This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.07
1.50
1.21
1.25
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.70
1.50
1.83
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.86
0.79
1.80
0.80
1.89
0.78
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.01-0.2%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.76+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Aris Thessalonikis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
9.1%
6.8%
3.0%
1.0%
1
8.4%
14%
8.3%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.0%
7.8%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Aris Thessalonikis goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
OFI Crete is 0.55 points worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
OFI Crete is 0.07 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
OFI Crete is 0.47 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aris Thessalonikis
For 2.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 17.0 · Total 32.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.8
9.0
5.7
6.4
5.1
30.5
30.6
30.3
vs Stronger (17)
8.4
7.0
9.7
5.5
6.2
4.9
29.8
31.1
28.7
vs Similar (33)
8.4
8.2
8.6
5.8
6.5
5.2
30.8
30.4
31.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
20%
36%
82%
88%
76%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
72%
80%
64%
18%
12%
24%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.5
7.5
5.4
4.9
5.9
30.8
29.9
31.8
vs Stronger (15)
8.2
7.8
8.5
4.1
4.4
3.9
28.6
30.8
26.3
vs Similar (13)
9.2
9.8
8.7
5.9
5.2
6.6
30.5
30.7
30.4
vs Weaker (22)
8.2
10.2
6.4
6.0
5.2
6.7
32.3
28.8
35.5
% over line
38%
50%
26%
76%
72%
80%
93%
91%
95%
% under line
62%
50%
74%
24%
28%
20%
7%
9%
5%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
10.4
Lamia
9.1
Volos NFC
9.0
PAOK
8.8
Panetolikos
8.8
Panathinaikos
8.7
Asteras Tripolis
8.6
Levadiakos
8.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.4
OFI Crete
8.4
Aris Thessalonikis
8.4
Athens Kallithea
8.2
Kallithea
8.2
Atromitos
8.2
OFI
8.1
Panserraikos
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.9
Atromitos
6.1
Volos NFC
6.1
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
OFI
5.9
OFI Crete
5.7
Panathinaikos
5.7
AEK Athens FC
5.6
Athens Kallithea
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Kallithea
5.5
Lamia
5.1
Panetolikos
5.0
PAOK
5.0
Asteras Tripolis
4.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Athens Kallithea
33.5
Volos NFC
33.4
Levadiakos
32.0
Panserraikos
31.8
Kallithea
31.5
Aris Thessalonikis
30.6
Atromitos
30.5
OFI Crete
30.5
Panetolikos
30.3
OFI
30.1
Lamia
29.9
Asteras Tripolis
29.1
Panathinaikos
28.8
AEK Athens FC
27.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.8
PAOK
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
24.6%
Under 9.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
90.4%
Under 3.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.9%
Under 21.5
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.80
0.47
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.08
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.61
0.91
0.36
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.43
0.29
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.70
0.33
0.67
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.21
0.40
0.00
0.56
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.53
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.12
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.56
0.55
0.45
1.00
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.07
0.93
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.00
1.17
1.17
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
1.36
0.57
1.40
0.80
1.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aris Thessalonikis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Loren Morón47%
Manu García22%
Dario Špikić17%
Dudu14%
Monchu10%
Álvaro Zamora10%
Hamza Mendyl8%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov8%
Kike Saverio8%
Jakub Brabec7%
Hugo Mallo5%
José Cifuentes3%
Robin Quaison0%
Fabiano0%
Martín Montoya0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Juankar0%
Rubén Pardo0%
Pione Sisto0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Fran Vélez0%
Giannis Fetfatzidis0%
Jean Jules Mvondo0%
Valentino Fattore0%
Clayton Diandy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran Vélez33%
Martín Montoya32%
Monchu30%
Martin Frýdek27%
Hamza Mendyl25%
Hugo Mallo25%
Jean Jules Mvondo25%
Jakub Brabec24%
Álvaro Zamora20%
Fabiano17%
Vladimír Darida17%
Loren Morón17%
Dario Špikić17%
Manu García17%
Dudu14%
José Cifuentes14%
Lindsay Rose12%
Juankar11%
Rubén Pardo11%
Pione Sisto10%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov8%
Kike Saverio8%
Giannis Fetfatzidis5%
Clayton Diandy5%
Julián Cuesta3%
Robin Quaison0%
Valentino Fattore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Monchu27%
Hamza Mendyl17%
Martín Montoya14%
Kike Saverio12%
José Cifuentes10%
Pione Sisto10%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov8%
Manu García6%
Giannis Fetfatzidis5%
Clayton Diandy5%
Hugo Mallo5%
Loren Morón3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Robin Quaison0%
Fabiano0%
Dario Špikić0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Juankar0%
Rubén Pardo0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Fran Vélez0%
Jean Jules Mvondo0%
Valentino Fattore0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Dudu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Loren Morón40%
Manu García11%
Monchu10%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov8%
Dario Špikić8%
Vladimír Darida7%
Clayton Diandy5%
Kike Saverio4%
José Cifuentes3%
Hamza Mendyl0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Robin Quaison0%
Fabiano0%
Martín Montoya0%
Juankar0%
Rubén Pardo0%
Hugo Mallo0%
Pione Sisto0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Fran Vélez0%
Giannis Fetfatzidis0%
Jean Jules Mvondo0%
Valentino Fattore0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Dudu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia