This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.83
1.36
1.71
1.50
1.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (27)
1.52
1.81
1.38
1.77
1.64
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
Nyiregyhaza goals ↓
Ujpest goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.9%
7.5%
3.8%
1.4%
1
6.9%
13%
9.1%
4.5%
1.7%
2
4.9%
7.3%
5.4%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.0%
2.9%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nyiregyhaza goals (down), columns = Ujpest goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Paks
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Ujpest
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Diosgyori VTK
0.85
Kazincbarcikai
0.67
Nyiregyhaza and Ujpest are level in average points per game (both 1.21).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Puskas Academy
1.30
Diosgyori VTK
1.18
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Kazincbarcikai
0.94
Nyiregyhaza is 0.03 goals worse than Ujpest in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.45).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Ujpest
1.73
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Diosgyori VTK
1.97
Kazincbarcikai
2.12
Nyiregyhaza and Ujpest are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.73).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Diosgyori VTK
46%
Puskas Academy
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Nyiregyhaza
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ujpest
For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.0
9.2
3.5
3.9
3.1
25.3
25.7
24.9
vs Stronger (4)
9.3
11.0
6.0
5.0
7.5
2.5
24.7
24.5
25.0
vs Similar (45)
10.1
11.0
9.4
3.4
3.5
3.3
25.4
25.9
24.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
61%
75%
47%
50%
52%
48%
70%
62%
76%
% under line
39%
25%
53%
50%
48%
52%
30%
38%
24%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gyori ETO FC
11.7
Debreceni VSC
10.6
Paks
10.6
Diosgyori VTK
10.2
Kisvarda FC
10.1
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
Ujpest
9.7
Puskas Academy
9.4
MTK Budapest
9.3
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.9
Paks
4.8
Ujpest
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.7
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
Diosgyori VTK
4.5
Kisvarda FC
4.4
MTK Budapest
4.2
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ferencvarosi TC
27.6
Puskas Academy
27.5
Paks
27.5
Debreceni VSC
26.7
Gyori ETO FC
26.0
Diosgyori VTK
25.2
Ujpest
25.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.2
MTK Budapest
24.2
Kisvarda FC
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.9%
Under 3.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.1%
Under 21.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.07
0.71
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.30
0.70
0.08
0.54
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.64
0.43
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.63
0.69
0.38
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nyiregyhaza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.71
0.64
0.38
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.85
0.69
0.62
0.36
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.10
0.71
1.29
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.81
1.19
0.69
1.38
0.93
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Ujpest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
AljoÅĄa Matko40%
MÃĄtyÃĄs Tajti20%
BarnabÃĄs Bese18%
Iuri Medeiros18%
Krisztofer HorvÃĄth17%
Nejc GradiÅĄar8%
Fran BrodiÄ7%
Tom Lacoux6%
Gleofilo Vlijter6%
Milan TuÄiÄ6%
Matija LjujiÄ5%
Arijan Ademi0%
Attila Fiola0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Arne Maier0%
Bence GergÃĐnyi0%
DÃĄvid Banai0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Damian Rasak0%
JoÃĢo Nunes0%
George Ganea0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
AndrÃĐ Duarte0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Janos Bodnar0%
Noah FenyÅ0%
Ãbel GyÃķrgy Krajcsovics0%
BÃĄlint Geiger0%
KristÃģf Sarkadi0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
BÃĄlint Geiger40%
Krisztofer HorvÃĄth35%
Arijan Ademi31%
Attila Fiola29%
Tiago Gonçalves25%
Dominik Kaczvinszki25%
Tom Lacoux24%
Janos Bodnar22%
Ãbel GyÃķrgy Krajcsovics22%
MÃĄtyÃĄs Tajti20%
George Ganea20%
Iuri Medeiros18%
Matija LjujiÄ18%
Gleofilo Vlijter18%
Damian Rasak17%
JoÃĢo Nunes17%
Noah FenyÅ17%
Daviti Kobouri12%
AljoÅĄa Matko12%
Patrizio Stronati8%
Nejc GradiÅĄar8%
Fran BrodiÄ7%
Giorgi Beridze6%
Milan TuÄiÄ6%
BarnabÃĄs Bese0%
Arne Maier0%
Bence GergÃĐnyi0%
DÃĄvid Banai0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
AndrÃĐ Duarte0%
KristÃģf Sarkadi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gleofilo Vlijter12%
Matija LjujiÄ9%
Krisztofer HorvÃĄth9%
Arijan Ademi8%
Fran BrodiÄ7%
Attila Fiola6%
Tom Lacoux6%
Giorgi Beridze6%
Milan TuÄiÄ6%
AljoÅĄa Matko4%
BarnabÃĄs Bese0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Arne Maier0%
Bence GergÃĐnyi0%
DÃĄvid Banai0%
MÃĄtyÃĄs Tajti0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Damian Rasak0%
Iuri Medeiros0%
JoÃĢo Nunes0%
George Ganea0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
AndrÃĐ Duarte0%
Nejc GradiÅĄar0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Janos Bodnar0%
Noah FenyÅ0%
Ãbel GyÃķrgy Krajcsovics0%
BÃĄlint Geiger0%
KristÃģf Sarkadi0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
MÃĄtyÃĄs Tajti20%
Iuri Medeiros18%
AljoÅĄa Matko16%
Matija LjujiÄ14%
Fran BrodiÄ13%
Tiago Gonçalves12%
Ãbel GyÃķrgy Krajcsovics11%
Nejc GradiÅĄar8%
Giorgi Beridze6%
Milan TuÄiÄ6%
Krisztofer HorvÃĄth4%
Arijan Ademi0%
Attila Fiola0%
BarnabÃĄs Bese0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Arne Maier0%
Bence GergÃĐnyi0%
DÃĄvid Banai0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Damian Rasak0%
JoÃĢo Nunes0%
George Ganea0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
AndrÃĐ Duarte0%
Tom Lacoux0%
Gleofilo Vlijter0%
Janos Bodnar0%
Noah FenyÅ0%
BÃĄlint Geiger0%
KristÃģf Sarkadi0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
Nyiregyhaza's squad is €7m less valuable than Ujpest's (€7m vs €14m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza's attack is €2m less valuable than Ujpest's (€3m vs €5m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
Nyiregyhaza's midfield is €2m less valuable than Ujpest's (€1m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza's defence is €2m less valuable than Ujpest's (€3m vs €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →