Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC Result & Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus are favoured to win at home, with a 50% chance of triumph, 26% for a draw and 24% for an AEK Athens victory. The model expects 2.8 goals overall, with the most likely total of two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability. Olympiakos, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, average 3.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while AEK, on the road, average 0.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards (92.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (92.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (84.5%), Over 3.5 cards (83.0%), Under 11.5 corners (81.3%), Over 23.5 fouls (72.8%), Under 10.5 corners (71.9%) and Over 1.5 goals (78.5%). All selections carry their own probabilities, with the edge noted where present.

The final score of 1-0 confirmed the model’s prediction that Olympiakos Piraeus would win at home, a result that matched the pre-match favourite and the actual outcome. The model had given the home side a 50% probability of victory, and the match ended in a clean 1-0 win for the hosts, extending their unbeaten run in the last five matches. The most likely scoreline, 1-0, was hit with a 25% chance. The suggested picks were largely correct: Over 2.5 cards (92.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (92.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (84.5%), Over 3.5 cards (83.0%), Under 11.5 corners (81.3%), Over 23.5 fouls (72.8%) and Under 10.5 corners (71.9%) all hit, while Over 1.5 (78.5%) missed. The model’s selections performed strongly overall.