Odishi 1919, fresh off a win, host Kolkheti Poti, who drew their previous match. The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 38%, while the home win is 34% and the draw 27%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total being two goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13% probability.
At home, Odishi 1919 have scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 1, while Kolkheti Poti, away from home, have scored 0.75 goals and conceded 2.25 against stronger opponents. The model suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 78.7% and an edge of 9%. The model's selection, Over 1.5, is the most likely outcome, with a home win percentage of 34%, a draw percentage of 27%, and an away win percentage of 38%.
Results analysis
Odishi 1919 extended their winning run to 2 games with a 2-1 victory over Kolkheti Poti, securing a home win. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct, as it had a pre-match probability of 44%. The model's call was correct, as the actual result matched its prediction. The model's selection of an Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 80.5%, while the most likely total goals was 2, with a 24% probability. The model's selection of a home win was the favourite, and the most likely scores were 1-1, 2-1, and 1-0, with respective probabilities of 12.4%, 9.2%, and 7.5%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Odishi 1919 win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied 42.2% · @ 2.13
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.20
Dafabet
2.18
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.11
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Kolkheti Poti win✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.10
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.22
William Hil
3.20
Pinnacle
3.16
Marathonbet
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Odishi 1919
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.17
1.67
1.00
1.33
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.80
1.20
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolkheti Poti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.97
1.00
1.87
1.07
2.07
vs Stronger (15)
1.00
2.40
1.29
2.57
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.54
0.71
1.29
1.33
1.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.29+10.4%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 3.03-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Under
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Pinnacle
2.99
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.6%
@ 2.02+10.9%
Under 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.70-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
BetVictor
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
@ 3.47+8.1%
Under 3.5
65.8%
@ 1.22-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
@ 1.79+8.7%
No
40.0%
@ 1.89-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
No
Superbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 5.71+5.1%
2-1 ✓
9.2%@ 8.21+4.2%
1-0
7.5%@ 6.42+1.0%
1-2
7.3%@ 10.16+3.3%
2-0
7.1%@ 9.11+2.5%
0-0
6.4%@ 8.01+1.2%
2-2
6.0%@ 12.71+2.8%
0-1
5.7%@ 8.05+0.6%
Odishi 1919 goals ↓
Kolkheti Poti goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.7%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
1
7.5%
12%
7.3%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.2%
6.0%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.9%
5.1%
3.3%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.6%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odishi 1919 goals (down), columns = Kolkheti Poti goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Odishi 1919 is 0.62 points better than Kolkheti Poti in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Odishi 1919 is 0.12 goals worse than Kolkheti Poti in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Odishi 1919 is 0.12 goals better than Kolkheti Poti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Odishi 1919
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolkheti Poti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.67
0.60
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
1.27
0.71
1.00
0.12
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.54
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Odishi 1919
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.40
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolkheti Poti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.10
0.33
1.27
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
1.13
0.57
1.57
0.62
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.46
1.00
0.14
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.5%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Telavi
Gareji
Samtredia
Sioni
Aragvi Dusheti
Gori
Shturmi
Merani Martvili