Ogre United vs FS Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 2-3

Ogre United

37%

31%

32%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

FS Jelgava

Latvia: Virsliga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The upcoming matchup between Ogre United and FS Jelgava in the Latvia: Virsliga league is finely balanced, with Ogre United coming off a defeat and FS Jelgava struggling with a five-game losing streak. Ogre United has historically performed well at home, scoring an average of 2.78 goals and conceding just 0.89, especially against weaker opponents. In contrast, FS Jelgava has struggled to score when away, averaging only 1 goal, while conceding 2.17 goals against stronger opponents.

The model predicts Ogre United as the favourite to win with a 37% chance, followed by a draw at 31%, and FS Jelgava winning at 32%. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1 with a 14.5% probability. FS Jelgava's away form suggests they may struggle to score, which is reflected in the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals with an 79.4% probability.

Results analysis

The upset came early as FS Jelgava overturned Ogre United’s home advantage, winning 3-2 and ending Ogre’s run of two straight defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 37 % probability and the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 2-3 matched the actual result of an away win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 99.1 %, Under 6.5 at 99.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.3 %, Under 5.5 at 96.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.5 % and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.1 %. The low-scoring affair confirmed the model’s heavy lean toward a quiet match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ogre United win✗ Miss

37.0%

Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.12

Edge

+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

3.85

Unibet

3.35

1xBet

3.21

BetVictor

3.20

Marathonbet

3.12

Draw✗ Miss

30.8%

Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.41

Edge

+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.83

Betfair

3.50

Marathonbet

3.50

10Bet

3.50

1xBet

3.42

FS Jelgava win✓ Hit

32.2%

Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.04

Edge

-12.1%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.15

Superbet

2.12

Betano

2.12

SBO

2.11

William Hil

2.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ogre United

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.33	1.17	2.64	0.64	2.06	1.62
vs Stronger (1)	1.00	4.00	-	-	1.00	4.00
vs Similar (15)	1.93	1.40	2.57	0.86	1.38	1.88
vs Weaker (14)	2.86	0.71	2.71	0.43	3.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (FS Jelgava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FS Jelgava

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	1.47	0.87	1.20	0.93	1.73
vs Stronger (15)	0.87	1.73	0.78	1.44	1.00	2.17
vs Similar (12)	0.67	1.08	0.50	0.50	0.75	1.38
vs Weaker (3)	2.00	1.67	2.00	1.50	2.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	10% (-18pp vs league)

This opponent (Ogre United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

68.9%

@ 1.21-7.2%

Under 1.5

31.1%

@ 3.85+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.25

Bet365

1.25

BetVictor

1.22

1xBet

1.21

Betfair

1.20

Under

Betfair

4.33

Marathonbet

4.00

Superbet

3.85

Unibet

3.80

BetVictor

3.80

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

41.1%

@ 1.70-13.2%

Under 2.5

58.9%

@ 2.03+13.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.80

10Bet

1.77

BetVictor

1.76

SBO

1.75

1xBet

1.75

Under

Pinnacle

2.22

Betfair

2.10

Marathonbet

2.08

Superbet

2.07

SBO

2.03

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

20.6%

@ 2.75-12.9%

Under 3.5

79.4%

@ 1.38+12.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

3.00

10Bet

2.95

Betfair

2.88

1xBet

2.83

Bet365

2.75

Under

Pinnacle

1.46

Superbet

1.41

Bet365

1.40

Betfair

1.40

Marathonbet

1.39

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

48.5%

@ 1.61-8.6%

51.5%

@ 2.15+8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

10Bet

1.67

Bet365

1.67

William Hil

1.67

BetVictor

1.62

1xBet

1.62

Superbet

2.27

Betfair

2.25

Marathonbet

2.20

BetVictor

2.15

Unibet

2.14

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

14.5%@ 6.11+7.5%

0-0

11.1%@ 11.37+7.3%

1-0

10.5%@ 9.93+6.2%

0-1

9.6%@ 7.75+4.1%

2-1

8.0%@ 9.97+3.7%

1-2

7.4%@ 7.72+1.8%

2-0

7.2%@ 15.95+4.5%

0-2

6.1%@ 9.64+1.7%

Ogre United goals ↓

	FS Jelgava goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	11%	9.6%	6.1%	2.3%	0.6%
1	11%	15%	7.4%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.2%	8.0%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.9%	3.2%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ogre United goals (down), columns = FS Jelgava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Rīgas FS

2.43

Riga

2.29

Auda

2.00

FK Liepaja

1.88

BFC Daugavpils

1.62

Super Nova

1.33

Grobiņa

1.00

FS Jelgava

0.86

Ogre United

0.57

Tukums

0.38

Ogre United is 0.29 points worse than FS Jelgava in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 0.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Riga

3.00

Rīgas FS

2.57

FK Liepaja

2.00

BFC Daugavpils

1.50

Super Nova

1.17

Auda

1.14

FS Jelgava

1.14

Grobiņa

1.14

Ogre United

1.00

Tukums

0.75

Ogre United is 0.14 goals worse than FS Jelgava in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Auda

0.57

Rīgas FS

0.86

BFC Daugavpils

0.88

Super Nova

1.00

Riga

1.14

FK Liepaja

1.25

FS Jelgava

1.71

Tukums

2.38

Grobiņa

2.57

Ogre United

3.00

Ogre United is 1.29 goals worse than FS Jelgava in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Ogre United or Draw✗ Miss

67.8%

Avg Implied 54.5% · @ 1.67

Edge

+13.3%

37%

31%

32%

covers Ogre United + Draw

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

1.91

Bet365

1.73

William Hil

1.70

Unibet

1.68

Marathonbet

1.66

Ogre United or FS Jelgava✓ Hit

69.2%

Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.24

Edge

-4.3%

37%

31%

32%

covers Ogre United + FS Jelgava

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.29

BetVictor

1.29

Betano

1.27

Betfair

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Draw or FS Jelgava✓ Hit

63.0%

Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.27

Edge

-8.9%

37%

31%

32%

covers Draw + FS Jelgava

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.32

Betfair

1.30

BetVictor

1.30

Superbet

1.30

William Hil

1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Ogre United over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

70.2%

@ 1.33+1.7%

Under

29.8%

@ 2.90-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.40

1xBet

1.31

Marathonbet

1.28

Under

Marathonbet

3.14

1xBet

2.97

10Bet

2.60

Ogre United over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

34.2%

@ 2.60-1.3%

Under

65.8%

@ 1.43+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

2.95

1xBet

2.61

Marathonbet

2.45

Pinnacle

2.41

Under

Pinnacle

1.55

Marathonbet

1.46

1xBet

1.41

10Bet

1.30

Ogre United over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

12.3%

@ 6.15-2.4%

Under

87.7%

@ 1.06+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.40

Marathonbet

5.90

Under

Marathonbet

1.07

1xBet

1.05

Ogre United over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

3.5%

Under

96.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FS Jelgava over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

67.2%

@ 1.16-11.6%

Under

32.8%

@ 4.29+11.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.16

10Bet

1.15

Under

10Bet

4.33

1xBet

4.25

FS Jelgava over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

30.7%

@ 1.87-18.7%

Under

69.3%

@ 1.82+18.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.94

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathonbet

1.85

10Bet

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.87

10Bet

1.85

Marathonbet

1.83

1xBet

1.75

FS Jelgava over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

10.3%

@ 3.83-13.4%

Under

89.7%

@ 1.19+13.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.98

Marathonbet

3.68

Under

Marathonbet

1.20

1xBet

1.17

FS Jelgava over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

2.7%

@ 7.00-10.6%

Under

97.3%

@ 1.07+10.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.00

Under

1xBet

1.07

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ogre United, so a minus line means Ogre United give that many goals of a start and FS Jelgava receive them. At -1, Ogre United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ogre United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Ogre United)Actual: FS Jelgava

Ogre United -2

5.5%

@ 19.00+0.6%

Draw -2

11.0%

@ 11.00+2.5%

FS Jelgava +2

83.5%

@ 1.08-3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

19.00

Draw

Bet365

11.00

Away

Bet365

1.08

Handicap -1 (Ogre United)Actual: FS Jelgava

Ogre United -1

16.5%

@ 6.78+3.6%

Draw -1

20.5%

@ 4.92+2.8%

FS Jelgava +1

63.0%

@ 1.26-6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.55

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.85

Away

Marathonbet

1.27

Bet365

1.25

Handicap +1 (Ogre United)Actual: Draw

Ogre United +1

67.8%

@ 1.73+16.3%

Draw +1

18.8%

@ 3.77-4.8%

FS Jelgava -1

13.5%

@ 3.57-11.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

1.91

Bet365

1.73

Marathonbet

1.66

Betfair

1.62

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.78

Betfair

3.75

10Bet

3.55

Away

Betfair

4.00

Marathonbet

3.58

Bet365

3.50

10Bet

3.20

Handicap +2 (Ogre United)Actual: Ogre United

Ogre United +2

86.5%

@ 1.23+14.5%

Draw +2

9.3%

@ 5.65-6.4%

FS Jelgava -2

4.2%

@ 7.20-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.21

Draw

Marathonbet

5.80

Bet365

5.50

Away

Marathonbet

7.40

Bet365

7.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ogre United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.53	1.29	0.14	0.75	0.88
vs Stronger (1)	1.00	4.00	-	-	1.00	4.00
vs Similar (15)	0.93	0.60	1.43	0.14	0.50	1.00
vs Weaker (14)	1.07	0.21	1.14	0.14	1.00	0.29
Clean sheet %	73% (+45pp vs league)

This opponent (FS Jelgava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FS Jelgava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.73	0.40	0.67	0.53	0.80
vs Stronger (15)	0.47	0.87	0.22	0.78	0.83	1.00
vs Similar (12)	0.33	0.58	0.50	0.25	0.25	0.75
vs Weaker (3)	1.00	0.67	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Ogre United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

75.3%

@ 1.31+5.2%

Under 0.5

24.7%

@ 3.09-5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.35

Bet365

1.33

William Hil

1.33

BetVictor

1.33

1xBet

1.31

Under

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.25

Marathonbet

3.14

10Bet

3.10

Pinnacle

3.00

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

41.3%

@ 2.49+4.3%

Under 1.5

58.7%

@ 1.46-4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.62

William Hil

2.60

BetVictor

2.60

1xBet

2.53

Betfair

2.50

Under

Pinnacle

1.53

Betfair

1.50

10Bet

1.48

Marathonbet

1.46

BetVictor

1.44

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

19.1%

@ 6.22+4.2%

Under 2.5

80.9%

@ 1.09-4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

7.00

William Hil

6.50

1xBet

6.15

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Under

Bet365

1.11

Betfair

1.11

William Hil

1.10

Marathonbet

1.08

BetVictor

1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Ogre United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

71.8%

@ 2.11+28.3%

Under

28.2%

@ 1.63-28.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.16

Pinnacle

2.09

Marathonbet

2.09

Under

Pinnacle

1.70

Marathonbet

1.61

1xBet

1.57

Ogre United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

34.5%

@ 7.40+22.3%

Under

65.5%

@ 1.03-22.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.60

Marathonbet

7.20

Under

Marathonbet

1.04

1xBet

1.03

Ogre United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

15.3%

Under

84.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FS Jelgava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

23.6%

@ 1.78-28.0%

Under

76.4%

@ 1.90+28.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Pinnacle

1.79

Marathonbet

1.75

Under

Pinnacle

1.97

Marathonbet

1.90

1xBet

1.83

FS Jelgava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.9%

@ 5.17-12.7%

Under

95.1%

@ 1.10+12.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.35

Marathonbet

5.00

Under

Marathonbet

1.11

1xBet

1.10

FS Jelgava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.6%

Under

99.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ogre United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	0.63	1.36	0.50	1.31	0.75
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	0.00	-	-	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (15)	1.00	0.80	1.14	0.71	0.88	0.88
vs Weaker (14)	1.79	0.50	1.57	0.29	2.00	0.71
Clean sheet %	53% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (FS Jelgava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FS Jelgava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.43	0.73	0.47	0.53	0.40	0.93
vs Stronger (15)	0.40	0.87	0.56	0.67	0.17	1.17
vs Similar (12)	0.33	0.50	0.00	0.25	0.50	0.62
vs Weaker (3)	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.50	1.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Ogre United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

85.5%

Under 0.5

14.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

52.4%

Under 1.5

47.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

33.9%

Under 2.5

66.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Ogre United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

79.4%

Under

20.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Ogre United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

44.2%

Under

55.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Ogre United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

20.4%

Under

79.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FS Jelgava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

30.4%

Under

69.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FS Jelgava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

6.3%

Under

93.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FS Jelgava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.9%

Under

99.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	99.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	99.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	97.3%	1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	-	+10.6%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	96.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.05	1xBet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.01	-	-	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	96.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	95.1%	1.10	Marathonbet 1.11	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	+12.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	93.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	91.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	Marathonbet 1.12	1xBet 1.09	-	-	+9.5%	✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals	89.7%	1.19	Marathonbet 1.20	1xBet 1.17	-	-	-	+13.4%	✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals	87.7%	1.06	Marathonbet 1.07	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	+2.4%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	86.5%	1.23	Bet365 1.25	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	-	+14.5%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	85.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	84.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	83.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-3.1%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	80.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.11	Betfair 1.11	William Hil 1.10	Marathonbet 1.08	BetVictor 1.07	-4.2%	✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals	79.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals	79.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	79.4%	1.38	Pinnacle 1.46	Superbet 1.41	Bet365 1.40	Betfair 1.40	Marathonbet 1.39	+12.9%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	75.3%	1.31	Pinnacle 1.35	Bet365 1.33	William Hil 1.33	BetVictor 1.33	1xBet 1.31	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	70.2%	1.33	10Bet 1.40	1xBet 1.31	Marathonbet 1.28	-	-	+1.7%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (27)

€16m

RF (29)

€11m

AUD (25)

€6m

FL (21)

€5m

OU (27)

€3m

SN (24)

€3m

GRO (25)

€3m

FJ (23)

€3m

BD (21)

€3m

TUK (20)

€2m

Ogre United and FS Jelgava have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (10)

€7m

RF (15)

€6m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (7)

€2m

OU (12)

€2m

GRO (10)

€1m

SN (8)

€1m

FJ (8)

€1m

TUK (7)

€1m

BD (7)

€1m

Ogre United and FS Jelgava have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (5)

€3m

RF (4)

€2m

SN (6)

€1m

FL (4)

€1m

BD (6)

€1m

OU (4)

€1m

GRO (6)

€1m

FJ (5)

€0m

AUD (3)

€0m

TUK (3)

€0m

Ogre United and FS Jelgava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (12)

€6m

RF (10)

€3m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (10)

€2m

FJ (10)

€1m

GRO (9)

€1m

TUK (10)

€1m

OU (11)

€1m

BD (8)

€1m

SN (10)

€1m

Ogre United and FS Jelgava have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

OU wins

Draws

FJ wins

Head-to-head

Ogre United vs FS Jelgava · H/A from OU

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Ogre United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
09/08/26	A	Riga Vs OU	4-1
27/07/26	A	Grobiņa Vs OU	2-2
19/07/26	H	OU Vs BFC Daugavpils	0-4
06/07/26	A	Super Nova Vs OU	1-2
30/06/26	A	FK Liepaja Vs OU	4-0
08/11/25	A	Mārupe Vs OU	0-1
01/11/25	H	OU Vs Skanste	3-0
25/10/25	A	Riga FC II Vs OU	2-1
18/10/25	H	OU Vs JDFS Alberts	1-1
04/10/25	H	OU Vs Rīgas FS II	0-0

FS Jelgava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
09/08/26	H	FJ Vs Auda	0-1
01/08/26	A	BFC Daugavpils Vs FJ	2-1
26/07/26	H	FJ Vs FK Liepaja	0-2
20/07/26	H	FJ Vs Rīgas FS	0-1
03/07/26	A	Riga Vs FJ	3-0
09/11/25	A	Tukums Vs FJ	1-1
02/11/25	H	FJ Vs Metta / LU	2-2
25/10/25	A	FK Liepaja Vs FJ	2-2
18/10/25	H	FJ Vs BFC Daugavpils	0-0
04/10/25	A	Super Nova Vs FJ	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ogre United

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWLDL	1.72
Home	WDDWL	2.22
Away	WLWDL	1.30

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	65%	37%
AVG goals	3.46	3.48	3.44
Over 1.5 %	88%	87%	89%
Over 2.5 %	74%	74%	74%
Over 3.5 %	46%	43%	48%
Scored	2.12	2.57	1.74
Conceded	1.34	0.91	1.70
BTTS	54%	52%	56%
Clean Sheet	34%	43%	26%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

FS Jelgava

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLLL	0.88
Home	DDLLL	1.23
Away	DDDLL	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	31%	4%
AVG goals	2.42	2.27	2.58
Over 1.5 %	72%	65%	79%
Over 2.5 %	40%	38%	42%
Over 3.5 %	24%	23%	25%
Scored	0.98	1.12	0.83
Conceded	1.44	1.15	1.75
BTTS	48%	50%	46%
Clean Sheet	14%	19%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Rīgas FS	7	17	71%	2.4	18	6	+12	3.4	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	6	2	3	2.6	0.9	-
2	Riga	7	16	71%	2.3	21	8	+13	4.1	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	16	7	3	6	3.0	1.1	-
3	FK Liepaja	8	15	62%	1.9	16	10	+6	3.2	88%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.0	1.2	-
4	Auda	7	14	57%	2.0	8	4	+4	1.7	57%	14%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	0	3	1.1	0.6	-
5	BFC Daugavpils	8	13	50%	1.6	12	7	+5	2.4	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.5	0.9	-
6	Super Nova	6	8	33%	1.3	7	6	+1	2.2	83%	50%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.0	-
7	Grobiņa	7	7	29%	1.0	8	18	-10	3.7	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.6	-
8	FS Jelgava	7	6	29%	0.9	8	12	-4	2.9	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	1.1	1.7	-
9	Ogre United	7	4	14%	0.6	7	21	-14	4.0	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	1	1	1.0	3.0	-
10	Tukums	8	3	12%	0.4	6	19	-13	3.1	88%	75%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.8	2.4	-

Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

← all matches

Ogre United vs FS Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ogre United

FS Jelgava

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ogre United

FS Jelgava

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ogre United

FS Jelgava

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Ogre United

FS Jelgava

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature