This opponent (Barnet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnet
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.67
1.21
1.71
1.19
1.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
3.00
0.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.36
2.18
1.33
2.00
1.40
2.40
vs Weaker (16)
1.19
1.06
1.50
0.67
1.00
1.30
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.70-1.9%
Under 2.5
47.1%
@ 2.06+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
Notts County goals ↓
Barnet goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
4.2%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.4%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.4%
6.3%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.6%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Notts County goals (down), columns = Barnet goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stockport
2.14
Wrexham
2.00
Solihull
1.98
Halifax
1.91
Notts County
1.86
Grimsby
1.75
Chesterfield
1.68
Dag and Red
1.66
Bromley
1.52
Boreham Wood
1.52
Torquay
1.50
Yeovil
1.34
Southend
1.32
Altrincham
1.25
Woking
1.20
Wealdstone
1.20
Maidenhead
1.16
Barnet
1.14
Eastleigh
1.05
Aldershot
0.98
Kings Lynn
0.77
Weymouth
0.64
Dover Athletic
0.30
Notts County is 0.73 points better than Barnet in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wrexham
2.07
Stockport
1.98
Solihull
1.89
Notts County
1.84
Dag and Red
1.82
Chesterfield
1.57
Grimsby
1.55
Torquay
1.50
Halifax
1.41
Altrincham
1.41
Bromley
1.39
Woking
1.34
Barnet
1.34
Eastleigh
1.18
Wealdstone
1.16
Boreham Wood
1.11
Maidenhead
1.09
Kings Lynn
1.07
Aldershot
1.05
Southend
1.02
Yeovil
0.98
Weymouth
0.91
Dover Athletic
0.84
Notts County is 0.50 goals better than Barnet in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Halifax
0.80
Stockport
0.86
Boreham Wood
0.91
Solihull
1.02
Grimsby
1.05
Wrexham
1.05
Yeovil
1.05
Chesterfield
1.16
Notts County
1.18
Bromley
1.20
Dag and Red
1.20
Torquay
1.23
Woking
1.39
Southend
1.39
Wealdstone
1.48
Maidenhead
1.52
Altrincham
1.57
Aldershot
1.66
Eastleigh
1.68
Kings Lynn
1.80
Weymouth
2.00
Barnet
2.02
Dover Athletic
2.30
Notts County is 0.84 goals better than Barnet in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 2.02).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Notts County
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.37
0.79
0.50
0.44
0.25
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.29
0.29
0.43
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.46
1.17
0.50
0.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnet
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.36
0.36
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.73
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (16)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.00
0.60
0.70
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Notts County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Notts County
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.70
1.29
0.79
1.19
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (14)
1.43
0.57
1.14
0.71
1.71
0.43
vs Weaker (13)
1.23
0.92
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnet
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.03
0.86
1.36
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.00
2.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.45
1.00
1.67
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.62
1.00
0.67
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Notts County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Notts County · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Roberts50%
Oliver Cooper50%
Luka Smyth33%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Conor Grant0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
H. Mustapha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Lipsiuc50%
Luka Smyth33%
H. Mustapha33%
J. Gibbons25%
J. Bedeau25%
Oliver Cooper25%
J. Evans25%
C. Roberts0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
Conor Grant0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
Lucas Ness0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
N. Tsaroulla75%
C. Roberts25%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Conor Grant0%
Oliver Cooper0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
Luka Smyth0%
H. Mustapha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Smyth67%
H. Mustapha33%
Conor Grant25%
C. Roberts0%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Oliver Cooper0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
Barnet · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Lakin50%
K. Tshimanga50%
J. Reeves33%
Tom Knowles25%
I. Kanu25%
Brandon Comley0%
W. Wright0%
N. Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
A. Senior0%
D. Collinge0%
M. Cox0%
Z. Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
J. Maskell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brandon Comley33%
Tom Knowles25%
I. Kanu25%
C. Lakin25%
M. Cox25%
Z. Williams25%
W. Wright0%
N. Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
J. Reeves0%
K. Tshimanga0%
A. Senior0%
D. Collinge0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
J. Maskell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
K. Tshimanga50%
C. Lakin25%
Brandon Comley0%
Tom Knowles0%
W. Wright0%
I. Kanu0%
N. Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
J. Reeves0%
A. Senior0%
D. Collinge0%
M. Cox0%
Z. Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
J. Maskell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
C. Lakin25%
Brandon Comley0%
Tom Knowles0%
W. Wright0%
I. Kanu0%
N. Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
J. Reeves0%
K. Tshimanga0%
A. Senior0%
D. Collinge0%
M. Cox0%
Z. Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
J. Maskell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
STO (25)
€10m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
Notts County's squad is €2m more valuable than Barnet's (€6m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
STO (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
GRI (8)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Notts County's attack is €2m more valuable than Barnet's (€2m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
STO (6)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Notts County's midfield is €1m more valuable than Barnet's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
STO (11)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
EAS (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
Notts County and Barnet have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: National League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stockport
Wrexham
Solihull
Halifax
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Boreham Wood
Bromley
Yeovil
Southend
Altrincham
Woking
Wealdstone
Eastleigh
Aldershot