Odense is coming off a win, having beaten Sonderjyske 1-0 in their last match. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses in their last five games. AC Horsens, on the other hand, has struggled, losing their last match to FC Midtjylland 1-2.
Odense is the favourite to win, with a 45% chance of a home win, followed by a 32% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of an away win. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome. The expected total number of goals is 2.1, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a probability of 14.5%.
At home, Odense has scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.4 goals per match, while AC Horsens has scored 0.93 goals and conceded 0.57 goals per match when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 84.8% and an edge of 20%. It also suggests Over 21.5 fouls, with a probability of 81.8%. The percentages for home and away wins are 45% and 23%, respectively, while the draw percentage is 32%.
Results analysis
The home team's recent struggles continued as they fell to a 1-2 defeat, handing the away side a much-needed win. The win extends their run of three victories in their last five matches. The model's selection, a Home win, was wrong, as the pre-match favourite's probability of 45% fell short. Instead, AC Horsens secured a 1-2 victory, a result that came as a surprise given the odds. The model's Under 3.5 selection was correct, hitting with a probability of 84.7%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Odense winâś— Miss
44.7%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.71
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
Dafabet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
SBO
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Drawâś— Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.59
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.90
Pinnacle
3.78
Dafabet
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Betano
3.65
AC Horsens winâś“ Hit
23.3%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.70
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.89
BetVictor
4.80
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Odense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.43
1.46
1.38
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
2.86
1.50
2.75
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.00
1.44
0.78
1.36
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.07
1.44
1.38
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.23
1.04
1.57
1.36
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.2%
@ 1.30-9.5%
Under 1.5
37.8%
@ 3.31+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.48
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.8%
@ 1.99-13.5%
Under 2.5
66.2%
@ 1.79+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
SBO
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Betfair
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.3%
@ 3.44-11.8%
Under 3.5
84.7%
@ 1.28+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.0%
@ 1.88-8.4%
No
59.0%
@ 1.83+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
No
Betfair
1.90
Unibet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.5%@ 6.07+7.1%
1-1
14.3%@ 6.52+7.3%
0-0
14.1%@ 9.30+9.2%
2-0
9.8%@ 7.43+3.7%
0-1
9.2%@ 11.16+5.1%
2-1
8.0%@ 7.67+2.1%
1-2 âś“
5.3%@ 14.04+2.1%
0-2
4.3%@ 23.39+2.4%
Odense goals ↓
AC Horsens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.2%
4.3%
1.2%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
5.3%
1.5%
0.3%
2
9.8%
8.0%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
3
4.0%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odense goals (down), columns = AC Horsens goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Odense is 0.33 points worse than AC Horsens in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Odense is 0.50 goals worse than AC Horsens in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Odense is 0.50 goals better than AC Horsens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Odense is 7.8 percentage points better than AC Horsens in terms of average possession (51% vs 43%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Odense or Drawâś— Miss
76.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
32%
23%
covers Odense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odense or AC Horsensâś“ Hit
68.0%
Avg Implied -
45%
32%
23%
covers Odense + AC Horsens
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AC Horsensâś“ Hit
55.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
32%
23%
covers Draw + AC Horsens
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.46
0.85
0.59
0.65
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
2.00
0.25
2.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.35
0.56
0.33
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.81
0.62
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.46
0.86
0.57
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.00
0.54
0.88
0.82
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
0.86
1.25
0.75
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.65
0.89
0.44
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.58
0.71
0.79
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 3.5
84.7%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+11.8%
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home or Draw
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.8%
1.40
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
-
+9.1%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.3%
1.41
Unibet
1.41
-
-
-
-
+7.2%
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Odense's squad is €7m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€17m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Odense's attack is €5m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€8m vs €4m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Odense and AC Horsens have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Odense's defence is €2m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€7m vs €4m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Randers FC
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske