Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.77
0.92
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.58
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.47
1.35
0.41
0.92
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Weaker (29)
1.21
0.38
1.44
0.25
0.92
0.54
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
0.92
1.23
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.83
0.75
1.75
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.87
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.73
1.88
0.76
1.62
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (29)
1.76
0.76
1.88
0.81
1.62
0.69
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 1.5
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
BTTS Yes
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Novi Pazar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ50%
Samson Iyede40%
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ38%
Driton Camaj29%
Dominic Sadi23%
Vieiri Kotzebue21%
Dauda Agwom20%
Bob Murphy Omoregbe14%
Ejike Opara14%
Abdoulaye Cisse12%
Matija MalekinuÅ”iÄ12%
Ivan DavidoviÄ9%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ7%
Zoran AliloviÄ6%
Luka BijeloviÄ5%
Mihajlo PetkoviÄ4%
Semir AliÄ3%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic3%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Anes RuÅ”eviÄ0%
Abdulsamed Abdullahi0%
Filip BaÄkulja0%
Ensar BrunÄeviÄ0%
Jovan Manev0%
Željko SamÄoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Dragan Bojat0%
Skima Togbe0%
Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ50%
Filip BaÄkulja33%
Veljko MirosaviÄ33%
Abdoulaye Cisse31%
Matija MalekinuÅ”iÄ29%
Jovan Manev25%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ20%
Mihajlo PetkoviÄ18%
Anes RuÅ”eviÄ17%
Veljko MirosaviÄ15%
Nemanja MiletiÄ15%
Dominic Sadi14%
Semir AliÄ12%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic12%
Driton Camaj12%
Ensar BrunÄeviÄ12%
Ivan DavidoviÄ11%
Dragan Bojat11%
Skima Togbe9%
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ8%
Željko SamÄoviÄ6%
Zoran AliloviÄ6%
Bob Murphy Omoregbe5%
Luka BijeloviÄ5%
Samson Iyede0%
Abdulsamed Abdullahi0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ejike Opara0%
Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominic Sadi18%
Driton Camaj18%
Matija MalekinuÅ”iÄ18%
Veljko MirosaviÄ17%
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ17%
Nemanja MiletiÄ12%
Ivan DavidoviÄ11%
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ8%
Mihajlo PetkoviÄ7%
Ejike Opara7%
Ensar BrunÄeviÄ6%
Zoran AliloviÄ6%
Bob Murphy Omoregbe5%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ3%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic3%
Samson Iyede0%
Abdoulaye Cisse0%
Anes RuÅ”eviÄ0%
Luka BijeloviÄ0%
Abdulsamed Abdullahi0%
Filip BaÄkulja0%
Jovan Manev0%
Željko SamÄoviÄ0%
Semir AliÄ0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dragan Bojat0%
Skima Togbe0%
Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ46%
Stefan StanisavljeviÄ33%
Vieiri Kotzebue14%
Ejike Opara14%
Driton Camaj12%
Matija MalekinuÅ”iÄ12%
Ivan DavidoviÄ11%
Zoran AliloviÄ11%
Jovan Manev8%
Bob Murphy Omoregbe5%
Dominic Sadi5%
Mihajlo PetkoviÄ4%
Skima Togbe3%
Samson Iyede0%
Abdoulaye Cisse0%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Anes RuÅ”eviÄ0%
Luka BijeloviÄ0%
Abdulsamed Abdullahi0%
Filip BaÄkulja0%
Ensar BrunÄeviÄ0%
Željko SamÄoviÄ0%
Semir AliÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Dragan Bojat0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Dauda Agwom0%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Katai40%
Mirko IvaniÄ39%
Jay Enem38%
Marko ArnautoviÄ32%
Vasilije Kostov31%
Bruno Duarte30%
Cherif Ndiaye17%
Owusu Douglas15%
Nemanja RadonjiÄ12%
Peter Olayinka11%
Rodrigão10%
Rade KruniÄ8%
Franklin Tebo8%
Vladimir LuÄiÄ8%
MiloÅ” VeljkoviÄ7%
Strahinja ErakoviÄ7%
Stefan LekoviÄ7%
Nikola StankoviÄ6%
Timi Max ElŔnik5%
Mahmudu Bajo5%
Luka ZariÄ5%
Young-woo Seol5%
Milson4%
Adem AvdiÄ4%
TomƔs HƤndel3%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Matheus0%
Omri Glazer0%
Shavy Warren Babicka0%
Jovan Å ljiviÄ0%
Veljko MilosavljeviÄ0%
Aleksa DamjanoviÄ0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Strahinja ErakoviÄ20%
Shavy Warren Babicka20%
Stefan LekoviÄ20%
Rade KruniÄ19%
Nair Tiknizyan18%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ17%
Owusu Douglas15%
Mirko IvaniÄ14%
Adem AvdiÄ14%
Aleksa DamjanoviÄ14%
Franklin Tebo12%
Timi Max ElŔnik12%
Vladimir LuÄiÄ12%
Rodrigão10%
Jay Enem8%
MiloÅ” VeljkoviÄ7%
Marko ArnautoviÄ7%
Young-woo Seol7%
Nemanja RadonjiÄ6%
TomƔs HƤndel5%
Aleksandar Katai5%
Vasilije Kostov5%
Luka ZariÄ5%
Matheus4%
Milson4%
Peter Olayinka0%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Bruno Duarte0%
Omri Glazer0%
Nikola StankoviÄ0%
Jovan Å ljiviÄ0%
Mahmudu Bajo0%
Veljko MilosavljeviÄ0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jovan Å ljiviÄ67%
Cherif Ndiaye33%
Marko ArnautoviÄ29%
Mirko IvaniÄ14%
Young-woo Seol14%
Milson13%
Nair Tiknizyan13%
Bruno Duarte12%
Vladimir LuÄiÄ12%
Aleksandar Katai12%
Vasilije Kostov12%
MiloÅ” VeljkoviÄ11%
Adem AvdiÄ11%
Timi Max ElŔnik10%
Franklin Tebo8%
Owusu Douglas8%
Strahinja ErakoviÄ7%
Stefan LekoviÄ7%
Rade KruniÄ6%
TomƔs HƤndel5%
Luka ZariÄ5%
Rodrigão3%
Peter Olayinka0%
Nemanja RadonjiÄ0%
Matheus0%
Omri Glazer0%
Nikola StankoviÄ0%
Shavy Warren Babicka0%
Jay Enem0%
Mahmudu Bajo0%
Veljko MilosavljeviÄ0%
Aleksa DamjanoviÄ0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jovan Å ljiviÄ67%
Aleksandar Katai62%
Bruno Duarte40%
Marko ArnautoviÄ29%
Mirko IvaniÄ25%
Jay Enem23%
Vasilije Kostov21%
Shavy Warren Babicka20%
Cherif Ndiaye17%
Aleksa DamjanoviÄ14%
Vladimir LuÄiÄ12%
Peter Olayinka11%
Owusu Douglas8%
Timi Max ElŔnik5%
Mahmudu Bajo5%
Luka ZariÄ5%
Milson4%
MiloÅ” VeljkoviÄ4%
Rodrigão3%
Nair Tiknizyan3%
Young-woo Seol2%
Nemanja RadonjiÄ0%
Rade KruniÄ0%
Matheus0%
Omri Glazer0%
Strahinja ErakoviÄ0%
TomƔs HƤndel0%
Nikola StankoviÄ0%
Franklin Tebo0%
Stefan LekoviÄ0%
Veljko MilosavljeviÄ0%
Adem AvdiÄ0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
Novi Pazar's squad is €105m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€10m vs €115m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
Novi Pazar's attack is €59m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€3m vs €62m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
Novi Pazar's midfield is €18m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€2m vs €21m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
Novi Pazar's defence is €28m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€5m vs €33m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →