ODD Ballklubb face Kongsvinger in a match where the model picks an away win with a 49% chance, compared to 28% for a home victory and 23% for a draw. The expected total is 3.7 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 21%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 9.2% probability. ODD Ballklubb, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Kongsvinger, on the road, averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against comparable opponents. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8%, Under 7.5 at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.5%, Under 6.5 at 92.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 91.2%, and Over 1.5 at 89.0%. The edge percentages highlight where the model outperforms market expectations.
Results analysis
The win for Kongsvinger extends their three-game winning run, while ODD Ballklubb’s recent form of LLDWD ends with a 0-1 defeat. The model’s favourite, Away win, was correct, reflecting the 49% probability that was assigned. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.6%, Under 7.5 hit at 96.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.1%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 92.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 92.1%, and Over 1.5 missed at 89.0%. The model’s selections performed largely as expected.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ODD Ballklubb win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.62
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.76
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.68
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 3.95
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
BetVictor
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Kongsvinger win✓ Hit
49.2%
Avg Implied 41.8% · @ 2.20
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
888Sport
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.22
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ODD Ballklubb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
3.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.90
1.36
2.00
1.25
1.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.32
1.68
1.42
1.50
1.25
1.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kongsvinger
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.57
2.20
1.80
2.47
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
2.05
1.90
2.08
2.08
2.00
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
3.00
0.78
2.67
0.67
3.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
89.0%
@ 1.05+0.5%
Under 1.5
11.0%
@ 8.10-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Under
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
BetVictor
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
71.0%
@ 1.24-3.6%
Under 2.5
29.0%
@ 3.66+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.85
1xBet
3.72
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.0%
@ 1.66-6.3%
Under 3.5
50.0%
@ 2.14+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.79
888Sport
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.19
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.4%
@ 1.24-3.8%
No
29.6%
@ 3.58+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
No
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.64
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%@ 9.26+4.4%
1-2
8.8%@ 9.31+4.0%
2-2
6.9%@ 9.13+2.0%
2-1
6.6%@ 10.24+2.2%
1-3
6.2%@ 13.02+2.7%
0-2
5.6%@ 17.43+3.0%
2-3
4.9%@ 13.12+1.4%
0-1 ✓
4.5%@ 17.33+1.9%
ODD Ballklubb goals ↓
Kongsvinger goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
4.5%
5.6%
3.9%
2.1%
1
3.2%
9.2%
8.8%
6.2%
3.2%
2
3.1%
6.6%
6.9%
4.9%
2.5%
3
1.6%
3.5%
3.6%
2.5%
1.3%
4
0.6%
1.4%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ODD Ballklubb goals (down), columns = Kongsvinger goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Ranheim
0.50
Raufoss
0.50
Moss
0.29
ODD Ballklubb is 1.02 points worse than Kongsvinger in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
ODD Ballklubb is 0.83 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
ODD Ballklubb is 0.45 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ODD Ballklubb or Draw✗ Miss
50.8%
Avg Implied 58.2% · @ 1.60
Edge
-7.3%
28%
23%
49%
covers ODD Ballklubb + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
ODD Ballklubb or Kongsvinger✓ Hit
77.3%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
+0.5%
28%
23%
49%
covers ODD Ballklubb + Kongsvinger
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Kongsvinger✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 65.0% · @ 1.43
Edge
+6.9%
28%
23%
49%
covers Draw + Kongsvinger
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.2%
@ 1.12-3.6%
Under
20.8%
@ 5.42+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.40
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.64-9.9%
Under
53.4%
@ 2.13+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.15
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 2.97-10.2%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.35+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.12
888Sport
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.35
ODD Ballklubb over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 6.16-7.7%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.10+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.8%
@ 1.09+2.3%
Under
12.2%
@ 6.37-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.11
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.1%
@ 1.52+0.8%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.40-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.62
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Unibet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.52
BetVictor
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.1%
@ 2.60-0.8%
Under
64.9%
@ 1.45+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.88
Unibet
2.63
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Kongsvinger over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 5.14-2.0%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.14+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
888Sport
1.11
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ODD Ballklubb, so a minus line means ODD Ballklubb give that many goals of a start and Kongsvinger receive them. At -1, ODD Ballklubb must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ODD Ballklubb win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ODD Ballklubb)Actual: Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb -2
5.2%
@ 8.90-4.9%
Draw -2
8.4%
@ 7.45-3.7%
Kongsvinger +2
86.4%
@ 1.16+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
Unibet
6.75
Away
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (ODD Ballklubb)Actual: Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb -1
13.6%
@ 4.45-6.5%
Draw -1
14.6%
@ 4.86-3.8%
Kongsvinger +1
71.8%
@ 1.45+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (ODD Ballklubb)Actual: Draw
ODD Ballklubb +1
50.8%
@ 1.61-4.6%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 4.51-0.0%
Kongsvinger -1
29.4%
@ 3.60+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.30
Away
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Handicap +2 (ODD Ballklubb)Actual: ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb +2
70.6%
@ 1.22-2.9%
Draw +2
15.0%
@ 6.38+0.9%
Kongsvinger -2
14.5%
@ 7.20+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Unibet
6.10
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.55
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ODD Ballklubb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.50
1.14
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.86
0.58
0.92
0.50
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kongsvinger
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
0.93
0.80
1.00
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.67
0.92
0.83
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.44
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.15-3.6%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 4.88+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 1.76-6.5%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 1.97+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.82
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
SBO
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 3.35-9.9%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.28+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Under
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 1.64-11.1%
Under
54.6%
@ 2.13+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Unibet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.07
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 4.03-11.0%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.20+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 8.75-8.0%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.04+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.5%
@ 1.55-3.5%
Under
43.5%
@ 2.32+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 3.60-5.9%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.24+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 8.90-4.5%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ODD Ballklubb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.86
0.86
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.82
0.83
0.58
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kongsvinger
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.97
1.27
1.00
1.47
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.24
1.17
1.25
1.22
1.22
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
0.33
1.67
0.00
1.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.08-3.6%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 7.08+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.80
William Hil
7.00
Betano
6.30
Superbet
6.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.3%
@ 1.43-13.5%
Under 1.5
48.7%
@ 2.62+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.69
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.66
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.0%
@ 2.32-13.8%
Under 2.5
74.0%
@ 1.54+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.7%
@ 1.42-14.6%
Under
49.3%
@ 2.67+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.4%
@ 2.93-15.2%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.35+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.85
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 6.85-10.1%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.06+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.7%
@ 1.36-6.3%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.88+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.75
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.2%
@ 2.63-6.9%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.43+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 6.05-7.4%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.09+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.1%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.06
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.0%
1.05
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Unibet
1.06
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.20
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.8%
1.09
888Sport
1.11
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
888Sport
1.11
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.35
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
+15.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
83.4%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.3%
1.28
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.2%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.2%
1.12
888Sport
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-3.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.1%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.35
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.3%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.54
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
+13.8%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.8%
1.43
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.8%
1.45
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
-
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.8%
1.43
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
71.0%
1.24
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
-3.6%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
70.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.4%
1.24
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-3.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ODD Ballklubb · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde21%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen19%
Torgeir Børven15%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen13%
Bilal Njie8%
Sheriff Sinyan8%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Steffen Hagen6%
Tony Miettinen6%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal5%
Syver Aas5%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen3%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Espen Ruud0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Espen Ruud29%
Leon Hien29%
Tony Miettinen28%
Etzaz Hussain25%
Mihajlo Ivančević23%
Sondre Solholm Johansen20%
Solomon Owusu16%
Josef Baccay14%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau14%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Alexander Fransson11%
Syver Aas10%
Kjetil Haug9%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Ole Erik Midtskogen7%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen4%
Bilal Njie4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Skree Skjeldal15%
Espen Ruud14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen10%
Sondre Solholm Johansen10%
Bilal Njie8%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Etzaz Hussain4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Syver Aas0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde29%
Oliver Jordan Hagen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Ole Erik Midtskogen11%
Torgeir Børven8%
Tony Miettinen6%
Syver Aas5%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Espen Ruud0%
Bilal Njie0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
ODD Ballklubb's squad is €3m more valuable than Kongsvinger's (€9m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ODD Ballklubb and Kongsvinger have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
ODD Ballklubb's midfield is €2m more valuable than Kongsvinger's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
ODD Ballklubb's defence is €2m more valuable than Kongsvinger's (€3m vs €2m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →