/25ALeyton Orient Vs DER1-1
04/01/25ABristol City Vs DER1-0
01/01/25ASheffield Weds Vs DER4-2
29/12/24HDER Vs Leeds0-1
26/12/24HDER Vs West Brom2-1
20/12/24ALuton Vs DER2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Norwich
Norwich
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.54
HomeWDWLW2.08
AwayLWLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%60%24%
AVG goals3.183.842.52
Over 1.5 %82%92%72%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.722.480.96
Conceded1.461.361.56
BTTS60%76%44%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners10.269.9610.54
Cards4.064.004.12
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.36
HomeWLLLL1.80
AwayLLLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%56%20%
AVG goals2.262.242.28
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %10%8%12%
Scored1.221.441.00
Conceded1.040.801.28
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners10.5310.3810.70
Cards3.603.333.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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