This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.37
1.79
1.29
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.71
0.25
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.82
1.23
2.40
1.20
1.33
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
Odense goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
6.6%
6.2%
3.3%
1.3%
1
5.7%
12%
8.9%
4.7%
1.9%
2
4.9%
7.9%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
3
2.3%
3.8%
3.0%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odense goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Odense is 0.33 points better than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Odense is 0.33 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Odense is 0.67 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Odense is 6.8 percentage points worse than Aarhus in terms of average possession (51% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Odense
For 5.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 5.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Odense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.6
11.4
1.8
1.6
2.0
21.2
20.9
21.4
vs Stronger (15)
9.9
10.5
9.0
1.5
2.0
1.0
19.1
20.8
17.0
vs Similar (35)
12.0
12.1
11.9
1.9
1.4
2.3
21.8
20.9
22.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
74%
86%
65%
22%
18%
25%
48%
43%
53%
% under line
26%
14%
35%
78%
82%
75%
52%
57%
47%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.8
2.3
2.4
2.1
27.2
26.9
27.5
vs Stronger (11)
10.5
10.8
10.0
2.1
2.3
1.8
29.7
29.2
30.5
vs Similar (35)
10.3
10.6
10.1
2.4
2.8
2.2
26.2
25.9
26.5
vs Weaker (4)
6.0
-
6.0
1.2
0.0
2.5
33.0
-
33.0
% over line
56%
62%
50%
34%
40%
28%
81%
77%
86%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
66%
60%
72%
19%
23%
14%
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
11.0
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.6
Aarhus
9.6
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Copenhagen
3.7
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
28.1
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lyngby
24.1
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Randers FC
22.1
Odense
21.8
Sonderjyske
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.6
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.3%
Under 9.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.3%
Under 21.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Odense or Draw
59.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
41%
covers Odense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odense or Aarhus
73.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
41%
covers Odense + Aarhus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aarhus
66.9%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
41%
covers Draw + Aarhus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Odense over/under 0.5
Over
76.2%
Under
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5
Over
42.0%
Under
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5
Over
80.0%
Under
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5
Over
47.8%
Under
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 3.5
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Odense, so a minus line means Odense give that many goals of a start and Aarhus receive them. At -1, Odense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Odense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Odense)
Odense -2
5.8%
Draw -2
10.0%
Aarhus +2
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Odense)
Odense -1
15.8%
Draw -1
17.3%
Aarhus +1
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Odense)
Odense +1
59.3%
Draw +1
19.6%
Aarhus -1
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Odense)
Odense +2
78.9%
Draw +2
12.5%
Aarhus -2
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.46
0.92
0.71
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.83
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.42
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.57
0.50
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.50
0.80
0.50
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odense over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.00
0.54
0.71
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
0.67
1.25
0.75
2.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.71
0.89
0.44
0.47
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.21
0.79
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.73
1.60
0.70
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odense over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Odense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fiete Arp25%
Jacob Bonde17%
Noah Ganaus17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Gomez50%
Julius Berthel Askou40%
Ulrik Jenssen33%
Marcus McCoy33%
Rasmus Falk20%
Peter Therkildsen17%
Topi Keskinen17%
Ismahila Ouédraogo17%
Jacob Bonde0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Ganaus33%
Fiete Arp25%
Topi Keskinen17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristian Arnstad38%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson33%
Frederik Tingager25%
J. Bogere22%
J. Jønsson20%
J. Serra14%
R. Carstensen12%
Tobias Bech11%
Frederik Emmery11%
S. Jørgensen0%
Mikael Anderson0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
M. Knudsen0%
Gift Links0%
M. Solbakken0%
C. Rösler0%
Eric Kahl0%
J. Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Christian Storch0%
Mouhammade Camara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Knudsen33%
Christian Storch33%
Mouhammade Camara29%
C. Rösler25%
Stefen Tchamche25%
Eric Kahl22%
Frederik Emmery22%
Gift Links20%
Mikael Anderson14%
J. Andersen14%
R. Carstensen12%
Kristian Arnstad12%
J. Bogere11%
Frederik Tingager0%
S. Jørgensen0%
Tobias Bech0%
J. Serra0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
J. Jønsson0%
M. Solbakken0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Jørgensen33%
M. Solbakken33%
M. Knudsen22%
Kristian Arnstad12%
Tobias Bech11%
Eric Kahl11%
Frederik Emmery11%
Frederik Tingager0%
R. Carstensen0%
J. Serra0%
Mikael Anderson0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
Gift Links0%
J. Jønsson0%
C. Rösler0%
J. Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Christian Storch0%
J. Bogere0%
Mouhammade Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Jørgensen33%
J. Bogere33%
Frederik Emmery22%
J. Serra14%
Tobias Bech11%
Frederik Tingager0%
R. Carstensen0%
Mikael Anderson0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
M. Knudsen0%
Gift Links0%
J. Jønsson0%
M. Solbakken0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
C. Rösler0%
Eric Kahl0%
J. Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Christian Storch0%
Mouhammade Camara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Odense's squad is €18m less valuable than Aarhus's (€17m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Odense's attack is €6m less valuable than Aarhus's (€8m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Odense's midfield is €11m less valuable than Aarhus's (€3m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Odense's defence is €1m less valuable than Aarhus's (€7m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Silkeborg
Lyngby
Sonderjyske