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Nykobing FC vs Hobro Result & Analysis

Date: 19/05/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-2
Nykobing FC
Nykobing FC
Vs
48%
23%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nykobing FC winâś— Miss
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hobro winâś“ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Nykobing FCNykobing FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L42W11D02L35L02L21W13L13L52WA·HOB05/03H·HB 11/03A·SON18/03A·FC 31/03H·HB 09/04A·HIL15/04H·FRE21/04A·HOB28/04A·HB 06/05H·HIL12/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.312.142.072.210.602.07
vs Stronger (11)1.552.092.802.600.501.67
vs Similar (18)1.172.171.672.000.672.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W22D12L31W21W11D01L31W22D12LH·NYK05/03H·HVI12/03A·FC 18/03A·HB 02/04H·HIL10/04A·FRE16/04H·FC 23/04H·NYK28/04A·FC 05/05H·FRE11/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.341.331.130.791.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.041.371.211.140.851.62
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nykobing FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.2%
Under 1.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.4%
Under 2.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.0%
No
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2 âś“
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
Nykobing FC goals ↓
Hobro goals →
01234
03.3%3.2%3.3%1.8%0.7%
14.3%9.2%6.8%3.7%1.5%
25.3%8.7%7.0%3.8%1.5%
33.7%6.0%4.9%2.6%1.1%
41.9%3.1%2.5%1.4%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nykobing FC goals (down), columns = Hobro goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vejle
2.09
Hvidovre
1.81
Sonderjyske
1.75
Vendsyssel FF
1.44
FC Fredericia
1.41
HB Koge
1.38
Naestved
1.34
FC Helsingor
1.31
Hillerød
1.28
Hobro
1.19
Fremad Amager
1.06
Nykobing FC
0.72
Nykobing FC is 0.47 points worse than Hobro in terms of average points per game (0.72 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hvidovre
2.03
Vejle
1.91
Sonderjyske
1.88
FC Fredericia
1.75
Naestved
1.56
HB Koge
1.56
Vendsyssel FF
1.50
FC Helsingor
1.47
Nykobing FC
1.34
Fremad Amager
1.19
Hillerød
1.16
Hobro
1.03
Nykobing FC is 0.31 goals better than Hobro in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vejle
0.94
Hvidovre
1.28
Hobro
1.31
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
Sonderjyske
1.41
Naestved
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Hillerød
1.59
HB Koge
1.59
FC Helsingor
1.75
Fremad Amager
1.88
Nykobing FC
2.28
Nykobing FC is 0.97 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals conceded per game (2.28 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nykobing FCNykobing FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W00D21W01L21W10W12L01LA·HOB05/03H·HB 11/03A·SON18/03A·FC 31/03H·HB 09/04A·HIL15/04H·FRE21/04A·HOB28/04A·HB 06/05H·HIL12/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.720.790.710.400.73
vs Stronger (11)0.640.640.800.800.500.50
vs Similar (18)0.560.780.780.670.330.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D20W10W00D01L01L00D01LH·NYK05/03H·HVI12/03A·FC 18/03A·HB 02/04H·HIL10/04A·FRE16/04H·FC 23/04H·NYK28/04A·FC 05/05H·FRE11/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.590.530.530.360.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.590.500.570.380.62
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nykobing FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nykobing FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nykobing FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nykobing FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nykobing FCNykobing FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W01L02L14L01L00D03L01L51WA·HOB05/03H·HB 11/03A·SON18/03A·FC 31/03H·HB 09/04A·HIL15/04H·FRE21/04A·HOB28/04A·HB 06/05H·HIL12/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.721.411.291.500.201.33
vs Stronger (11)0.911.452.001.800.001.17
vs Similar (18)0.611.390.891.330.331.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L01L11D11D11D00D30W22D11DH·NYK05/03H·HVI12/03A·FC 18/03A·HB 02/04H·HIL10/04A·FRE16/04H·FC 23/04H·NYK28/04A·FC 05/05H·FRE11/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.760.800.600.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.780.710.570.461.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Nykobing FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nykobing FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nykobing FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nykobing FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.2%-------âś“ Hit
Over 2.571.4%-------âś“ Hit
BTTS Yes71.0%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
NF wins
1
Draws
2
HOB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nykobing FC vs Hobro · H/A from NF
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/23AHobro Vs NF3-1
05/03/23AHobro Vs NF2-1
26/08/22HNF Vs Hobro1-1

Nykobing FCNykobing FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/23HNF Vs Hillerød5-2
06/05/23AHB Koge Vs NF3-1
28/04/23AHobro Vs NF3-1
21/04/23HNF Vs Fremad Amager2-1
15/04/23AHillerød Vs NF2-0
09/04/23HNF Vs HB Koge3-5
31/03/23AFC Fredericia Vs NF2-0
18/03/23ASonderjyske Vs NF1-1
11/03/23HNF Vs HB Koge4-2
05/03/23AHobro Vs NF2-1

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/23HHOB Vs Fremad Amager1-2
05/05/23AFC Fredericia Vs HOB2-2
28/04/23HHOB Vs Nykobing FC3-1
23/04/23HHOB Vs FC Fredericia0-1
16/04/23AFremad Amager Vs HOB1-1
10/04/23HHOB Vs Hillerød2-1
02/04/23AHB Koge Vs HOB1-3
18/03/23AFC Helsingor Vs HOB2-1
12/03/23HHOB Vs Hvidovre2-2
05/03/23HHOB Vs Nykobing FC2-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Nykobing FC
Nykobing FC
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW0.79
HomeWWLWW1.14
AwayDLLLL0.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%29%13%
AVG goals3.454.292.67
Over 1.5 %90%100%80%
Over 2.5 %62%71%53%
Over 3.5 %41%50%33%
Scored1.312.070.60
Conceded2.142.212.07
BTTS62%79%47%
Clean Sheet7%7%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.17
HomeDWLWL1.60
AwayLLWDD0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%47%7%
AVG goals2.412.472.36
Over 1.5 %69%67%71%
Over 2.5 %52%60%43%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.071.330.79
Conceded1.341.131.57
BTTS52%53%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle3267
62%
2.1
6130+31
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.90.9
-
2HvidovreHvidovre3258
53%
1.8
6541+24
3.3
81%
69%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.3
-
3SonderjyskeSonderjyske3256
50%
1.8
6045+15
3.3
78%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3361.91.4
-
4Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3246
41%
1.4
4843+5
2.8
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3245
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.2
78%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.81.5
-
6HB KogeHB Koge3244
41%
1.4
5051-1
3.2
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7NaestvedNaestved3243
34%
1.3
5048+2
3.1
84%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
8FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3242
41%
1.3
4756-9
3.2
72%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
9HillerødHillerød3241
38%
1.3
3751-14
2.8
81%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.6
-
10HobroHobro3238
28%
1.2
3342-9
2.3
69%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.3
-
11Fremad AmagerFremad Amager3234
31%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
69%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12Nykobing FCNykobing FC3223
19%
0.7
4373-30
3.6
91%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.3
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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