The Pythia prediction model suggests a Home win as the most likely result in this Super League 1 match between OFI and Volos NFC on August 23rd. OFI's recent form is a storyline worth noting, having come off a win, especially after beating Volos NFC 3-1 in their last encounter. However, Volos NFC's recent form is concerning, with 5 straight defeats.
The probabilities suggest a 54% chance of an OFI win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance of a Volos NFC win. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.8%.
In terms of scoring and conceding, OFI has averaged 2.22 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded at home, while Volos NFC has averaged 1 goal scored and 2 goals conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (94.1%), Over 3.5 cards (80.3%), Home or Draw (80.1% with a 3% edge), Over 1.5 (80.0% with a 5% edge), and Home or Away (76.7% with a 3% edge). The percentages for each possible match result are: OFI win (54%), draw (25%), and Volos NFC win (21%).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as OFI secured a 2-0 home win, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 57 % probability and was correct. The final score of 2-0 matched the most likely outcome. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Under 7.5 at 98.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 97.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1 %, Under 6.5 at 95.8 %, and Over 21.5 fouls at 93.2 %. The model’s selections performed consistently, confirming the accuracy of its overall forecast.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
OFI win✓ Hit
57.2%
Avg Implied 42.6% · @ 2.18
Edge
+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Dafabet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.21
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.40
Dafabet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Volos NFC win✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.29
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.54
Betano
3.50
888Sport
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.36
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
OFI
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.33
1.79
0.86
1.19
1.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.10
1.00
1.67
0.71
2.29
vs Similar (19)
1.74
1.00
1.90
0.70
1.56
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volos NFC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.63
1.19
1.38
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.60
1.17
1.33
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.65
1.20
1.40
1.20
1.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.28+9.5%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 3.49-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.71
Superbet
3.65
888Sport
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.90+10.5%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 1.87-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.98
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
@ 3.16+8.2%
Under 3.5
62.2%
@ 1.33-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.26
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Unibet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.9%
@ 1.68+3.7%
No
41.1%
@ 2.07-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Superbet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
No
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%@ 5.92+3.3%
2-1
9.9%@ 8.16+4.4%
2-0 ✓
9.0%@ 10.33+4.6%
1-0
7.9%@ 7.50+2.0%
3-1
6.6%@ 15.57+3.8%
3-0
6.0%@ 19.15+3.6%
2-2
5.5%@ 12.00+1.8%
1-2
5.5%@ 10.49+1.2%
OFI goals ↓
Volos NFC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
3.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.9%
11%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.0%
6.6%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.0%
3.3%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI goals (down), columns = Volos NFC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
OFI is 0.19 points better than Volos NFC in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
OFI is 0.32 goals better than Volos NFC in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
OFI is 0.05 goals worse than Volos NFC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
OFI is 0.9 percentage points worse than Volos NFC in terms of average possession (45% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OFI
For 2.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Volos NFC
For 3.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OFI
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.1
9.0
4.1
3.9
4.4
29.1
29.6
28.5
vs Stronger (13)
6.0
5.6
6.5
3.1
3.7
2.6
26.7
27.2
26.0
vs Similar (34)
9.1
8.6
9.7
4.6
4.0
5.2
30.0
30.6
29.4
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
13.0
9.0
3.7
3.5
4.0
26.5
28.0
25.0
% over line
36%
25%
47%
66%
69%
62%
92%
90%
95%
% under line
64%
75%
53%
34%
31%
38%
8%
10%
5%
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volos NFC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.1
8.3
4.6
4.5
4.7
29.7
29.5
30.0
vs Stronger (16)
8.9
8.7
9.0
4.7
4.6
4.8
28.6
27.7
29.6
vs Similar (34)
8.7
9.3
7.9
4.6
4.5
4.7
30.3
30.4
30.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
41%
24%
74%
72%
76%
91%
91%
90%
% under line
67%
59%
76%
26%
28%
24%
9%
9%
10%
This opponent (OFI) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
Kalamata
9.0
OFI
9.0
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.4
Iraklis 1908
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
OFI
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Kalamata
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
Panetolikos
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Iraklis 1908
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kalamata
38.0
Iraklis 1908
36.5
Kifisia
32.2
Atromitos
30.4
Levadiakos
30.3
Volos NFC
30.3
AEK Athens FC
29.5
OFI
28.5
Aris Thessalonikis
28.4
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
29.6%
@ 2.43-8.4%
Under 9.5
70.4%
@ 1.49+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.27
Under
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.8%
Under 3.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.2%
Under 21.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
OFI or Draw✓ Hit
80.1%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
+8.6%
57%
23%
19%
covers OFI + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.32
OFI or Volos NFC✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
+5.0%
57%
23%
19%
covers OFI + Volos NFC
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Draw or Volos NFC✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied 56.7% · @ 1.65
Edge
-13.5%
57%
23%
19%
covers Draw + Volos NFC
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.65
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
OFI over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.7%
@ 1.21+10.0%
Under
13.3%
@ 4.00-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.24
888Sport
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
OFI over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.9%
@ 2.09+15.1%
Under
40.1%
@ 1.70-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Under
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.70
OFI over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.8%
@ 4.45+11.9%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.18-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
OFI over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 10.03+5.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.04-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
9.70
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Volos NFC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.9%
@ 1.36-0.5%
Under
32.1%
@ 2.94+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Volos NFC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.4%
@ 2.77-2.2%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.40+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.82
1xBet
2.82
888Sport
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Volos NFC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 6.87-2.9%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.08+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Volos NFC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 18.38-2.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to OFI, so a minus line means OFI give that many goals of a start and Volos NFC receive them. At -1, OFI must win by two or more to land; a one-goal OFI win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (OFI)Actual: Draw
OFI -2
17.1%
@ 9.25+7.4%
Draw -2
17.6%
@ 6.45+3.6%
Volos NFC +2
65.3%
@ 1.18-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.20
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
5.90
Away
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (OFI)Actual: OFI
OFI -1
34.7%
@ 4.12+12.9%
Draw -1
22.1%
@ 3.83-1.4%
Volos NFC +1
43.2%
@ 1.64-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.85
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Away
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Handicap +1 (OFI)Actual: OFI
OFI +1
80.1%
@ 1.30+11.2%
Draw +1
12.0%
@ 4.95-6.1%
Volos NFC -1
7.9%
@ 6.94-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Away
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.30
Handicap +2 (OFI)Actual: OFI
OFI +2
92.1%
@ 1.07+6.2%
Draw +2
5.6%
@ 10.00-3.6%
Volos NFC -2
2.4%
@ 18.50-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Away
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OFI
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.14
0.43
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.33
0.67
0.43
1.29
vs Similar (19)
1.11
0.47
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volos NFC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.31
0.69
0.64
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.80
0.30
0.60
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.39+4.2%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 2.86-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.74+0.7%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.41-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Pinnacle
2.86
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Under
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 6.77-1.1%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.08+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
William Hil
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.3%
@ 1.91+5.7%
Under
45.7%
@ 1.81-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Under
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.74
OFI over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.4%
@ 5.55-0.3%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.11+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.40
10Bet
5.00
Under
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
OFI over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 14.75-2.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Volos NFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.9%
@ 2.31-6.4%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.56+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.52
Volos NFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 7.78-3.0%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
8.40
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Volos NFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 27.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OFI
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.64
0.43
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.53
0.70
0.30
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volos NFC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.88
0.69
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.83
0.50
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.85
0.90
0.80
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.23+4.2%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 3.82-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.0%
@ 2.07+3.7%
Under 1.5
51.0%
@ 1.71-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 4.35-1.2%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.19+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Superbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.0%
@ 1.62+0.9%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.16-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.12
OFI over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.6%
@ 4.00+3.5%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.20-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
OFI over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 10.50-1.5%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.03+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Volos NFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.88-2.7%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.83+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Volos NFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 5.45-4.2%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.40
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Volos NFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 14.00-4.5%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.1%
1.14
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.06
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.7%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.6%
1.11
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.1%
1.31
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.1%
1.30
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-5.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.39
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.37
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.4%
1.49
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
+8.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
OFI · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eddie Salcedo35%
Taxiarchis Fountas28%
Juan Angel Neira25%
Thiago Nuss16%
Athanasios Androutsos10%
Giannis Theodosoulakis10%
Levan Shengelia7%
Aaron Leya Iseka6%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada6%
Konstantinos Kostoulas5%
Zisis Karachalios4%
Vasilis Lampropoulos4%
Giannis Apostolakis4%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Nikolaos Marinakis0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Filip Bainović0%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Kevin Lewis0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Klidman Lilo0%
Manolis Faitakis0%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis0%
Thiago Romano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Nuss48%
Manolis Faitakis33%
Eddie Salcedo31%
Nikolaos Marinakis27%
Juan Angel Neira25%
Giannis Apostolakis25%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis25%
Achilleas Poungouras23%
Athanasios Androutsos17%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis17%
Kevin Lewis17%
Nikolaos Athanasiou14%
Giannis Theodosoulakis14%
Levan Shengelia13%
Zisis Karachalios13%
Aaron Leya Iseka12%
Filip Bainović12%
Krešimir Krizmanić10%
Klidman Lilo10%
Konstantinos Kostoulas10%
Georgios Kanellopoulos8%
Vasilis Lampropoulos8%
Taxiarchis Fountas8%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada6%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos5%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Thiago Romano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolaos Athanasiou21%
Thiago Nuss20%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada17%
Georgios Kanellopoulos17%
Juan Angel Neira12%
Levan Shengelia10%
Konstantinos Kostoulas10%
Nikolaos Marinakis9%
Eddie Salcedo8%
Athanasios Androutsos7%
Aaron Leya Iseka6%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos5%
Taxiarchis Fountas4%
Vasilis Lampropoulos0%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Zisis Karachalios0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Filip Bainović0%
Kevin Lewis0%
Giannis Apostolakis0%
Giannis Theodosoulakis0%
Klidman Lilo0%
Manolis Faitakis0%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis0%
Thiago Romano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thiago Nuss32%
Eddie Salcedo15%
Taxiarchis Fountas12%
Aaron Leya Iseka6%
Konstantinos Kostoulas5%
Vasilis Lampropoulos0%
Athanasios Androutsos0%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Levan Shengelia0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Nikolaos Marinakis0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Juan Angel Neira0%
Zisis Karachalios0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Filip Bainović0%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada0%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Kevin Lewis0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Giannis Apostolakis0%
Giannis Theodosoulakis0%
Klidman Lilo0%
Manolis Faitakis0%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis0%
Thiago Romano0%
Volos NFC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Said Hamulić27%
Jan Hurtado25%
Lazaros Lamprou23%
Joca Fernandes15%
Maximiliano Comba14%
David Martínez11%
Juanpi Añor10%
Iason Kyrkos10%
Matías González6%
Núrio Fortuna6%
Giannis Kargas4%
Marios Siampanis0%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Tasos Tsokanis0%
Georgios Mygas0%
André Moreira0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Carles Soria0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Nabil Makni0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Lefteris Tasiouras0%
Konstantinos Lykourinos0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maximiliano Comba41%
Giannis Kargas40%
David Martínez37%
Jan Hurtado33%
Núrio Fortuna33%
Konstantinos Lykourinos33%
Leroy Abanda31%
Georgios Mygas29%
Athanasios Triantafyllou29%
Hjörtur Hermannsson25%
Nabil Makni24%
Jasin Assehnoun21%
Tasos Tsokanis20%
Lefteris Tasiouras17%
Giannis Bouzoukis16%
Marios Siampanis15%
Juanpi Añor14%
Said Hamulić13%
Matías González12%
Iason Kyrkos10%
Carles Soria10%
Óscar Pinchi8%
Lazaros Lamprou3%
Joca Fernandes0%
André Moreira0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Said Hamulić13%
Leroy Abanda12%
Núrio Fortuna11%
Jan Hurtado8%
Óscar Pinchi8%
Joca Fernandes7%
Maximiliano Comba7%
Matías González6%
Carles Soria5%
Giannis Bouzoukis4%
Georgios Mygas4%
Lazaros Lamprou3%
Marios Siampanis0%
Juanpi Añor0%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Tasos Tsokanis0%
Giannis Kargas0%
André Moreira0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Nabil Makni0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Iason Kyrkos0%
Lefteris Tasiouras0%
David Martínez0%
Konstantinos Lykourinos0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Said Hamulić27%
Jan Hurtado25%
Juanpi Añor14%
Lazaros Lamprou13%
Maximiliano Comba7%
Giannis Kargas4%
Marios Siampanis0%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Tasos Tsokanis0%
Georgios Mygas0%
Joca Fernandes0%
André Moreira0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Carles Soria0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Matías González0%
Nabil Makni0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Iason Kyrkos0%
Lefteris Tasiouras0%
David Martínez0%
Konstantinos Lykourinos0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
OFI's squad is €7m more valuable than Volos NFC's (€18m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
OFI's attack is €3m more valuable than Volos NFC's (€6m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
OFI's midfield is €2m more valuable than Volos NFC's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
OFI's defence is €3m more valuable than Volos NFC's (€8m vs €5m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos