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Odishi 1919 vs Gareji Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 12:00
Odishi 1919
Odishi 1919
Vs
16%
25%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gareji
Gareji
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Odishi 1919’s recent dip, highlighted by a 0-3 loss to Samtredia, contrasts sharply with Gareji’s two-game winning streak, ending 2-1 over Merani Martvili. That form edge, combined with the model’s 62% chance of an away win, makes the away side the clear favourite. The model also projects an average of 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2, giving a 12.1% chance for that exact result. Odishi’s home form shows a modest 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Gareji’s away record is 1.67 scored and 1.44 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Away +2 handicap (95.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.3%), Under 5.5 (94.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.0%) and Under 4.5 (86.8%). Home win probability stands at 14%, draw at 24%, and away win at 62%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Odishi 1919 win
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gareji win
59.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W21W11D01L21W21W00D01L03LA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08A·MER15/08H·SIO22/08A·SAM28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.201.401.000.801.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.001.251.001.331.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.672.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W32W31W00D12L00D02L32W21WH·SPA10/12A·SPA14/12H·SAM30/05A·GOR13/06H·SHT17/06H·ODI22/06A·TEL08/08H·ARA15/08H·KOL22/08A·MER29/08← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.631.252.061.501.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.281.721.002.001.641.36
vs Weaker (5)1.801.203.002.501.000.33
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.0%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
Odishi 1919 goals ↓
Gareji goals →
01234
08.3%12%12%7.1%3.2%
14.8%12%9.7%5.8%2.6%
22.4%4.4%4.0%2.4%1.1%
30.7%1.2%1.1%0.7%0.3%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odishi 1919 goals (down), columns = Gareji goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Odishi 1919 is 0.38 points worse than Gareji in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Odishi 1919 is 0.62 goals worse than Gareji in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Odishi 1919 is 0.12 goals better than Gareji in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Odishi 1919 or Draw
40.3%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
60%
covers Odishi 1919 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 or Gareji
75.3%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
60%
covers Odishi 1919 + Gareji
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gareji
84.5%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
60%
covers Draw + Gareji
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5
Over
83.6%
Under
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 3.5
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Odishi 1919, so a minus line means Odishi 1919 give that many goals of a start and Gareji receive them. At -1, Odishi 1919 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Odishi 1919 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 -2
1.2%
Draw -2
3.9%
Gareji +2
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 -1
5.1%
Draw -1
10.5%
Gareji +1
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 +1
40.3%
Draw +1
24.4%
Gareji -1
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Odishi 1919)
Odishi 1919 +2
64.6%
Draw +2
18.8%
Gareji -2
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W11D01L21W11D00D01L02LA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08A·MER15/08H·SIO22/08A·SAM28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.800.800.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.750.750.670.67
vs Weaker (3)0.331.331.001.000.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W21W00D12L00D02L11D10WH·SPA10/12A·SPA14/12H·SAM30/05A·GOR13/06H·SHT17/06H·ODI22/06A·TEL08/08H·ARA15/08H·KOL22/08A·MER29/08← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.621.060.290.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.320.800.431.070.180.45
vs Weaker (5)1.200.602.001.000.670.33
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W00D00D00D00D10W00D00D01LA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08A·MER15/08H·SIO22/08A·SAM28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.300.600.200.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.290.500.250.670.33
vs Weaker (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W12L10W00D00D00D00D21W11DH·SPA10/12A·SPA14/12H·SAM30/05A·GOR13/06H·SHT17/06H·ODI22/06A·TEL08/08H·ARA15/08H·KOL22/08A·MER29/08← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.870.621.001.210.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.960.920.570.931.450.91
vs Weaker (5)0.600.601.001.500.330.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 6.598.2%-------
Away +2 handicap94.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals94.9%-------
Under 5.594.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals89.0%-------
Under 4.587.3%-------
Draw or Away84.5%-------
Away +1 handicap84.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals83.6%-------
Home under 1.5 goals80.1%-------
Home or Away75.3%-------
Over 1.574.9%-------
Under 3.572.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals72.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (2)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
O1 wins
0
Draws
0
GAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Odishi 1919 vs Gareji · H/A from O1
DateH/AGameScore
22/06/26AGareji Vs O11-2

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASamtredia Vs O13-0
22/08/26HO1 Vs Sioni0-1
15/08/26AMerani Martvili Vs O10-0
08/08/26HO1 Vs Kolkheti Poti2-1
22/06/26AGareji Vs O11-2
17/06/26ATelavi Vs O11-0
13/06/26HO1 Vs Aragvi Dusheti1-1
30/05/26HO1 Vs Shturmi2-1
15/12/25HO1 Vs Saburtalo II2-1
11/12/25ASaburtalo II Vs O12-2

GarejiGareji

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AMerani Martvili Vs GAR1-2
22/08/26HGAR Vs Kolkheti Poti3-2
15/08/26HGAR Vs Aragvi Dusheti0-2
08/08/26ATelavi Vs GAR0-0
22/06/26HGAR Vs Odishi 19191-2
17/06/26HGAR Vs Shturmi0-0
13/06/26AGori Vs GAR1-3
30/05/26HGAR Vs Samtredia3-2
14/12/25ASpaeri Vs GAR1-2
10/12/25HGAR Vs Spaeri0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Odishi 1919
Odishi 1919
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.50
HomeWWDWL2.00
AwayDLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%60%20%
AVG goals2.302.402.20
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %10%0%20%
Scored1.101.400.80
Conceded1.201.001.40
BTTS60%80%40%
Clean Sheet10%0%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Gareji
Gareji
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.18
HomeWDLLW1.04
AwayLWWDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%23%33%
AVG goals2.702.772.62
Over 1.5 %72%69%75%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored1.281.231.33
Conceded1.421.541.29
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi817
62%
2.1
83+5
1.4
38%
12%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.4
-
2GarejiGareji814
50%
1.8
1210+2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia813
50%
1.6
1612+4
3.5
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
4SioniSioni813
50%
1.6
1111+0
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti812
38%
1.5
1110+1
2.6
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Odishi 1919Odishi 1919811
38%
1.4
79-2
2.0
62%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
7GoriGori810
38%
1.2
119+2
2.5
62%
38%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8ShturmiShturmi88
25%
1.0
59-4
1.8
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti86
0%
0.8
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili85
12%
0.6
511-6
2.0
75%
38%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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