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Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons Result & Analysis

Date: 09/12/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 3-2
Notts County
Notts County
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
England: League Two
Referee: A Farmer

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notts County win✓ Hit
48.2%
Avg Implied 33.3% · @ 2.80
Edge
+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.24
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons win✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.45
Edge
-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Notts CountyNotts County

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L31W10W22D20W22D21W11D13L10WA·CRE27/09H·OLD04/10A·BAR18/10A·SWI21/10H·CAM25/10A·BRA01/11A·CHE10/11H·HAR15/11H·COL22/11A·BRI29/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.171.731.271.271.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.401.131.671.221.001.00
vs Weaker (15)1.601.201.831.331.441.11
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W40W31W12L32W22D20W22D21W31WH·GIL04/10A·BRI11/10H·CRE18/10A·BRO25/10A·COL01/11A·BAR08/11H·SAL15/11A·TRA22/11H·FLE29/11H·OLD06/12
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.271.641.291.441.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.211.141.401.001.111.22
vs Weaker (16)1.811.381.781.441.861.29
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.89+4.0%
Under 2.5
46.8%
@ 1.83-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Notts County goals ↓
Milton Keynes Dons goals →
01234
07.2%5.8%4.0%1.5%0.4%
18.9%13%6.6%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.5%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.6%5.3%3.0%1.2%0.3%
41.9%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Notts County goals (down), columns = Milton Keynes Dons goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bromley
1.89
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Cambridge
1.78
Notts County
1.78
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Crawley Town
0.87
Harrogate
0.85
Barrow
0.78
Notts County is 0.09 points worse than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Grimsby
1.60
Notts County
1.59
Bromley
1.54
Swindon
1.52
Barnet
1.52
Chesterfield
1.48
Cambridge
1.43
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Walsall
1.22
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Barrow
0.98
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Harrogate
0.85
Notts County is 0.28 goals worse than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cambridge
0.72
Oldham
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Bromley
1.00
Notts County
1.06
Colchester
1.07
Grimsby
1.10
Barnet
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Accrington
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Harrogate
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Barrow
1.70
Tranmere
1.72
Cheltenham
1.72
Notts County is 0.08 goals worse than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 0.98).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Notts County
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Cambridge
51%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Milton Keynes Dons
49%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Harrogate
47%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Barrow
46%
Bromley
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Notts County is 5.7 percentage points better than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of average possession (55% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Notts CountyNotts County

For 4.0 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

14029431117568516212295811712121457141113A·BRIH·COLH·HARA·CHEA·BRAH·CAMA·SWIA·BARH·OLDA·CRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

80621323224422311438423446527A·BRIH·COLH·HARA·CHEA·BRAH·CAMA·SWIA·BARH·OLDA·CRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

32088141441511121615121717101714212141816281923312927311432A·BRIH·COLH·HARA·CHEA·BRAH·CAMA·SWIA·BARH·OLDA·CRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons

For 3.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

1106281342627472734173589789119788H·FLEA·TRAH·SALA·BARA·BROH·CREA·BRIH·GILA·SHRH·ACC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6022222411422232422445144526H·FLEA·TRAH·SALA·BARA·BROH·CREA·BRIH·GILA·SHRH·ACC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

32013141011812201211814111392011111514727212032192522312621H·FLEA·TRAH·SALA·BARA·BROH·CREA·BRIH·GILA·SHRH·ACC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Notts CountyNotts County

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.59.23.73.54.022.622.622.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)9.38.89.93.42.93.922.923.122.7
vs Weaker (25)9.410.48.64.14.14.122.322.122.5
% over line43%42%44%52%50%54%57%54%60%
% under line57%58%56%48%50%46%43%46%40%
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.98.63.84.03.624.924.025.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.610.29.13.94.03.924.724.025.1
vs Weaker (27)8.08.08.03.73.93.425.224.126.3
% over line38%41%35%58%65%52%69%68%69%
% under line62%59%65%42%35%48%31%32%31%
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Oldham
11.1
Harrogate
10.9
Crawley Town
10.6
Bromley
10.4
Shrewsbury
10.2
Grimsby
10.1
Barrow
10.0
Swindon
10.0
Barnet
10.0
Newport County
9.9
Cheltenham
9.9
Chesterfield
9.9
Walsall
9.7
Salford
9.7
Bristol Rvs
9.6
Crewe
9.6
Fleetwood Town
9.6
Notts County
9.4
Cambridge
9.3
Accrington
9.0
Colchester
8.9
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Tranmere
8.6
Gillingham
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Accrington
4.9
Gillingham
4.8
Colchester
4.4
Crewe
4.4
Shrewsbury
4.3
Crawley Town
4.2
Chesterfield
4.2
Grimsby
4.2
Bristol Rvs
4.1
Salford
4.1
Tranmere
4.0
Walsall
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Cambridge
3.9
Milton Keynes Dons
3.9
Bromley
3.8
Notts County
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Barnet
3.7
Barrow
3.7
Cheltenham
3.6
Fleetwood Town
3.5
Newport County
3.5
Harrogate
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crewe
25.7
Oldham
25.3
Cheltenham
25.2
Salford
25.1
Colchester
25.1
Barnet
25.0
Gillingham
24.8
Milton Keynes Dons
24.7
Grimsby
24.6
Cambridge
24.5
Accrington
24.4
Crawley Town
23.5
Tranmere
23.3
Shrewsbury
23.2
Fleetwood Town
23.1
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Newport County
22.7
Notts County
22.6
Chesterfield
22.4
Swindon
22.4
Walsall
22.2
Harrogate
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Barrow
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.2%
Under 9.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.0%
Under 3.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.8%
Under 21.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Notts CountyNotts County

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D11D00D11D20W01L11D00DA·CRE27/09H·OLD04/10A·BAR18/10A·SWI21/10H·CAM25/10A·BRA01/11A·CHE10/11H·HAR15/11H·COL22/11A·BRI29/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.600.530.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.530.330.560.330.50
vs Weaker (15)0.730.531.000.500.560.56
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W10W11D12L10W02L10W10WH·GIL04/10A·BRI11/10H·CRE18/10A·BRO25/10A·COL01/11A·BAR08/11H·SAL15/11A·TRA22/11H·FLE29/11H·OLD06/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.710.430.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.500.600.600.560.44
vs Weaker (16)0.810.560.780.330.860.86
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Notts County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Notts CountyNotts County

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W11D20W11D01L10W02L10WA·CRE27/09H·OLD04/10A·BAR18/10A·SWI21/10H·CAM25/10A·BRA01/11A·CHE10/11H·HAR15/11H·COL22/11A·BRI29/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.130.730.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.601.330.670.670.50
vs Weaker (15)0.870.670.830.830.890.56
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D30W11D02L21W10W10W20W11D21WH·GIL04/10A·BRI11/10H·CRE18/10A·BRO25/10A·COL01/11A·BAR08/11H·SAL15/11A·TRA22/11H·FLE29/11H·OLD06/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.730.930.860.750.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.640.800.400.560.78
vs Weaker (16)1.000.811.001.111.000.43
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Notts County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls70.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Notts County
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alassana Jatta40%
Matthew Dennis30%
Jodi Jones24%
Jayden Luker19%
Luke Browne17%
Tyrese Hall17%
Sonny Aljofree10%
Nick Tsaroulla9%
Scott Robertson8%
Kellan Gordon7%
Conor Grant7%
Lucas Ness6%
Tom Iorpenda6%
Lee Ndlovu6%
Matthew Platt5%
Matt Palmer3%
Keanan Bennetts3%
Ollie Norburn3%
James Belshaw0%
Kelle Roos0%
Rod McDonald0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
Jacob Bedeau0%
Harald Tangen0%
Barry Cotter0%
Lewis Macari0%
Will Jarvis0%
Beck-Ray Enoru0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Beck-Ray Enoru40%
Scott Robertson24%
Jacob Bedeau24%
Ollie Norburn23%
Matthew Dennis23%
Nick Tsaroulla21%
Barry Cotter20%
Kellan Gordon20%
Kelle Roos19%
Matthew Platt18%
Alassana Jatta17%
Lucas Ness16%
Jodi Jones14%
Tyrese Hall14%
Conor Grant13%
Tom Iorpenda12%
Lewis Macari11%
Rod McDonald8%
Matt Palmer6%
Jayden Luker6%
Keanan Bennetts6%
James Belshaw4%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
Harald Tangen0%
Lee Ndlovu0%
Will Jarvis0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Luke Browne0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Iorpenda16%
Jodi Jones14%
Kellan Gordon13%
Matt Palmer13%
Nick Tsaroulla12%
Lee Ndlovu11%
Harald Tangen9%
Conor Grant9%
Alassana Jatta9%
Jayden Luker6%
Keanan Bennetts6%
Lewis Macari5%
Scott Robertson4%
Jacob Bedeau4%
Kelle Roos4%
Rod McDonald4%
Tyrese Hall3%
Ollie Norburn3%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar3%
Matthew Dennis2%
James Belshaw0%
Matthew Platt0%
Barry Cotter0%
Lucas Ness0%
Will Jarvis0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Luke Browne0%
Beck-Ray Enoru0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alassana Jatta23%
Jayden Luker19%
Matthew Dennis16%
Lee Ndlovu11%
Matthew Platt9%
Tom Iorpenda6%
Jodi Jones5%
Nick Tsaroulla5%
Conor Grant4%
Lucas Ness3%
Keanan Bennetts3%
Lewis Macari3%
James Belshaw0%
Kelle Roos0%
Matt Palmer0%
Ollie Norburn0%
Rod McDonald0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
Jacob Bedeau0%
Harald Tangen0%
Barry Cotter0%
Kellan Gordon0%
Scott Robertson0%
Will Jarvis0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Luke Browne0%
Tyrese Hall0%
Beck-Ray Enoru0%
Milton Keynes Dons
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Paterson37%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing32%
Alex Gilbey22%
Aaron Collins20%
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy19%
Ben Wiles18%
Marvin Ekpiteta14%
Laurence Maguire14%
Curtis Nelson11%
Jon Mellish9%
Will Collar9%
Aaron Nemane8%
Luke Offord7%
Jack Sanders5%
Kane Thompson-Sommers5%
Scott Hogan5%
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans4%
Daniel Crowley3%
Gethin Jones3%
Liam Kelly2%
Jonathan Leko0%
Connal Trueman0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Nathan Thompson0%
Joseph Tomlinson0%
Jay Matete0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Thompson50%
Laurence Maguire29%
Jon Mellish24%
Luke Offord23%
Jack Sanders22%
Jonathan Leko21%
Alex Gilbey20%
Daniel Crowley19%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing16%
Callum Paterson16%
Kane Thompson-Sommers16%
Jay Matete14%
Will Collar13%
Liam Kelly13%
Curtis Nelson11%
Aaron Nemane10%
Scott Hogan9%
Marvin Ekpiteta7%
Gethin Jones6%
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy5%
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans4%
Aaron Collins0%
Connal Trueman0%
Ben Wiles0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Joseph Tomlinson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liam Kelly19%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing16%
Callum Paterson16%
Ben Wiles14%
Aaron Collins10%
Alex Gilbey9%
Jon Mellish9%
Aaron Nemane8%
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans7%
Marvin Ekpiteta7%
Daniel Crowley6%
Gethin Jones6%
Curtis Nelson6%
Jonathan Leko5%
Scott Hogan5%
Will Collar4%
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy3%
Luke Offord2%
Laurence Maguire0%
Connal Trueman0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Nathan Thompson0%
Joseph Tomlinson0%
Jay Matete0%
Jack Sanders0%
Kane Thompson-Sommers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Paterson24%
Alex Gilbey16%
Ben Wiles14%
Aaron Collins13%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing12%
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy5%
Will Collar4%
Joseph Tomlinson4%
Jack Sanders3%
Marvin Ekpiteta2%
Liam Kelly2%
Aaron Nemane0%
Gethin Jones0%
Luke Offord0%
Jon Mellish0%
Laurence Maguire0%
Scott Hogan0%
Jonathan Leko0%
Connal Trueman0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Nathan Thompson0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Daniel Crowley0%
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans0%
Jay Matete0%
Kane Thompson-Sommers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (24)
€15m
SAL (26)
€8m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Notts County's squad is €8m less valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€6m vs €15m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (8)
€5m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Notts County's attack is €2m less valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (6)
€7m
SAL (5)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Notts County's midfield is €5m less valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€2m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Notts County and Milton Keynes Dons have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
NC wins
2
Draws
0
MKD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons · H/A from NC
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/25HNC Vs Milton Keynes Dons3-0
26/12/24AMilton Keynes Dons Vs NC0-2
01/04/24HNC Vs Milton Keynes Dons3-3
09/09/23AMilton Keynes Dons Vs NC1-1

Notts CountyNotts County

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25ABristol Rvs Vs NC0-1
22/11/25HNC Vs Colchester1-3
15/11/25HNC Vs Harrogate1-1
10/11/25ACheltenham Vs NC1-2
01/11/25ABrackley Town Vs NC2-2
25/10/25HNC Vs Cambridge2-0
21/10/25ASwindon Vs NC2-2
18/10/25ABarnet Vs NC0-1
04/10/25HNC Vs Oldham3-1
27/09/25ACrewe Vs NC2-1

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25HMKD Vs Oldham3-1
29/11/25HMKD Vs Fleetwood Town2-1
22/11/25ATranmere Vs MKD2-2
15/11/25HMKD Vs Salford2-0
08/11/25ABarnet Vs MKD2-2
01/11/25AColchester Vs MKD2-3
25/10/25ABromley Vs MKD2-1
18/10/25HMKD Vs Crewe3-1
11/10/25ABristol Rvs Vs MKD0-4
04/10/25HMKD Vs Gillingham3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Notts County
Notts County
England: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.52
HomeWWWDL1.58
AwayWDDWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals2.822.752.88
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.601.671.54
Conceded1.221.081.35
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners9.379.549.20
Cards3.823.464.16
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
England: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.20
HomeWWWWW1.26
AwayWLWDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%30%
AVG goals2.702.392.96
Over 1.5 %74%61%85%
Over 2.5 %54%48%59%
Over 3.5 %26%26%26%
Scored1.261.221.30
Conceded1.441.171.67
BTTS52%43%59%
Clean Sheet22%26%19%
Corners8.758.918.62
Cards3.944.143.77

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Notts CountyNotts County4987
53%
1.8
7852+26
2.7
73%
55%
27%
9.2
45%
4.4
65%
24.4
73%
6
2221.61.1
55%
2BromleyBromley4687
52%
1.9
7146+25
2.5
76%
52%
28%
10.3
63%
3.7
57%
21.8
59%
4
1121.51.0
44%
3Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons4686
52%
1.9
8645+41
2.8
78%
54%
37%
8.8
37%
3.8
61%
23.4
61%
15
5731.91.0
49%
4SalfordSalford4984
53%
1.7
6457+7
2.5
65%
47%
24%
9.8
51%
3.7
43%
25.3
71%
8
3231.31.2
50%
5CambridgeCambridge4682
48%
1.8
6633+33
2.2
72%
35%
13%
9.2
50%
3.1
35%
22.9
59%
5
2121.40.7
51%
6GrimsbyGrimsby4881
48%
1.7
7753+24
2.7
71%
50%
31%
10.5
54%
4.0
65%
24.2
69%
4
1021.61.1
55%
7ChesterfieldChesterfield4880
44%
1.7
7157+14
2.7
71%
44%
29%
10.2
58%
4.1
56%
22.0
48%
6
3121.51.2
58%
8BarnetBarnet4676
46%
1.7
7053+17
2.7
76%
48%
30%
10.2
57%
3.6
50%
23.8
65%
4
0131.51.2
56%
9SwindonSwindon4675
48%
1.6
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
28%
11.2
74%
3.5
46%
20.7
37%
4
2111.51.3
52%
10OldhamOldham4668
39%
1.5
6044+16
2.3
65%
48%
20%
10.1
61%
3.9
63%
25.0
72%
3
1111.31.0
48%
11CreweCrewe4667
41%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
72%
52%
30%
9.3
59%
3.9
52%
25.5
74%
4
2111.41.3
50%
12ColchesterColchester4666
39%
1.4
6249+13
2.4
67%
35%
20%
9.1
37%
4.1
63%
24.9
76%
4
1021.31.1
54%
13WalsallWalsall4665
39%
1.4
5656+0
2.4
70%
48%
26%
10.0
59%
3.8
50%
23.1
61%
3
1121.21.2
41%
14Bristol RvsBristol Rvs4662
41%
1.3
5665-9
2.6
72%
52%
30%
9.4
39%
4.7
76%
24.2
70%
5
2031.21.4
-
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town4661
33%
1.3
5758-1
2.5
74%
46%
20%
10.0
57%
3.8
54%
23.0
63%
3
1111.21.3
50%
16AccringtonAccrington4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
37%
20%
9.5
48%
4.0
54%
22.2
48%
2
1111.01.3
48%
17GillinghamGillingham4653
28%
1.2
5372-19
2.7
70%
46%
30%
9.5
43%
4.0
61%
23.9
63%
3
1211.21.6
47%
18CheltenhamCheltenham4652
30%
1.1
5379-26
2.9
80%
48%
33%
9.6
54%
3.6
48%
22.7
61%
3
1111.21.7
49%
19ShrewsburyShrewsbury4649
28%
1.1
4269-27
2.4
63%
46%
30%
8.2
30%
4.0
54%
22.3
61%
3
0120.91.5
44%
20Newport CountyNewport County4643
26%
0.9
4877-29
2.7
76%
57%
28%
9.5
54%
4.0
54%
23.5
70%
2
0011.01.7
47%
21TranmereTranmere4641
22%
0.9
5479-25
2.9
83%
54%
35%
10.2
54%
3.8
57%
22.4
61%
4
1111.21.7
49%
22Crawley TownCrawley Town4640
17%
0.9
4468-24
2.4
74%
43%
26%
12.0
78%
4.1
59%
25.7
76%
3
2111.01.5
56%
23HarrogateHarrogate4639
22%
0.8
3968-29
2.3
70%
37%
17%
10.3
63%
3.1
39%
21.7
41%
1
0100.81.5
47%
24BarrowBarrow4636
20%
0.8
4578-33
2.7
72%
63%
33%
9.9
59%
3.3
48%
20.4
39%
2
0111.01.7
46%
England: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →

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