This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maribor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.93
2.19
0.81
1.29
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.40
1.10
1.73
0.91
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (10)
2.50
0.60
3.20
0.60
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0 â
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
Olimpija Ljubljana goals ↓
Maribor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.2%
5.8%
2.2%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.7%
2
7.4%
8.2%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.1%
3.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olimpija Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Maribor goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.19 points better than Maribor in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.86).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.03 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.78).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.33 goals better than Maribor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.56 vs 0.89).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Olimpija Ljubljana
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maribor
For 1.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 18.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olimpija Ljubljana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
11.3
7.6
1.3
1.2
1.4
22.7
19.9
25.9
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
10.0
10.0
4.5
6.0
3.0
23.0
22.0
24.0
vs Similar (32)
8.2
10.2
6.8
1.5
1.1
1.8
23.0
18.0
28.0
vs Weaker (16)
12.7
14.0
10.0
0.6
0.8
0.4
21.3
23.5
17.0
% over line
67%
86%
50%
16%
16%
16%
60%
50%
71%
% under line
33%
14%
50%
84%
84%
84%
40%
50%
29%
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maribor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
7.8
9.2
1.4
1.1
1.6
23.1
23.5
22.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
8.7
7.0
10.0
1.7
1.4
2.0
25.0
25.5
24.6
vs Weaker (18)
8.6
9.5
8.0
0.8
0.6
1.0
19.8
19.5
20.0
% over line
43%
33%
50%
22%
15%
29%
64%
67%
62%
% under line
57%
67%
50%
78%
85%
71%
36%
33%
38%
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.8
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Celje
4.3
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.6%
Under 3.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olimpija Ljubljana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.23
0.87
0.13
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.35
1.00
0.20
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maribor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
1.06
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.40
0.73
0.18
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.30
1.80
0.40
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olimpija Ljubljana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.30
1.27
0.33
0.93
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.40
1.10
0.50
0.80
0.30
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
0.10
1.60
0.00
1.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maribor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.12
0.56
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.70
1.00
0.73
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.30
1.40
0.20
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Olimpija Ljubljana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ãlex Blanco43%
Peter Agba17%
Ivan Durdov14%
Marko Brest12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ0%
AgustÃn Doffo0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko RistiÄ0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reda Boultam50%
David Sualehe38%
Peter Agba33%
Jorge Silva29%
Marko Brest25%
Marko RistiÄ25%
Manuel Pedreno20%
Thalisson20%
Justas Lasickas17%
Raul Florucz17%
AgustÃn Doffo14%
Ãlex Blanco14%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ12%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raul Florucz33%
Marko Brest25%
Marko RistiÄ25%
AgustÃn Doffo14%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Ãlex Blanco0%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ãlex Blanco14%
Ahmet MuhamedbegoviÄ12%
Antonio Marin0%
AgustÃn Doffo0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
MatevÅū VidovÅĄek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Marko Brest0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko RistiÄ0%
Dino KojiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Olimpija Ljubljana's squad is €2m more valuable than Maribor's (€12m vs €10m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana's attack is €1m more valuable than Maribor's (€6m vs €5m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana and Maribor have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana's defence is €2m more valuable than Maribor's (€5m vs €3m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Koper
Celje
Bravo
Primorje
Mura
Radomlje
NK Domzale
Nafta
Triglav