This opponent (Chesterfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chesterfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.13
2.94
1.06
1.71
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
2.40
1.40
3.33
1.00
2.00
1.57
vs Weaker (20)
2.35
1.00
2.85
1.08
1.43
0.86
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Oldham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.1%
@ 1.85+11.4%
Under 2.5
37.9%
@ 1.90-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.1%
No
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
2-2 ✓
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
Oldham goals ↓
Chesterfield goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
6.2%
6.5%
3.8%
1.7%
1
4.7%
11%
9.2%
5.5%
2.4%
2
4.1%
7.3%
6.5%
3.9%
1.7%
3
1.9%
3.5%
3.1%
1.8%
0.8%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oldham goals (down), columns = Chesterfield goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Chesterfield
2.13
Barnet
1.87
Bromley
1.76
Altrincham
1.67
Solihull
1.65
Gateshead
1.63
Southend
1.63
Halifax
1.54
Aldershot
1.50
Oldham
1.37
Rochdale
1.35
Hartlepool
1.30
Eastleigh
1.28
Maidenhead
1.26
Dag and Red
1.22
Wealdstone
1.22
Woking
1.20
Fylde
1.20
Ebbsfleet
1.17
York
1.15
Boreham Wood
1.13
Kidderminster
1.00
Dorking
0.98
Oxford City
0.72
Oldham is 0.76 points worse than Chesterfield in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chesterfield
2.30
Barnet
1.98
Gateshead
1.91
Altrincham
1.83
Aldershot
1.61
Fylde
1.61
Bromley
1.59
Eastleigh
1.59
Solihull
1.54
Southend
1.52
Hartlepool
1.52
Dag and Red
1.50
Rochdale
1.50
Oldham
1.37
Maidenhead
1.30
Wealdstone
1.30
Boreham Wood
1.28
Ebbsfleet
1.28
Halifax
1.26
York
1.20
Dorking
1.17
Oxford City
1.17
Woking
1.07
Kidderminster
0.87
Oldham is 0.93 goals worse than Chesterfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 2.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Southend
0.98
Bromley
1.07
Halifax
1.09
Woking
1.20
Altrincham
1.28
Kidderminster
1.28
Oldham
1.30
Barnet
1.30
Solihull
1.35
Dag and Red
1.37
Gateshead
1.39
Rochdale
1.39
Chesterfield
1.41
Maidenhead
1.46
York
1.50
Wealdstone
1.57
Boreham Wood
1.59
Ebbsfleet
1.61
Hartlepool
1.78
Fylde
1.78
Aldershot
1.80
Dorking
1.85
Eastleigh
1.89
Oxford City
2.04
Oldham is 0.11 goals better than Chesterfield in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Gateshead
61%
Chesterfield
60%
Barnet
57%
Southend
56%
Wealdstone
55%
Rochdale
55%
Dorking
53%
Ebbsfleet
52%
Altrincham
52%
Hartlepool
50%
Aldershot
50%
Woking
49%
Solihull
48%
Oxford City
48%
Halifax
48%
Fylde
47%
Oldham
46%
Kidderminster
46%
York
45%
Eastleigh
44%
Bromley
43%
Boreham Wood
43%
Maidenhead
42%
Oldham is 14.0 percentage points worse than Chesterfield in terms of average possession (46% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oldham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.41
0.60
0.30
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.54
0.60
0.60
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Chesterfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chesterfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
0.88
0.38
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.40
0.33
0.00
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (20)
0.95
0.45
1.00
0.46
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Oldham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oldham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chesterfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chesterfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chesterfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oldham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
0.80
0.67
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.82
0.80
0.90
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.62
0.80
0.20
1.25
0.88
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Chesterfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chesterfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.70
2.06
0.69
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.70
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.40
0.55
1.85
0.62
0.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Oldham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oldham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chesterfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chesterfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chesterfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oldham · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mike Fondop33%
Keenan Appiah-Forson33%
Calum Kavanagh33%
Elliott Nevitt33%
Tom Pett0%
Mathew Hudson0%
Donervon Daniels0%
Ryan Delaney0%
Ollie Norburn0%
Jamie Robson0%
Gus Scott-Morriss0%
Kane Drummond0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathew Hudson33%
Donervon Daniels33%
Ryan Delaney33%
Ollie Norburn33%
Calum Kavanagh33%
Elliott Nevitt33%
Tom Pett0%
Mike Fondop0%
Jamie Robson0%
Keenan Appiah-Forson0%
Gus Scott-Morriss0%
Kane Drummond0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie Robson33%
Calum Kavanagh33%
Tom Pett0%
Mike Fondop0%
Mathew Hudson0%
Donervon Daniels0%
Ryan Delaney0%
Ollie Norburn0%
Keenan Appiah-Forson0%
Gus Scott-Morriss0%
Elliott Nevitt0%
Kane Drummond0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gus Scott-Morriss33%
Calum Kavanagh33%
Kane Drummond33%
Tom Pett0%
Mike Fondop0%
Mathew Hudson0%
Donervon Daniels0%
Ryan Delaney0%
Ollie Norburn0%
Jamie Robson0%
Keenan Appiah-Forson0%
Elliott Nevitt0%
Chesterfield · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liam Mandeville33%
Lee Bonis33%
George James McEachran0%
Josh Koroma0%
Ryan Boot0%
Jack Simpson0%
Tom Naylor0%
Kyle McFadzean0%
Remeao Hutton0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Lewis Gordon0%
Fraser Bryden0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Liam Mandeville33%
Josh Koroma33%
Jack Simpson33%
Kyle McFadzean33%
Lee Bonis33%
George James McEachran0%
Ryan Boot0%
Tom Naylor0%
Remeao Hutton0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Lewis Gordon0%
Fraser Bryden0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
George James McEachran0%
Liam Mandeville0%
Josh Koroma0%
Ryan Boot0%
Jack Simpson0%
Tom Naylor0%
Kyle McFadzean0%
Remeao Hutton0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Lee Bonis0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Lewis Gordon0%
Fraser Bryden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Koroma33%
Lee Bonis33%
George James McEachran0%
Liam Mandeville0%
Ryan Boot0%
Jack Simpson0%
Tom Naylor0%
Kyle McFadzean0%
Remeao Hutton0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Lewis Gordon0%
Fraser Bryden0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (24)
€6m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
OLD (21)
€3m
ROC (10)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
Oldham's squad is €3m less valuable than Chesterfield's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (9)
€3m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Oldham's attack is €2m less valuable than Chesterfield's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
SOU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Oldham and Chesterfield have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (9)
€3m
CHE (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
EAS (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
Oldham and Chesterfield have a similar defence value (both €1m).
England: National League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →