This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.47
2.27
1.93
1.67
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.88
1.62
2.18
2.36
1.62
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
3.33
0.33
4.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
Nyiregyhaza goals ↓
Paks goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
10%
8.5%
4.3%
1.6%
1
6.9%
13%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
2
4.4%
6.6%
5.0%
2.5%
0.9%
3
1.6%
2.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nyiregyhaza goals (down), columns = Paks goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Paks
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Ujpest
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Diosgyori VTK
0.85
Kazincbarcikai
0.67
Nyiregyhaza is 0.39 points worse than Paks in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.61).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Puskas Academy
1.30
Diosgyori VTK
1.18
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Kazincbarcikai
0.94
Nyiregyhaza is 0.48 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.91).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Ujpest
1.73
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Diosgyori VTK
1.97
Kazincbarcikai
2.12
Nyiregyhaza is 0.33 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.39).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Diosgyori VTK
46%
Puskas Academy
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Nyiregyhaza
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Paks
For 6.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.2 · Against 15.0 · Total 32.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
12.0
9.7
3.4
3.7
3.1
29.5
29.7
29.2
vs Stronger (6)
11.6
11.7
11.5
5.0
5.7
4.3
29.4
30.7
27.5
vs Similar (41)
10.7
12.1
9.5
3.4
3.7
3.0
29.5
29.5
29.5
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
67%
53%
48%
50%
46%
87%
80%
93%
% under line
40%
33%
47%
52%
50%
54%
13%
20%
7%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.7
Diosgyori VTK
10.3
Kisvarda FC
10.0
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Debreceni VSC
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
MTK Budapest
9.6
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.1
Gyori ETO FC
9.1
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.2
Paks
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.9
Ujpest
4.9
Gyori ETO FC
4.7
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
Diosgyori VTK
4.6
Kisvarda FC
4.3
MTK Budapest
4.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.4
Debreceni VSC
28.2
Ferencvarosi TC
27.6
Puskas Academy
27.6
Diosgyori VTK
26.1
Ujpest
25.6
Gyori ETO FC
25.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.2
MTK Budapest
24.5
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.50
2.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.74
0.31
0.77
0.64
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.73
0.67
0.73
0.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.54
0.82
0.91
0.69
0.23
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nyiregyhaza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.93
0.73
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.67
1.00
0.69
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.00
1.53
1.27
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.08
1.36
1.45
0.92
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.33
3.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
DÃĄniel BÃķde33%
JÃĄnos Hahn28%
JÃĄnos Galambos25%
GergÅ Gyurkits19%
MilÃĄn PetÅ18%
JÃģzsef Windecker17%
Barna TÃģth16%
Ãkos Szendrei14%
Erik Silye12%
JÃĄnos SzabÃģ12%
Kevin HorvÃĄth12%
Martin ÃdÃĄm9%
BalÃĄzs Balogh8%
Attila OsvÃĄth6%
Bence LenzsÃĐr6%
MÃĄriÃģ Zeke5%
BÃĄlint VÃĐcsei5%
KristÃģf Papp5%
ÃdÃĄm KovÃĄcsik0%
KristÃģf Hinora0%
Zsombor BÃĐvÃĄrdi0%
Gabor Vas0%
Ãkos Kinyik0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
Ãron Alaxai0%
MilÃĄn SzekszÃĄrdi0%
MÃĄrk GyetvÃĄn0%
Csaba MÃĄtÃĐ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ãkos Kinyik46%
MilÃĄn SzekszÃĄrdi45%
Zsombor BÃĐvÃĄrdi33%
Ãron Alaxai33%
KristÃģf Papp32%
Bence LenzsÃĐr29%
Attila OsvÃĄth25%
GergÅ Gyurkits19%
Martin ÃdÃĄm18%
DÃĄniel BÃķde17%
Kevin HorvÃĄth16%
Barna TÃģth16%
BalÃĄzs Balogh15%
Zsolt Haraszti14%
JÃĄnos SzabÃģ12%
JÃĄnos Hahn12%
BÃĄlint VÃĐcsei10%
MilÃĄn PetÅ9%
KristÃģf Hinora8%
Ãkos Szendrei7%
MÃĄriÃģ Zeke5%
ÃdÃĄm KovÃĄcsik4%
Gabor Vas0%
Erik Silye0%
JÃģzsef Windecker0%
MÃĄrk GyetvÃĄn0%
JÃĄnos Galambos0%
Csaba MÃĄtÃĐ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barna TÃģth16%
BalÃĄzs Balogh15%
Zsolt Haraszti14%
Ãkos Szendrei14%
Erik Silye12%
Zsombor BÃĐvÃĄrdi11%
DÃĄniel BÃķde11%
MÃĄriÃģ Zeke11%
GergÅ Gyurkits10%
KristÃģf Papp9%
MilÃĄn PetÅ9%
JÃģzsef Windecker9%
Ãkos Kinyik8%
JÃĄnos SzabÃģ6%
Kevin HorvÃĄth4%
ÃdÃĄm KovÃĄcsik0%
Martin ÃdÃĄm0%
KristÃģf Hinora0%
Gabor Vas0%
Attila OsvÃĄth0%
Bence LenzsÃĐr0%
JÃĄnos Hahn0%
BÃĄlint VÃĐcsei0%
Ãron Alaxai0%
MilÃĄn SzekszÃĄrdi0%
MÃĄrk GyetvÃĄn0%
JÃĄnos Galambos0%
Csaba MÃĄtÃĐ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Barna TÃģth42%
GergÅ Gyurkits14%
Zsombor BÃĐvÃĄrdi11%
JÃĄnos Hahn8%
Kevin HorvÃĄth8%
Ãkos Szendrei7%
Attila OsvÃĄth6%
JÃĄnos SzabÃģ6%
BÃĄlint VÃĐcsei5%
KristÃģf Papp5%
ÃdÃĄm KovÃĄcsik0%
Martin ÃdÃĄm0%
KristÃģf Hinora0%
Gabor Vas0%
DÃĄniel BÃķde0%
Ãkos Kinyik0%
Erik Silye0%
BalÃĄzs Balogh0%
Bence LenzsÃĐr0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
JÃģzsef Windecker0%
MÃĄriÃģ Zeke0%
Ãron Alaxai0%
MilÃĄn SzekszÃĄrdi0%
MÃĄrk GyetvÃĄn0%
MilÃĄn PetÅ0%
JÃĄnos Galambos0%
Csaba MÃĄtÃĐ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar squad value (both €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar attack value (both €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →