Ogre United’s recent run of two straight defeats has left them looking fragile at home, while Rīga FS, fresh from a draw, have been scoring over two goals on average on the road against weaker opposition. The model therefore rates an away win as the clear favourite, assigning a 74% chance to Rīga FS triumphing. The overall win/draw/away win probabilities are 9%, 17% and 74% respectively, confirming the model_pick. The expected total goals hover around 3.2, with the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-2 for Rīga FS, carrying a 12.1% chance. Ogre United are projected to score 0.89 goals and concede 2.22 at home against this opponent, whereas Rīga FS are expected to net 2.22 and concede 0.89 on the road. Suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 7.5 (98.2%), Away +2 handicap (97.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.9%), Under 6.5 (95.4%) and Home under 1.5 HT goals (95.0%).
Results analysis
The match saw Ogre United’s recent slump continue, as their last five games ended in three defeats, while Rīga FS came off a win and sealed a 0-3 victory. The model’s favourite, an Away win at 74%, proved correct, and the final score matched the predicted 0-3 outcome. Every suggested selection hit: Home under 3.5 goals at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5%, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Away +2 handicap at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 goals at 95.9%, Under 6.5 at 95.4%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 94.8%. The model delivered a flawless set of predictions, confirming its accuracy for this encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ogre United win✗ Miss
8.6%
Avg Implied 5.4% · @ 16.97
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
22.00
10Bet
19.00
Dafabet
19.00
Pinnacle
18.54
Betfair
18.00
Draw✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied 10.4% · @ 8.77
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
11.51
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
BetVictor
9.50
Rīgas FS win✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied 84.2% · @ 1.09
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.12
Dafabet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ogre United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.23
2.21
0.79
2.06
1.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (15)
1.53
1.53
1.71
1.14
1.38
1.88
vs Weaker (14)
2.86
0.71
2.71
0.43
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rīgas FS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
1.37
2.81
1.56
1.71
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.75
1.29
1.86
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (18)
3.11
1.11
4.00
1.33
2.22
0.89
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
@ 1.06-3.3%
Under 1.5
16.0%
@ 7.25+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Under
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.6%
@ 1.27-10.0%
Under 2.5
37.4%
@ 3.35+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
@ 1.73-13.1%
Under 3.5
59.7%
@ 1.99+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.3%
@ 2.09+5.2%
No
50.7%
@ 1.65-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
Betfair
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.09
No
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.1%@ 6.48+5.6%
0-3 ✓
10.0%@ 6.12+3.0%
1-2
9.2%@ 10.22+5.0%
0-1
9.1%@ 9.75+4.7%
1-1
8.2%@ 16.51+5.6%
1-3
7.5%@ 9.67+3.1%
0-4
6.2%@ 7.27+0.3%
0-0
4.7%@ 27.08+3.1%
Ogre United goals ↓
Rīgas FS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
9.1%
12%
10.0%
6.2%
1
2.3%
8.2%
9.2%
7.5%
4.7%
2
1.1%
2.8%
3.5%
2.9%
1.8%
3
0.3%
0.7%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ogre United goals (down), columns = Rīgas FS goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rīgas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
Ogre United is 1.86 points worse than Rīgas FS in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 2.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
Ogre United is 1.57 goals worse than Rīgas FS in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
Rīgas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
Ogre United is 2.14 goals worse than Rīgas FS in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ogre United or Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 16.6% · @ 5.68
Edge
+9.1%
9%
17%
74%
covers Ogre United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.25
Ogre United or Rīgas FS✓ Hit
82.9%
Avg Implied 90.7% · @ 1.04
Edge
-7.8%
9%
17%
74%
covers Ogre United + Rīgas FS
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Draw or Rīgas FS✓ Hit
91.4%
Avg Implied 92.7% · @ 1.02
Edge
-1.3%
9%
17%
74%
covers Draw + Rīgas FS
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Unibet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
Betfair
1.01
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ogre United over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
53.0%
@ 2.08+8.8%
Under
47.0%
@ 1.65-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.03
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Ogre United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 6.43+3.1%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.08-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Ogre United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 13.00-3.1%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
Ogre United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.6%
@ 1.02+0.4%
Under
8.4%
@ 10.50-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.02
Under
Bet365
10.50
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
70.7%
@ 1.15-10.0%
Under
29.3%
@ 4.80+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
4.50
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
44.9%
@ 1.48-17.6%
Under
55.1%
@ 2.46+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Rīgas FS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.6%
@ 2.20-18.3%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.59+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ogre United, so a minus line means Ogre United give that many goals of a start and Rīgas FS receive them. At -1, Ogre United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ogre United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ogre United)Actual: Rīgas FS
Ogre United -2
0.5%
Draw -2
2.0%
Rīgas FS +2
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ogre United)Actual: Rīgas FS
Ogre United -1
2.6%
@ 41.00+0.2%
Draw -1
6.1%
@ 19.00+1.1%
Rīgas FS +1
91.4%
@ 1.03-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
41.00
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Handicap +1 (Ogre United)Actual: Rīgas FS
Ogre United +1
25.8%
@ 6.65+12.3%
Draw +1
21.6%
@ 4.90+3.3%
Rīgas FS -1
52.7%
@ 1.30-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap +2 (Ogre United)Actual: Rīgas FS
Ogre United +2
47.3%
@ 3.10+18.5%
Draw +2
21.7%
@ 4.13-0.0%
Rīgas FS -2
31.0%
@ 1.81-18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Away
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ogre United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.00
0.21
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.67
0.86
0.29
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
0.21
1.14
0.14
1.00
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rīgas FS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.31
0.88
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.43
1.14
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (18)
1.61
0.56
2.00
0.67
1.22
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.5%
@ 1.14-6.0%
Under 0.5
25.5%
@ 4.71+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 1.80-10.5%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.90+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.93
SBO
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 3.51-7.7%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.25+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ogre United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.78+2.0%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.21-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.66
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Ogre United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
68.1%
@ 1.22-7.6%
Under
31.9%
@ 3.80+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.80
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.6%
@ 2.11-11.2%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.64+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.60
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 4.50-9.6%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.16+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.16
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ogre United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.67
1.21
0.57
1.31
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.87
0.86
0.86
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (14)
1.79
0.50
1.57
0.29
2.00
0.71
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rīgas FS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.70
1.50
0.69
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.92
0.86
0.71
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (18)
1.50
0.56
2.00
0.67
1.00
0.44
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
86.2%
@ 1.09+0.4%
Under 0.5
13.8%
@ 6.60-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.80
William Hil
6.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.51-2.0%
Under 1.5
40.9%
@ 2.37+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Under
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Bet365
2.38
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.9%
@ 2.49-8.9%
Under 2.5
72.1%
@ 1.45+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Under
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ogre United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 3.14+2.9%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.29-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Ogre United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 9.80-0.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
77.3%
@ 1.12-5.3%
Under
22.7%
@ 5.30+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.30
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.3%
@ 1.67-9.7%
Under
54.7%
@ 2.04+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 3.00-10.7%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.32+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.32
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
91.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
91.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Unibet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
91.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.01
-
-
-
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.2%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
82.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-7.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
82.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.6%
1.42
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
76.4%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
+18.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.5%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Betfair
1.14
-6.0%
✓ Hit
Away win
74.2%
1.09
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.12
Dafabet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
-9.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.1%
1.45
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
70.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
-10.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rīgas FS · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žiga Lipušček14%
Roberts Savaļnieks12%
Jānis Ikaunieks12%
Lasha Odisharia12%
Adam Markhiyev12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Stefan Panić0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan Panić38%
Jānis Ikaunieks25%
Adam Markhiyev25%
Roberts Savaļnieks12%
Herdi Prenga12%
Lasha Odisharia12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jānis Ikaunieks12%
Stefan Panić12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Roberts Savaļnieks0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Lasha Odisharia0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Adam Markhiyev0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jānis Ikaunieks25%
Darko Lemajić25%
Adam Markhiyev12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Roberts Savaļnieks0%
Stefan Panić0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Lasha Odisharia0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
Ogre United's squad is €8m less valuable than Rīgas FS's (€3m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
Ogre United's attack is €4m less valuable than Rīgas FS's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
Ogre United and Rīgas FS have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
Ogre United's defence is €2m less valuable than Rīgas FS's (€1m vs €3m).
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →