This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.43
1.69
1.44
1.43
1.43
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.11
0.80
2.40
1.50
1.75
vs Similar (21)
1.76
1.14
2.09
1.00
1.40
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.50-0.2%
Under 2.5
37.5%
@ 2.52+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.2%
Under 3.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
1-0 ✓
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
Olympiakos Piraeus goals ↓
OFI Crete goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
2.6%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.7%
8.8%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
9.5%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
8.9%
7.5%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
5.3%
4.5%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (down), columns = OFI Crete goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
Olympiakos Piraeus is 1.17 points better than OFI Crete in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.53 goals better than OFI Crete in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.80 goals better than OFI Crete in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 5.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.8 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.2
8.9
4.2
4.1
4.3
24.2
24.4
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
7.8
7.6
8.0
4.1
4.2
3.9
21.8
24.0
19.6
vs Weaker (35)
8.9
8.6
9.2
4.3
4.1
4.5
25.2
24.6
25.8
% over line
36%
29%
42%
60%
50%
69%
67%
71%
62%
% under line
64%
71%
58%
40%
50%
31%
33%
29%
38%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.5
6.0
6.7
5.3
29.9
29.6
30.2
vs Stronger (18)
9.8
9.0
10.5
5.6
6.6
4.7
29.7
31.1
28.5
vs Similar (32)
8.3
7.9
8.8
6.3
6.8
5.7
30.0
28.9
31.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
19%
42%
82%
88%
75%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
70%
81%
58%
18%
12%
25%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Athens Kallithea
10.3
Kallithea
10.3
Panathinaikos
9.9
AEK Athens FC
9.7
Lamia
9.2
Asteras Tripolis
9.0
PAOK
9.0
Levadiakos
8.9
OFI Crete
8.9
OFI
8.8
Panserraikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Atromitos
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Panetolikos
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
7.0
Levadiakos
6.5
Atromitos
6.4
Volos NFC
6.2
Kallithea
6.1
OFI
6.1
OFI Crete
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
Athens Kallithea
5.9
Panathinaikos
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.7
PAOK
5.6
Asteras Tripolis
5.6
Panetolikos
5.3
Lamia
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Volos NFC
33.7
Levadiakos
31.0
Athens Kallithea
30.4
Panserraikos
30.2
Atromitos
30.1
OFI Crete
29.9
OFI
29.6
Aris Thessalonikis
29.5
Kallithea
28.9
Panathinaikos
28.8
Lamia
28.6
Panetolikos
27.8
AEK Athens FC
27.5
Asteras Tripolis
27.4
PAOK
25.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.4%
Under 9.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.7%
Under 3.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
86.8%
Under 21.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.30
0.86
0.36
0.38
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.50
0.23
0.60
0.30
0.42
0.17
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.88
0.44
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.43
1.09
0.18
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.30
1.14
0.21
1.00
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.50
1.75
0.25
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.23
0.90
0.20
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.81
1.00
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.22
0.40
1.40
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.71
1.00
0.82
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
70.5%
1.19
-
-
-
-
-
-7.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi51%
Chiquinho22%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Roman Yaremchuk13%
Rodinei10%
Giulian Biancone10%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
David Carmo3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Luis Palma0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Costinha0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone29%
Marko Stamenić22%
Dani García21%
Santiago Hezze21%
David Carmo19%
Rodinei18%
Roman Yaremchuk17%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos17%
Panagiotis Retsos15%
Gelson Martins15%
Giorgos Masouras14%
Andreas Ndoj12%
Kristoffer Velde11%
Charalampos Kostoulas10%
Francisco Ortega9%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Sérgio Oliveira8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Costinha6%
Ayoub El Kaabi5%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis2%
Willian0%
Luis Palma0%
Chiquinho0%
André Horta0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins30%
Rodinei23%
Ayoub El Kaabi14%
Christos Mouzakitis12%
Chiquinho11%
Willian10%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Costinha9%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Giulian Biancone5%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
Kristoffer Velde4%
Charalampos Kostoulas3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Dani García3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Luis Palma0%
David Carmo0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi49%
Luis Palma30%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Chiquinho17%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Costinha9%
Rodinei5%
Roman Yaremchuk3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
David Carmo0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia