This high-scoring match is expected to yield 3.3 goals on average, with the most likely total number of goals being 3. The home side, ODD Ballklubb, has been in decent form, scoring 1.27 goals and conceding 1.36 at home against similar opponents.
Asane, the away side, has struggled away from home, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 2.4 against similar opponents. However, they have had a recent encounter with ODD Ballklubb, where they were defeated 4-1.
The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 38%. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, which has a high probability of 84.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.2%. ODD Ballklubb's home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 38%.
Results analysis
The home team, ODD Ballklubb, pulled off a stunning upset, winning 4-1 against the odds, as Asane fell to a second consecutive defeat. This result extends their run of form, coming off a win after a brief slump. The model's selection, an Away win, was incorrect, with the pre-match favourite Asane failing to deliver. The model had assigned a 38% probability to an Asane win. Meanwhile, the model's suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 84.6% probability, as the final score was indeed above 1.5 goals.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ODD Ballklubb win✓ Hit
37.2%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.33
Edge
-31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Dafabet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.28
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.77
Bet365
5.75
Dafabet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Asane win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 13.4% · @ 6.87
Edge
+24.1%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
8.00
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.29
Pinnacle
7.14
Betfair
7.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ODD Ballklubb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.73
1.21
1.93
1.25
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.37
1.25
1.42
1.20
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
5.00
-
-
2.00
5.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.03
1.47
2.00
1.33
2.07
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
2.25
1.17
2.50
1.17
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.47
1.88
1.67
1.67
1.25
2.12
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
@ 1.08-1.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
@ 6.72+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Under
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Pinnacle
7.26
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.32-7.3%
Under 2.5
36.9%
@ 3.13+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.36
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.0%
@ 1.86-9.2%
Under 3.5
59.0%
@ 1.87+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.96
Unibet
1.92
Superbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
SBO
1.88
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.6%
@ 1.53+5.5%
No
34.4%
@ 2.31-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
No
William Hil
2.38
888Sport
2.38
1xBet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 10.11+6.9%
1-2
8.3%@ 17.97+5.9%
2-1
8.3%@ 7.94+2.7%
2-2
6.8%@ 13.84+3.6%
0-1
5.3%@ 24.79+3.5%
1-0
5.2%@ 10.51+1.0%
0-2
5.1%@ 44.28+4.1%
2-0
5.1%@ 8.47-0.1%
ODD Ballklubb goals ↓
Asane goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
5.3%
5.1%
2.8%
1.1%
1
5.2%
11%
8.3%
4.5%
1.8%
2
5.1%
8.3%
6.8%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.8%
4.5%
3.7%
2.0%
0.8%
4
1.1%
1.8%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ODD Ballklubb goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kongsvinger
1.74
Egersund
1.72
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Haugesund
1.54
Stromsgodset
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Bryne
1.42
Sandnes ULF
1.23
Strommen
1.11
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
ODD Ballklubb is 0.07 points better than Asane in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
2.10
Haugesund
1.79
Egersund
1.72
Stromsgodset
1.72
Bryne
1.65
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.43
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Strommen
1.29
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
hodd
1.13
ODD Ballklubb is 0.03 goals worse than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lyn
1.23
Egersund
1.34
Haugesund
1.40
Stromsgodset
1.46
Bryne
1.51
Kongsvinger
1.52
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Strommen
1.93
Moss
2.12
ODD Ballklubb is 0.10 goals better than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.77).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ODD Ballklubb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.87
0.21
1.07
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.70
0.25
0.83
0.53
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.87
0.87
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.92
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.88
1.00
0.78
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ODD Ballklubb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
1.00
0.86
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.67
1.00
0.58
0.67
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.17
0.60
1.13
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.71
1.00
0.67
0.89
0.75
1.12
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.6%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (27)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (25)
€9m
STR (23)
€7m
BRY (23)
€6m
KON (26)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (21)
€4m
MOS (24)
€4m
LYN (25)
€4m
RAN (23)
€4m
HOD (21)
€3m
ASA (24)
€3m
SU (22)
€3m
RAU (21)
€2m
STR (24)
€2m
ODD Ballklubb's squad is €6m more valuable than Asane's (€9m vs €3m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bryne
Stabaek
hodd
Egersund
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
Lyn
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
Strommen
Ranheim
Raufoss
Moss
Sandnes ULF