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Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2024
Time: 18:15
Final 2-0
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
vs
Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nafta win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L50W01L00D12L01L20W20W10W21WH·MAR17/04H·ALU20/04A·CEL28/04H·MUR05/05A·MAR11/05H·BRA19/05H·PRI19/07H·POL25/07A·KOP28/07A·POL01/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.971.530.871.931.07
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.841.111.891.001.801.20
vs Weaker (9)1.670.561.200.402.250.75
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L34L20W00D21W02L02L01L21WH·BEL30/03A·TOL06/04H·BRI14/04A·BIL20/04H·RUD27/04A·TRI03/05A·DEK11/05H·DRA19/05A·MUR20/07H·RAD26/07← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.931.530.801.731.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.681.001.700.901.671.11
vs Weaker (11)1.550.821.200.601.831.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Olimpija Ljubljana is 1.28 points better than Nafta in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 0.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.83 goals better than Nafta in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Olimpija Ljubljana is 1.36 goals better than Nafta in terms of goals conceded per game (0.56 vs 1.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

For 5.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

17082553392468432559810106111001251017A·MURH·CELA·ALUH·NK A·SLOA·KOPH·BRAA·MARH·LILH·MUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

903542131221353323924330862A·MURH·CELA·ALUH·NK A·SLOA·KOPH·BRAA·MARH·LILH·MUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

300891215161414151212841413139991727302924122722180A·MURH·CELA·ALUH·NK A·SLOH·BRAA·MARH·LILH·MURH·KI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NaftaNafta

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.111.58.82.52.52.423.422.424.5
vs Stronger (9)10.411.69.05.76.44.825.423.428.0
vs Similar (28)9.010.57.72.01.92.122.821.923.8
vs Weaker (13)12.213.311.01.31.01.721.522.021.0
% over line79%86%71%32%38%25%61%60%62%
% under line21%14%29%68%62%75%39%40%38%
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (20)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.8
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.5
Koper
9.2
Maribor
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.8
NK Domzale
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.5
Mura
4.2
Celje
4.1
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.4
Koper
24.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
24.8
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.0%
Under 21.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D00D01L00D10W00D10W11DH·MAR17/04H·ALU20/04A·CEL28/04H·MUR05/05A·MAR11/05H·BRA19/05H·PRI19/07H·POL25/07A·KOP28/07A·POL01/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.470.330.930.60
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.790.530.440.331.100.70
vs Weaker (9)0.560.220.600.200.500.25
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D11D00D00D11D00D01L00D01LH·BEL30/03A·TOL06/04H·BRI14/04A·BIL20/04H·RUD27/04A·TRI03/05A·DEK11/05H·DRA19/05A·MUR20/07H·RAD26/07← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.530.331.000.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.470.600.401.110.56
vs Weaker (11)0.640.180.400.200.830.17
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W01L00D11D01L10W20W00D10WH·MAR17/04H·ALU20/04A·CEL28/04H·MUR05/05A·MAR11/05H·BRA19/05H·PRI19/07H·POL25/07A·KOP28/07A·POL01/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.070.531.000.47
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (19)1.050.581.440.670.700.50
vs Weaker (9)1.110.330.600.201.750.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L23L20W00D10W02L01L01L20WH·BEL30/03A·TOL06/04H·BRI14/04A·BIL20/04H·RUD27/04A·TRI03/05A·DEK11/05H·DRA19/05A·MUR20/07H·RAD26/07← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.571.000.470.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.531.100.500.560.56
vs Weaker (11)0.910.640.800.401.000.83
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls81.5%--------
Over 2.5 cards78.7%--------
Under 5.5 cards75.6%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Olimpija Ljubljana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Blanco43%
Peter Agba17%
Ivan Durdov14%
Marko Brest12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reda Boultam50%
David Sualehe38%
Peter Agba33%
Jorge Silva29%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Manuel Pedreno20%
Thalisson20%
Justas Lasickas17%
Raul Florucz17%
Agustín Doffo14%
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Matevž Vidovšek12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Dino Kojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raul Florucz33%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Agustín Doffo14%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Álex Blanco0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Dino Kojić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Antonio Marin0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Marko Brest0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Olimpija Ljubljana's squad is €10m more valuable than Nafta's (€12m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana's attack is €5m more valuable than Nafta's (€6m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana and Nafta have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana's defence is €4m more valuable than Nafta's (€5m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OL wins
0
Draws
0
NAF wins

Head-to-head

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta · H/A from OL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24APolessya Vs OL1-2
28/07/24AKoper Vs OL0-1
25/07/24HOL Vs Polessya2-0
19/07/24HOL Vs Primorje2-0
19/05/24HOL Vs Bravo0-1
11/05/24AMaribor Vs OL2-1
05/05/24HOL Vs Mura0-0
28/04/24ACelje Vs OL1-0
20/04/24HOL Vs Aluminij5-0
17/04/24HOL Vs Maribor1-2

NaftaNafta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/24HNAF Vs Radomlje2-1
20/07/24AMura Vs NAF1-0
19/05/24HNAF Vs Dravinja0-2
11/05/24ADekani Vs NAF2-0
03/05/24ATriglav Vs NAF1-2
27/04/24HNAF Vs Rudar0-0
20/04/24ABilje Vs NAF0-2
14/04/24HNAF Vs Brinje-Grosuplje3-4
06/04/24ATolmin Vs NAF2-1
30/03/24HNAF Vs Beltinci1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.72
HomeWDLWW1.58
AwayWLLWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%42%58%
AVG goals2.842.543.17
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %30%23%38%
Scored1.641.461.83
Conceded1.201.081.33
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners10.1411.508.79
Cards4.434.714.14
Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.64
HomeWLDLW1.69
AwayLWWLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.842.852.83
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.641.651.62
Conceded1.201.191.21
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3674
58%
2.1
6320+43
2.3
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.80.6
-
2MariborMaribor3667
53%
1.9
6432+32
2.7
83%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.80.9
-
3KoperKoper3666
53%
1.8
6035+25
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.71.0
-
4CeljeCelje3661
47%
1.7
7651+25
3.5
81%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.11.4
-
5BravoBravo3655
39%
1.5
5244+8
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
6PrimorjePrimorje3643
31%
1.2
4161-20
2.8
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
7MuraMura3635
25%
1.0
3751-14
2.4
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
8RadomljeRadomlje3635
28%
1.0
3769-32
2.9
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.9
-
9NK DomzaleNK Domzale3832
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10NaftaNafta3628
17%
0.8
3369-36
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
11TriglavTriglav23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.5
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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