This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.20
1.47
1.00
1.73
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
0.67
1.00
2.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.42
1.60
1.00
0.71
1.71
vs Weaker (13)
2.23
1.15
1.71
1.00
2.83
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.77+3.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.99-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-1 ✓
8.5%
0-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
8.5%
8.6%
5.1%
2.3%
1
5.0%
12%
9.8%
5.8%
2.6%
2
3.5%
6.2%
5.6%
3.3%
1.5%
3
1.3%
2.4%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
OFI Crete is 0.73 points worse than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
OFI Crete is 0.11 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
OFI Crete is 0.47 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 2.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 14.6 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
For 4.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 17.5 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.6
8.8
5.8
6.5
5.2
30.7
30.6
30.7
vs Stronger (16)
8.6
7.6
9.6
5.8
6.8
4.8
30.2
32.4
28.0
vs Similar (34)
8.0
7.6
8.4
5.9
6.4
5.4
30.9
29.8
31.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
26%
20%
32%
86%
92%
80%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
74%
80%
68%
14%
8%
20%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.2
7.8
5.8
5.9
5.7
29.1
28.5
29.7
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
11.0
8.5
6.1
6.2
6.0
23.4
25.3
20.5
vs Similar (19)
8.9
10.6
8.0
5.7
6.6
5.2
28.4
27.3
29.1
vs Weaker (24)
8.8
9.8
7.5
5.8
5.5
6.1
31.0
30.1
32.2
% over line
46%
64%
29%
86%
92%
81%
93%
95%
92%
% under line
54%
36%
71%
14%
8%
19%
7%
5%
8%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
10.3
Lamia
9.2
Panathinaikos
9.0
Volos NFC
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Athens Kallithea
8.6
Kallithea
8.6
Levadiakos
8.5
Panetolikos
8.4
Asteras Tripolis
8.2
OFI Crete
8.2
OFI
8.2
Panserraikos
8.1
Atromitos
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.9
Volos NFC
6.2
Atromitos
6.2
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
AEK Athens FC
5.9
OFI Crete
5.8
OFI
5.8
Panathinaikos
5.8
Athens Kallithea
5.7
Kallithea
5.7
Levadiakos
5.7
Lamia
5.3
Asteras Tripolis
5.3
PAOK
5.2
Panetolikos
5.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levadiakos
33.3
Volos NFC
33.2
Athens Kallithea
32.9
Panserraikos
31.4
Aris Thessalonikis
30.8
Kallithea
30.7
OFI Crete
30.7
OFI
30.4
Lamia
29.7
Atromitos
29.7
Panathinaikos
29.1
Panetolikos
29.0
Asteras Tripolis
28.3
AEK Athens FC
27.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.9
PAOK
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
29.4%
Under 9.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
89.0%
Under 3.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.0%
Under 21.5
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.87
0.40
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.20
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.43
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.60
0.92
0.33
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.80
0.80
0.14
0.86
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.54
0.86
0.43
1.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.67
0.73
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.30
1.33
1.33
0.00
1.29
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.60
0.50
0.58
1.12
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.73
0.47
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
0.80
0.20
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.62
0.86
0.57
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fotis Ioannidis30%
Karol Świderski27%
Tetê21%
Filip Đuričić20%
Alexander Jeremejeff14%
Andraž Šporar14%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Nemanja Maksimović11%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Anastasios Bakasetas6%
Adam Gnezda Čerin5%
Filip Mladenović5%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Willian Arão3%
Giorgos Vagiannidis3%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
George Baldock0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Philipp Max0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Manolis Siopis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filip Mladenović42%
Erik Palmer-Brown38%
Karol Świderski33%
George Baldock33%
Filip Đuričić25%
Tin Jedvaj23%
Zeca20%
Bart Schenkeveld19%
Philipp Max18%
Fotis Ioannidis16%
Nemanja Maksimović16%
Willian Arão15%
Andraž Šporar14%
Manolis Siopis14%
Giorgos Vagiannidis14%
Adam Gnezda Čerin14%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason13%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Tetê12%
Anastasios Bakasetas10%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Daniel Mancini8%
Alexander Jeremejeff7%
Giannis Kotsiras6%
Yury Lodygin0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karol Świderski20%
Azzedine Ounahi15%
Giannis Kotsiras12%
Nemanja Maksimović11%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Philipp Max9%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Daniel Mancini8%
Filip Mladenović8%
Filip Đuričić8%
Manolis Siopis7%
Tetê7%
Anastasios Bakasetas6%
Giorgos Vagiannidis6%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Fotis Ioannidis3%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Willian Arão0%
George Baldock0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Alexander Jeremejeff0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Andraž Šporar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tetê26%
Fotis Ioannidis22%
Karol Świderski20%
Filip Đuričić12%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Alexander Jeremejeff11%
Daniel Mancini4%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Anastasios Bakasetas3%
Facundo Pellistri3%
Willian Arão3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Nemanja Maksimović3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Filip Mladenović0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
George Baldock0%
Philipp Max0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Andraž Šporar0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia