This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.63
1.43
1.21
1.31
2.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.88
0.75
1.25
1.25
2.50
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.57
1.67
1.22
1.33
1.83
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.3%
Under 2.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
Odense goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
4.7%
4.5%
2.4%
0.9%
1
5.3%
11%
7.9%
4.1%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.7%
6.8%
3.6%
1.4%
3
3.2%
5.0%
3.9%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.4%
2.2%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odense goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Odense is 0.81 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Odense is 0.34 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Odense is 0.88 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Odense is 2.2 percentage points worse than Aarhus in terms of average possession (51% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Odense
For 4.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 4.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 11.2 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Odense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.4
1.2
1.1
1.4
21.6
21.5
21.7
vs Stronger (2)
15.5
18.0
13.0
3.0
1.0
5.0
21.5
16.0
27.0
vs Similar (33)
8.5
7.3
9.6
1.5
1.4
1.5
21.3
22.2
20.6
vs Weaker (15)
16.5
19.0
14.0
0.5
0.4
0.6
23.5
23.0
24.0
% over line
41%
38%
44%
14%
8%
19%
53%
62%
44%
% under line
59%
62%
56%
86%
92%
81%
47%
38%
56%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.6
3.5
4.0
3.1
21.8
23.0
20.7
vs Stronger (14)
9.4
9.9
8.9
3.8
3.9
3.7
20.6
22.3
19.0
vs Similar (34)
9.6
9.7
9.4
3.1
3.7
2.7
21.9
23.0
20.7
vs Weaker (2)
13.5
10.0
17.0
7.5
9.0
6.0
29.5
28.0
31.0
% over line
43%
39%
48%
48%
54%
42%
48%
61%
35%
% under line
57%
61%
52%
52%
46%
58%
52%
39%
65%
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.2
Viborg
11.2
FC Midtjylland
11.0
Vejle
11.0
Odense
10.3
Brondby
10.0
Randers FC
9.8
Aarhus
9.6
Sonderjyske
9.5
FC Nordsjaelland
9.2
Silkeborg
8.8
FC Copenhagen
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.6
Aarhus
4.2
Odense
4.1
Brondby
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Randers FC
3.7
FC Midtjylland
3.6
FC Nordsjaelland
3.5
Vejle
3.4
Silkeborg
2.9
FC Fredericia
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Copenhagen
22.7
Viborg
22.3
FC Midtjylland
22.0
Sonderjyske
22.0
Aarhus
22.0
Odense
21.6
Vejle
21.5
Randers FC
21.4
Brondby
20.1
FC Nordsjaelland
19.7
Silkeborg
19.4
FC Fredericia
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.8%
Under 9.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.4%
Under 21.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.73
1.33
0.80
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.65
1.50
0.70
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.78
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.64
0.43
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.62
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.71
0.89
0.44
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
0.80
0.73
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.70
0.80
0.70
1.30
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.67
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
0.79
0.79
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.86
0.78
0.78
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Odense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Ganaus34%
Fiete Arp33%
Jona Niemiec20%
Jay-Roy Grot17%
Leeroy Owusu12%
William Martin12%
James Gomez8%
Marcus McCoy6%
Bjørn Paulsen5%
Ismahila Ouédraogo4%
Max Ejdum4%
Adam Sørensen4%
Nicolas Bürgy4%
Rasmus Falk Jensen3%
Julius Berthel Askou3%
Gustav Grubbe Madsen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Martin Hansen0%
Anssi Suhonen0%
Theo Sander0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Yaya Bojang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yaya Bojang26%
James Gomez25%
Julius Berthel Askou23%
Adam Sørensen14%
Theo Sander14%
Fiete Arp13%
Rasmus Falk Jensen10%
Bjørn Paulsen10%
Ismahila Ouédraogo8%
Jona Niemiec8%
Max Ejdum8%
Nicolas Bürgy7%
Marcus McCoy6%
Gustav Grubbe Madsen6%
Jay-Roy Grot3%
Leeroy Owusu3%
Noah Ganaus3%
Jacob Bonde0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Martin Hansen0%
Anssi Suhonen0%
Elias Hansborg0%
William Martin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Falk Jensen14%
Fiete Arp13%
Noah Ganaus12%
William Martin12%
Max Ejdum12%
Adam Sørensen11%
Jay-Roy Grot10%
Marcus McCoy10%
Jona Niemiec8%
Yaya Bojang4%
Nicolas Bürgy4%
Leeroy Owusu3%
Gustav Grubbe Madsen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Bjørn Paulsen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Martin Hansen0%
Anssi Suhonen0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Theo Sander0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Ganaus19%
Fiete Arp17%
Jona Niemiec16%
Jay-Roy Grot14%
Anssi Suhonen9%
Bjørn Paulsen5%
Nicolas Bürgy4%
Leeroy Owusu3%
Rasmus Falk Jensen0%
Gustav Grubbe Madsen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Martin Hansen0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Theo Sander0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Max Ejdum0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Yaya Bojang0%
William Martin0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Odense's squad is €18m less valuable than Aarhus's (€17m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Odense's attack is €6m less valuable than Aarhus's (€8m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Odense's midfield is €11m less valuable than Aarhus's (€3m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Odense's defence is €1m less valuable than Aarhus's (€7m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Viborg
Sonderjyske
Silkeborg
Randers FC
FC Fredericia
Vejle