Olympiakos Piraeus are tipped to win, with a 45% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw, and 26% for AEK Athens FC to come out on top. The model expects 2.5 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Olympiakos, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while AEK, on the road, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.9%), Home +2 handicap (89.6%), and Under 5.5 (95.8%). The model’s selection list also features Under 4.5 (89.1%) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.1%) as misses, while Under 4.5 is a hit. The match is expected to see a modest number of goals, with Olympiakos’ home form and AEK’s away struggles giving the Greek Cup encounter a clear edge for the home side.
Results analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus extended their unbeaten run with a 6-0 triumph over AEK Athens FC, a result that far exceeded the model’s expected total of 2.5 goals. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was selected with a 45% probability and proved correct. The model’s high-confidence selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.6%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.6%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (90.9%) hit, Home +2 handicap (89.6%) hit, while Under 5.5 (95.8%) and Under 4.5 (89.1%) missed, and Home under 3.5 goals (94.1%) also missed. The final score of 6-0 confirmed the home side’s dominance.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus win✓ Hit
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.57
1.71
0.71
1.38
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.20
1.00
2.33
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.40
0.48
1.55
0.64
1.29
0.36
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.60
2.00
0.29
1.25
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.14
1.33
0.33
0.75
1.75
vs Weaker (23)
1.78
0.43
2.18
0.27
1.42
0.58
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
Olympiakos Piraeus goals ↓
AEK Athens FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.4%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.6%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.6%
9.1%
4.8%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.1%
4.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (down), columns = AEK Athens FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aris Avato
2.33
Nea Ionia
2.33
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.25
PAOK
2.25
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.25
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
Volos NFC
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
OFI
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Panachaiki FC
1.86
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Zakynthos
1.67
Diagoras
1.67
Mandraikos
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Thyella Kamari
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Aigeas Plomariou
1.50
Panthrakikos
1.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Larisa
1.33
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Korinthos
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Kallithea
0.67
Afantou
0.50
Kissamikos
0.00
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Panlakonikos
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Levadiakos
0.00
Agios Nikolaos
0.00
Apollon Paralimniou
0.00
Olympiakos Volos
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Panetolikos
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Doxa Volakas
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
Eordaikos
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Lamia
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Akadimia Platamona
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Thyella Patras
0.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.33 points better than AEK Athens FC in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Panthrakikos
4.50
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.50
Nea Artaki
2.50
Zakynthos
2.17
Panlakonikos
2.00
Evosmou
2.00
Doxa Volakas
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
Erani Filiatra
2.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.00
Atromitos Palamas
2.00
Aigeas Plomariou
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Volos NFC
1.67
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Panachaiki FC
1.43
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Kissamikos
1.00
Levadiakos
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Agios Nikolaos
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Apollon Paralimniou
1.00
Olympiakos Volos
1.00
Panetolikos
1.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
1.00
Eordaikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Akadimia Platamona
1.00
Aris Avato
1.00
Thyella Patras
1.00
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Diagoras
0.67
Nea Ionia
0.67
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Kalamata
0.50
Afantou
0.50
Thyella Kamari
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Lamia
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.88 goals better than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Diagoras
0.00
Nea Ionia
0.00
Anagennisi Artas
0.33
Larisa
0.33
Aris Avato
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
Kalamata
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
PAOK
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.50
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Kallithea
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
Orestis Orestiadas
1.00
Kilkisiakos
1.00
Episkopi
1.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
1.00
Afantou
1.00
Thyella Kamari
1.00
Smolikas Falanis
1.00
Lamia
1.00
Astir Stavros
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Byron Kavala
1.00
Aigeas Plomariou
1.00
Panthrakikos
1.00
Panachaiki FC
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Zakynthos
1.33
Apollon Krya Vrysi
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Atromitos
1.67
Panargiakos
1.67
Levadiakos
2.00
Panetolikos
2.00
Trikala
2.00
Naousa
2.00
Thyella Patras
2.00
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
Agios Nikolaos
3.00
Pallixouriakos
3.00
Apollo Efpaliou
3.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
3.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
3.00
Eordaikos
3.00
Akadimia Platamona
3.00
Ermis Kanaliou
3.00
Lefkimmi
3.00
Thyella Katsikas
3.00
Panlakonikos
4.00
Apollon Paralimniou
4.00
Olympiakos Volos
4.00
Kydonias
4.00
Doxa Volakas
4.00
Ermis Amyntaio
5.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
5.00
PAO Vardas
5.00
Ermionida
7.00
Sartis
9.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
11.00
Diagoras Ikaria
14.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.76 goals better than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 5.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
For 6.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.3
8.8
4.5
4.4
4.6
24.6
24.4
24.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
7.7
7.8
7.7
4.9
4.9
4.8
23.3
24.1
22.2
vs Weaker (35)
8.9
8.6
9.2
4.3
4.1
4.5
25.2
24.6
25.8
% over line
35%
30%
39%
64%
56%
72%
72%
74%
70%
% under line
65%
70%
61%
36%
44%
28%
28%
26%
30%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.0
9.6
4.9
4.8
5.0
27.0
27.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
8.0
7.0
8.8
5.6
5.8
5.4
27.6
30.4
25.3
vs Weaker (37)
9.7
9.6
9.9
4.7
4.5
4.9
26.8
25.9
27.7
% over line
44%
43%
45%
68%
72%
64%
90%
90%
90%
% under line
56%
57%
55%
32%
28%
36%
10%
10%
10%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
10.3
Kifisia
10.2
Panathinaikos
10.0
AEK Athens FC
9.8
PAS Giannina
9.6
Lamia
9.3
PAOK
9.1
Asteras Tripolis
9.0
OFI
8.8
Levadiakos
8.8
Larisa
8.8
Panserraikos
8.6
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Atromitos
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.4
Panetolikos
8.3
Ionikos
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.9
Kifisia
6.7
Levadiakos
6.5
Atromitos
6.4
Volos NFC
6.3
OFI
6.2
Larisa
6.1
Kallithea
6.0
Panathinaikos
5.9
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
Panionios
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.8
PAOK
5.6
Asteras Tripolis
5.6
Panetolikos
5.4
PAS Giannina
5.1
Ionikos
5.1
Lamia
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Larisa
36.2
Volos NFC
33.6
Ionikos
32.9
Levadiakos
31.0
Panserraikos
30.4
Panionios
30.3
Kifisia
30.3
Atromitos
30.1
OFI
29.7
Aris Thessalonikis
29.5
PAS Giannina
29.4
Lamia
29.1
Kallithea
29.0
Panathinaikos
28.8
Panetolikos
27.8
AEK Athens FC
27.7
Asteras Tripolis
27.5
PAOK
24.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.4%
Under 3.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus or AEK Athens FC✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AEK Athens FC✗ Miss
55.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Draw + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.5%
Under
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.5%
Under
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Olympiakos Piraeus, so a minus line means Olympiakos Piraeus give that many goals of a start and AEK Athens FC receive them. At -1, Olympiakos Piraeus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olympiakos Piraeus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.30
0.93
0.21
0.44
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.70
0.26
1.00
0.18
0.42
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.30
0.93
0.29
0.94
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.40
0.60
1.33
0.33
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.84
0.24
0.82
0.27
0.86
0.21
Clean sheet %
73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.30
1.07
0.07
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.71
0.67
0.00
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.17
1.18
0.09
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi51%
Chiquinho22%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Roman Yaremchuk13%
Rodinei10%
Giulian Biancone10%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
David Carmo3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Luis Palma0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Costinha0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone29%
Marko Stamenić22%
Dani García21%
Santiago Hezze21%
David Carmo19%
Rodinei18%
Roman Yaremchuk17%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos17%
Panagiotis Retsos15%
Gelson Martins15%
Giorgos Masouras14%
Andreas Ndoj12%
Kristoffer Velde11%
Charalampos Kostoulas10%
Francisco Ortega9%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Sérgio Oliveira8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Costinha6%
Ayoub El Kaabi5%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis2%
Willian0%
Luis Palma0%
Chiquinho0%
André Horta0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins30%
Rodinei23%
Ayoub El Kaabi14%
Christos Mouzakitis12%
Chiquinho11%
Willian10%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Costinha9%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Giulian Biancone5%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
Kristoffer Velde4%
Charalampos Kostoulas3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Dani García3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Luis Palma0%
David Carmo0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi49%
Luis Palma30%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Chiquinho17%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Costinha9%
Rodinei5%
Roman Yaremchuk3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
David Carmo0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Martial33%
Steven Zuber33%
Levi García33%
Frantzdy Pierrot22%
Harold Moukoudi20%
Gerasimos Mitoglou20%
Erik Lamela17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Niclas Eliasson15%
Mijat Gaćinović11%
Aboubakary Koita9%
Petros Mantalos8%
Ehsan Hajsafi7%
Stavros Pilios6%
Paolo Fernandes5%
Jens Jønsson5%
Robert Ljubičić5%
Orbelín Pineda3%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Domagoj Vida0%
Alexander Callens0%
Roberto Pereyra0%
Damian Szymański0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Lazaros Rota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erik Lamela39%
Petros Mantalos33%
Moses Odubajo33%
Jens Jønsson32%
Harold Moukoudi30%
Mijat Gaćinović26%
Lazaros Rota25%
Stavros Pilios24%
Aboubakary Koita22%
Damian Szymański20%
Orbelín Pineda17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Frantzdy Pierrot15%
Levi García13%
Gerasimos Mitoglou13%
Roberto Pereyra12%
Alberto Brignoli11%
Paolo Fernandes11%
Ehsan Hajsafi7%
Anthony Martial6%
Niclas Eliasson5%
Thomas Strakosha5%
Robert Ljubičić5%
Domagoj Vida4%
Alexander Callens0%
Steven Zuber0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aboubakary Koita17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Robert Ljubičić14%
Levi García13%
Erik Lamela13%
Petros Mantalos12%
Lazaros Rota12%
Damian Szymański12%
Domagoj Vida8%
Ehsan Hajsafi7%
Orbelín Pineda7%
Stavros Pilios6%
Anthony Martial6%
Paolo Fernandes5%
Niclas Eliasson5%
Mijat Gaćinović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Alexander Callens0%
Roberto Pereyra0%
Steven Zuber0%
Frantzdy Pierrot0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Levi García27%
Frantzdy Pierrot19%
Erik Lamela17%
Aboubakary Koita17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Sotiris Tsiloulis17%
Anthony Martial11%
Paolo Fernandes11%
Niclas Eliasson10%
Robert Ljubičić9%
Domagoj Vida8%
Moses Odubajo7%
Stavros Pilios6%
Harold Moukoudi5%
Petros Mantalos4%
Roberto Pereyra4%
Mijat Gaćinović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Alexander Callens0%
Ehsan Hajsafi0%
Steven Zuber0%
Damian Szymański0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Orbelín Pineda0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
Olympiakos Piraeus's squad is €90m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€175m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus's attack is €40m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€84m vs €44m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Olympiakos Piraeus's midfield is €32m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€47m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus's defence is €18m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€44m vs €26m).
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia