The encounter between Odra Opole and Wisła Kraków is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 35%. Home and away win probabilities sit at 34% and 35% respectively, with a draw at 31%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.5% chance. Odra, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.67 goals scored and none conceded, while Wisła, on the road against a weaker opponent, nets 1.64 and concedes 1.45. The single suggested pick is Under 3.5 with a 79.3% probability, an edge that the model highlights. This balanced preview reflects the narrow margins: 34% home win, 31% draw, 35% away win, and the 79.3% chance that the total will stay below 3.5 goals.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Wisła Kraków secured a 1-2 away victory, extending their winning run. The favourite, “Away win,” carried a 35% probability and was indeed correct. The model’s selection of “Under 3.5” goals, with a 79.3% chance, also hit, as only three goals were scored. Odra Opole, coming off a draw, struggled at home, while Wisła, fresh from a win, displayed strong away form. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, yet the match settled on a 1-2 result, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Odra Opole win✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow win✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Odra Opole
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.90
1.27
0.53
1.00
1.27
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.71
0.67
0.00
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.00
1.45
0.73
0.80
1.30
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.23
2.12
1.18
1.69
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.40
0.80
2.67
1.00
2.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.84
1.32
2.00
1.21
1.64
1.45
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
1-2 ✓
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
Odra Opole goals ↓
Wisla Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
6.7%
2.6%
0.8%
1
10.0%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.5%
7.7%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.5%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odra Opole goals (down), columns = Wisla Krakow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Odra Opole is 0.04 points better than Wisla Krakow in terms of average points per game (1.51 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Odra Opole is 0.57 goals worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Odra Opole is 0.44 goals better than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Odra Opole
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.27
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.29
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.45
0.36
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.00
0.41
0.92
0.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.64
1.00
0.43
0.91
0.91
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Odra Opole
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.93
0.27
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.43
0.67
0.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.52
1.00
0.36
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.12
0.76
0.77
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.40
0.60
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.68
1.00
0.79
0.73
0.55
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wisla Krakow · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
Odra Opole's squad is €9m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€4m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
Odra Opole's attack is €4m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
Odra Opole and Wisla Krakow have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
Odra Opole's defence is €4m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€1m vs €5m).
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
Górnik Łęczna
Miedz Legnica
Wisla Plock
Tychy 71
Stal Rzeszów
Znicz Pruszków
Chrobry Głogów
Nieciecza
Polonia Warszawa
Resovia Rzeszów
Podbeskidzie
Zaglebie Sosnowiec