Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC Result & Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus are tipped to lift the trophy, with a 46% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of an AEK Athens win. The model expects 2.7 goals, most likely a 2-goal total at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability. Olympiakos, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.57 conceded, while AEK, on the road against a similar opponent, scores 1.0 and concedes 2.33. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls 95.1%, Over 2.5 cards 91.7%, Over 21.5 fouls 89.1%, Over 3.5 cards 80.7%, Over 23.5 fouls 79.6% (miss), Under 11.5 corners 76.6%, Over 1.5 75.6%, Under 3.5 72.3% (miss). Olympiakos have gone unbeaten in their last five, while AEK are on a two-game winning streak.

Olympiakos Piraeus extended their unbeaten run with a 4-1 win over AEK Athens, confirming the model’s pick for a home victory. The prediction of a 4-1 scoreline matched the final result, and the model’s favourite, Home win, proved correct with a 46% probability. The suggested picks were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 91.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 80.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.6%, and Over 1.5 at 75.6%. Two picks missed: Over 23.5 fouls at 79.6% and Under 3.5 at 72.3%. The match also saw a high total of fouls and cards, aligning with the model’s expectations.