Odishi 1919’s recent dip, highlighted by a 0-3 loss to Samtredia, contrasts sharply with Gareji’s two-game winning streak, ending 2-1 over Merani Martvili. That form edge, combined with the model’s 62% chance of an away win, makes the away side the clear favourite. The model also projects an average of 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2, giving a 12.1% chance for that exact result. Odishi’s home form shows a modest 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Gareji’s away record is 1.67 scored and 1.44 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Away +2 handicap (95.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.3%), Under 5.5 (94.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.0%) and Under 4.5 (86.8%). Home win probability stands at 14%, draw at 24%, and away win at 62%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Odishi 1919 win
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gareji win
59.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Odishi 1919
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.20
1.40
1.00
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gareji
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.63
1.25
2.06
1.50
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.72
1.00
2.00
1.64
1.36
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.20
3.00
2.50
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.0%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
Odishi 1919 goals ↓
Gareji goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
12%
12%
7.1%
3.2%
1
4.8%
12%
9.7%
5.8%
2.6%
2
2.4%
4.4%
4.0%
2.4%
1.1%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odishi 1919 goals (down), columns = Gareji goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Odishi 1919 is 0.38 points worse than Gareji in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Odishi 1919 is 0.62 goals worse than Gareji in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Odishi 1919 is 0.12 goals better than Gareji in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Odishi 1919 or Draw
40.3%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
60%
covers Odishi 1919 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 or Gareji
75.3%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
60%
covers Odishi 1919 + Gareji
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gareji
84.5%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
60%
covers Draw + Gareji
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5
Over
83.6%
Under
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 3.5
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Odishi 1919, so a minus line means Odishi 1919 give that many goals of a start and Gareji receive them. At -1, Odishi 1919 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Odishi 1919 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 -2
1.2%
Draw -2
3.9%
Gareji +2
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 -1
5.1%
Draw -1
10.5%
Gareji +1
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 +1
40.3%
Draw +1
24.4%
Gareji -1
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 +2
64.6%
Draw +2
18.8%
Gareji -2
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Odishi 1919
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gareji
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.62
1.06
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.32
0.80
0.43
1.07
0.18
0.45
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
2.00
1.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Odishi 1919
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gareji
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
0.62
1.00
1.21
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.92
0.57
0.93
1.45
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
1.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →