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Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Result & Analysis

Date: 19/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-4
Ogre United
Ogre United
vs
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ogre United win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W30W10W00D11D12L30W10W04L21WH·AUG14/09H·RIG20/09H·SMI27/09H·RĪG04/10H·JDF18/10A·RIG25/10H·SKA01/11A·MĀR08/11A·FK 30/06A·SUP06/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.003.000.501.941.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.731.182.400.201.172.00
vs Weaker (19)2.840.893.330.672.401.10
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (BFC Daugavpils) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W15L01L10W00D22D12L13L13L31WH·GRO15/09A·RĪG21/09H·RIG29/09H·AUD05/10A·FS 18/10H·SUP25/10H·FK 02/11A·MET09/11A·RĪG30/06H·FK 04/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.871.711.861.061.88
vs Stronger (16)1.192.191.142.291.222.11
vs Similar (11)1.361.272.001.330.601.20
vs Weaker (3)2.332.334.002.001.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.60
FK Liepaja
2.00
Auda
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.86
Super Nova
1.40
Grobiņa
0.67
Ogre United
0.67
FS Jelgava
0.50
Tukums
0.43
Ogre United is 1.19 points worse than BFC Daugavpils in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga
3.20
Rīgas FS
2.40
FK Liepaja
2.17
BFC Daugavpils
1.71
Super Nova
1.20
Auda
1.20
Grobiņa
1.17
Ogre United
1.17
Tukums
0.71
FS Jelgava
0.67
Ogre United is 0.55 goals worse than BFC Daugavpils in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga
0.40
Rīgas FS
0.60
Auda
0.60
BFC Daugavpils
0.86
Super Nova
1.00
FK Liepaja
1.17
FS Jelgava
1.83
Tukums
2.14
Grobiņa
3.00
Ogre United
3.00
Ogre United is 2.14 goals worse than BFC Daugavpils in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W00D00D00D10W10W03L00DH·AUG14/09H·RIG20/09H·SMI27/09H·RĪG04/10H·JDF18/10A·RIG25/10H·SKA01/11A·MĀR08/11A·FK 30/06A·SUP06/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.500.140.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.731.000.000.331.33
vs Weaker (19)1.210.261.780.220.700.30
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (BFC Daugavpils) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L00D10W00D10W00D12L01L10WH·GRO15/09A·RĪG21/09H·RIG29/09H·AUD05/10A·FS 18/10H·SUP25/10H·FK 02/11A·MET09/11A·RĪG30/06H·FK 04/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.790.710.310.88
vs Stronger (16)0.380.750.710.570.110.89
vs Similar (11)0.550.730.830.830.200.60
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.001.001.501.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ogre United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D00D11D12L20W00D01L21WH·AUG14/09H·RIG20/09H·SMI27/09H·RĪG04/10H·JDF18/10A·RIG25/10H·SKA01/11A·MĀR08/11A·FK 30/06A·SUP06/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.571.500.361.380.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.090.451.400.200.830.67
vs Weaker (19)1.630.631.560.441.700.80
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (BFC Daugavpils) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L01L00D00D12L12L01L12L21WH·GRO15/09A·RĪG21/09H·RIG29/09H·AUD05/10A·FS 18/10H·SUP25/10H·FK 02/11A·MET09/11A·RĪG30/06H·FK 04/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.070.931.140.751.00
vs Stronger (16)0.811.440.431.711.111.22
vs Similar (11)0.820.551.170.500.400.60
vs Weaker (3)1.001.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ogre United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (24)
€13m
AUD (16)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (9)
€6m
AUD (7)
€2m
BD (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€2m
BD (6)
€1m
AUD (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€5m
AUD (9)
€2m
BD (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OU wins
0
Draws
0
BD wins

Head-to-head

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils · H/A from OU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/07/26ASuper Nova Vs OU1-2
30/06/26AFK Liepaja Vs OU4-0
08/11/25AMārupe Vs OU0-1
01/11/25HOU Vs Skanste3-0
25/10/25ARiga FC II Vs OU2-1
18/10/25HOU Vs JDFS Alberts1-1
04/10/25HOU Vs Rīgas FS II0-0
27/09/25HOU Vs Smiltene1-0
20/09/25HOU Vs Riga Mariners3-0
14/09/25HOU Vs Augšdaugava3-0

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26HBD Vs FK Liepaja3-1
30/06/26ARīgas FS Vs BD3-1
09/11/25AMetta / LU Vs BD3-1
02/11/25HBD Vs FK Liepaja1-2
25/10/25HBD Vs Super Nova2-2
18/10/25AFS Jelgava Vs BD0-0
05/10/25HBD Vs Auda1-0
29/09/25HBD Vs Riga0-1
21/09/25ARīgas FS Vs BD5-1
15/09/25HBD Vs Grobiņa3-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Ogre United
Ogre United
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.76
HomeWWDDW2.35
AwayWLWLW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%70%37%
AVG goals3.363.353.37
Over 1.5 %86%83%89%
Over 2.5 %70%70%70%
Over 3.5 %42%39%44%
Scored2.082.611.63
Conceded1.280.741.74
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet36%48%26%
Corners---
Cards---
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.24
HomeLWDLW1.54
AwayWLDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%17%
AVG goals3.263.542.96
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %62%69%54%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.441.771.08
Conceded1.821.771.88
BTTS66%62%71%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RigaRiga515
100%
3.0
162+14
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6253.20.4
-
2Rīgas FSRīgas FS513
80%
2.6
123+9
3.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.6
-
3BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils713
57%
1.9
126+6
2.6
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.9
-
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
5AudaAuda510
60%
2.0
63+3
1.8
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2021.20.6
-
6Super NovaSuper Nova57
40%
1.4
65+1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Ogre UnitedOgre United64
17%
0.7
718-11
4.2
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.23.0
-
8GrobiņaGrobiņa64
17%
0.7
718-11
4.2
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.23.0
-
9FS JelgavaFS Jelgava63
17%
0.5
411-7
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
10TukumsTukums73
14%
0.4
515-10
2.9
86%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

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