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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: 05/02/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 1-0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Vs
58%
25%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Greece: Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus are tipped to win at home, with a 58% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 17% chance of a Panathinaikos victory. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, most likely a 2-goal total at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12% probability. Olympiakos have been strong at home against weaker opponents, averaging 1.7 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, while Panathinaikos, playing away against stronger opposition, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Under 5.5 (94.3%), Home +2 handicap (94.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.1%), and Under 4.5 (86.3%). Olympiakos have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, winning the most recent 1-0 against Atromitos, while Panathinaikos also stay unbeaten, drawing 1-1 with Hradec Králové.

Results analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus continued their unbeaten run, extending a streak of five matches without defeat, while Panathinaikos also remained unbeaten in five outings. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as Olympiakos edged Panathinaikos 1-0. The pre-match probability for the home win stood at 58%. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.0%, Under 5.5 hit at 94.3%, Home +2 handicap hit at 94.0%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 93.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 89.1%, and Under 4.5 hit at 86.3%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every pick’s outcome is noted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus win✓ Hit
57.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos win✗ Miss
17.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W21W11D21W10W11D30W10WA·ATH16/12H·LAM21/12A·PAN06/01H·ARI11/01A·PAN15/01A·ATR19/01A·FC 23/01H·PAN26/01H·QAR30/01A·LEV02/02← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.631.920.621.120.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.001.002.670.671.331.33
vs Weaker (24)1.330.541.700.601.070.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W21W21W22D11D10W11D32W32WH·KAL22/12H·ATH22/12H·PAO05/01H·ATR08/01A·PAN12/01H·OLY15/01H·AEK19/01A·OLY26/01H·OFI01/02H·OFI01/02← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.801.620.881.140.71
vs Stronger (4)0.751.500.671.671.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.861.001.330.670.501.25
vs Weaker (19)1.740.582.000.701.440.44
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-0 ✓
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
Olympiakos Piraeus goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
01234
07.8%4.9%2.7%0.8%0.2%
111%12%4.9%1.5%0.3%
211%9.8%4.4%1.3%0.3%
36.6%5.9%2.6%0.8%0.2%
43.0%2.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Ionia
2.33
Aris Avato
2.33
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
PAOK
2.25
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.25
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.25
Volos NFC
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
OFI
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
Panachaiki FC
1.86
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Diagoras
1.67
Zakynthos
1.67
Panthrakikos
1.50
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Thyella Kamari
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Mandraikos
1.50
Aigeas Plomariou
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Larisa
1.33
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Atromitos
1.00
Korinthos
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Kallithea
0.67
Afantou
0.50
Panetolikos
0.00
Lamia
0.00
Levadiakos
0.00
Kissamikos
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Olympiakos Volos
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Doxa Volakas
0.00
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
Apollon Paralimniou
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Nikolaos
0.00
Akadimia Platamona
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Eordaikos
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Thyella Patras
0.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Panlakonikos
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.25 points better than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Panthrakikos
4.50
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Nea Artaki
2.50
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.50
Zakynthos
2.17
Kavala
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Doxa Volakas
2.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.00
Atromitos Palamas
2.00
Evosmou
2.00
Aigeas Plomariou
2.00
Erani Filiatra
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
Panlakonikos
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Volos NFC
1.67
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Panachaiki FC
1.43
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Panetolikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Levadiakos
1.00
Kissamikos
1.00
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.00
Olympiakos Volos
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Apollon Paralimniou
1.00
Agios Nikolaos
1.00
Akadimia Platamona
1.00
Eordaikos
1.00
Thyella Patras
1.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
1.00
Aris Avato
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Diagoras
0.67
Nea Ionia
0.67
Kalamata
0.50
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Thyella Kamari
0.50
Afantou
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
Lamia
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.46 goals better than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Diagoras
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Nea Ionia
0.00
Larisa
0.33
Aris Avato
0.33
Anagennisi Artas
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
PAOK
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Kalamata
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.50
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Kallithea
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Panthrakikos
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Lamia
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Episkopi
1.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
1.00
Orestis Orestiadas
1.00
Smolikas Falanis
1.00
Thyella Kamari
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Aigeas Plomariou
1.00
Astir Stavros
1.00
Afantou
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Byron Kavala
1.00
Kilkisiakos
1.00
Panachaiki FC
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Zakynthos
1.33
Niki Volos
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Apollon Krya Vrysi
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Atromitos
1.67
Panargiakos
1.67
Panetolikos
2.00
Levadiakos
2.00
Naousa
2.00
Trikala
2.00
Thyella Patras
2.00
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
Thyella Katsikas
3.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
3.00
Agios Nikolaos
3.00
Akadimia Platamona
3.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
3.00
Eordaikos
3.00
Apollo Efpaliou
3.00
Lefkimmi
3.00
Ermis Kanaliou
3.00
Pallixouriakos
3.00
Olympiakos Volos
4.00
Doxa Volakas
4.00
Kydonias
4.00
Apollon Paralimniou
4.00
Panlakonikos
4.00
Ermis Amyntaio
5.00
PAO Vardas
5.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
5.00
Ermionida
7.00
Sartis
9.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
11.00
Diagoras Ikaria
14.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.43 goals better than Panathinaikos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

For 5.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 7.5

🚩 Corners

1006373222253688454591044868899A·LEVH·QARH·PANA·FC A·ATRH·ARIA·PANH·LAMA·ATHA·KAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

12014648132224143323256124465355A·LEVH·QARH·PANA·FC A·ATRH·ARIA·PANH·LAMA·ATHA·KAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

34091115131717181091310111511712131013920283428222126192322A·LEVH·QARH·PANA·FC A·ATRH·ARIA·PANH·LAMA·ATHA·KAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

For 9.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

20013113122761921731738411114144771120201212H·OFIH·OFIA·OLYH·AEKA·PANH·PAOH·ATHH·KALH·DINA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.4

🟨 Cards

120118442351656453312021268711963H·OFIH·OFIA·OLYH·AEKA·PANH·PAOH·ATHH·KALH·DINA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 15.2 · Total 28.0

⚠️ Fouls

34010111011171714151218131717171413617151621213429303034272331H·OFIH·OFIA·OLYH·AEKA·PANH·PAOH·ATHH·KALH·DINA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.38.64.54.34.724.823.525.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)7.88.17.45.15.05.323.323.023.6
vs Weaker (35)8.88.49.14.34.04.525.523.926.7
% over line32%27%36%64%57%70%72%68%76%
% under line68%73%64%36%43%30%28%32%24%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.911.08.85.75.46.028.527.030.0
vs Stronger (8)10.211.38.56.44.69.327.026.028.5
vs Similar (15)8.39.17.56.26.75.828.526.430.2
vs Weaker (27)11.012.19.75.15.05.328.827.630.1
% over line56%68%43%78%77%79%93%91%95%
% under line44%32%57%22%23%21%7%9%5%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kifisia
10.2
AEK Athens FC
10.1
Kallithea
10.0
Panathinaikos
9.7
PAS Giannina
9.6
PAOK
9.2
Lamia
9.2
Asteras Tripolis
9.1
Larisa
8.8
OFI
8.8
Levadiakos
8.8
Aris Thessalonikis
8.7
Volos NFC
8.6
Panserraikos
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Ionikos
8.3
Atromitos
8.3
Panetolikos
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
7.2
Kifisia
6.7
Volos NFC
6.6
Levadiakos
6.4
Atromitos
6.4
OFI
6.2
Larisa
6.1
Panathinaikos
6.1
Kallithea
6.0
Panionios
5.8
Aris Thessalonikis
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.8
Panetolikos
5.7
PAOK
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.4
PAS Giannina
5.1
Ionikos
5.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
Lamia
4.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Larisa
36.2
Volos NFC
33.6
Ionikos
32.9
Levadiakos
31.1
Panserraikos
31.0
Atromitos
30.4
Panionios
30.3
Kifisia
30.3
Aris Thessalonikis
29.9
OFI
29.7
Kallithea
29.6
PAS Giannina
29.4
Lamia
29.0
Panathinaikos
28.8
Panetolikos
28.8
AEK Athens FC
28.0
Asteras Tripolis
27.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.8
PAOK
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.4%
Under 9.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.8%
Under 3.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.7%
Under 21.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw✓ Hit
82.7%
Avg Implied -
58%
25%
17%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus or Panathinaikos✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
58%
25%
17%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + Panathinaikos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Panathinaikos✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied -
58%
25%
17%
covers Draw + Panathinaikos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.5%
Under
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.8%
Under
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.2%
Under
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Olympiakos Piraeus, so a minus line means Olympiakos Piraeus give that many goals of a start and Panathinaikos receive them. At -1, Olympiakos Piraeus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olympiakos Piraeus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus -2
15.7%
Draw -2
18.1%
Panathinaikos +2
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: Draw
Olympiakos Piraeus -1
33.8%
Draw -1
23.9%
Panathinaikos +1
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus +1
82.7%
Draw +1
11.3%
Panathinaikos -1
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus +2
94.0%
Draw +2
4.5%
Panathinaikos -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L00D21W00D10W00D00DA·ATH16/12H·LAM21/12A·PAN06/01H·ARI11/01A·PAN15/01A·ATR19/01A·FC 23/01H·PAN26/01H·QAR30/01A·LEV02/02← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.270.770.310.290.24
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.170.670.330.330.00
vs Weaker (24)0.500.290.800.300.290.29
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D20W10W00D10W01L02L02LH·KAL22/12H·ATH22/12H·PAO05/01H·ATR08/01A·PAN12/01H·OLY15/01H·AEK19/01A·OLY26/01H·OFI01/02H·OFI01/02← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.560.440.640.21
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.330.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.710.291.000.330.500.25
vs Weaker (19)0.680.320.600.500.780.11
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W10W20W11D00D10W01L30W10WA·ATH16/12H·LAM21/12A·PAN06/01H·ARI11/01A·PAN15/01A·ATR19/01A·FC 23/01H·PAN26/01H·QAR30/01A·LEV02/02← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.371.150.310.820.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.500.832.000.331.001.33
vs Weaker (24)0.830.250.900.300.790.21
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W01L12L11D00D10W30W30WH·KAL22/12H·ATH22/12H·PAO05/01H·ATR08/01A·PAN12/01H·OLY15/01H·AEK19/01A·OLY26/01H·OFI01/02H·OFI01/02← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.471.060.440.500.50
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.671.331.000.00
vs Similar (7)0.140.710.330.330.001.00
vs Weaker (19)1.050.261.400.200.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap94.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals93.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.586.3%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals83.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw82.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap82.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.7%--------
Over 19.5 fouls78.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners77.9%--------
Away under 1.5 goals77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.2%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away75.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.2%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi51%
Chiquinho22%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Roman Yaremchuk13%
Rodinei10%
Giulian Biancone10%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
David Carmo3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Luis Palma0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Costinha0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone29%
Marko Stamenić22%
Dani García21%
Santiago Hezze21%
David Carmo19%
Rodinei18%
Roman Yaremchuk17%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos17%
Panagiotis Retsos15%
Gelson Martins15%
Giorgos Masouras14%
Andreas Ndoj12%
Kristoffer Velde11%
Charalampos Kostoulas10%
Francisco Ortega9%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Sérgio Oliveira8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Costinha6%
Ayoub El Kaabi5%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis2%
Willian0%
Luis Palma0%
Chiquinho0%
André Horta0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins30%
Rodinei23%
Ayoub El Kaabi14%
Christos Mouzakitis12%
Chiquinho11%
Willian10%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Costinha9%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Giulian Biancone5%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
Kristoffer Velde4%
Charalampos Kostoulas3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Dani García3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Luis Palma0%
David Carmo0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi49%
Luis Palma30%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Chiquinho17%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Costinha9%
Rodinei5%
Roman Yaremchuk3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
David Carmo0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fotis Ioannidis30%
Karol Świderski27%
Tetê21%
Filip Đuričić20%
Alexander Jeremejeff14%
Andraž Šporar14%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Nemanja Maksimović11%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Anastasios Bakasetas6%
Adam Gnezda Čerin5%
Filip Mladenović5%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Willian Arão3%
Giorgos Vagiannidis3%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
George Baldock0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Philipp Max0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Manolis Siopis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filip Mladenović42%
Erik Palmer-Brown38%
Karol Świderski33%
George Baldock33%
Filip Đuričić25%
Tin Jedvaj23%
Zeca20%
Bart Schenkeveld19%
Philipp Max18%
Fotis Ioannidis16%
Nemanja Maksimović16%
Willian Arão15%
Andraž Šporar14%
Manolis Siopis14%
Giorgos Vagiannidis14%
Adam Gnezda Čerin14%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason13%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Tetê12%
Anastasios Bakasetas10%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Daniel Mancini8%
Alexander Jeremejeff7%
Giannis Kotsiras6%
Yury Lodygin0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karol Świderski20%
Azzedine Ounahi15%
Giannis Kotsiras12%
Nemanja Maksimović11%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Philipp Max9%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Daniel Mancini8%
Filip Mladenović8%
Filip Đuričić8%
Manolis Siopis7%
Tetê7%
Anastasios Bakasetas6%
Giorgos Vagiannidis6%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Fotis Ioannidis3%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Willian Arão0%
George Baldock0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Alexander Jeremejeff0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Andraž Šporar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tetê26%
Fotis Ioannidis22%
Karol Świderski20%
Filip Đuričić12%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Alexander Jeremejeff11%
Daniel Mancini4%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Anastasios Bakasetas3%
Facundo Pellistri3%
Willian Arão3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Nemanja Maksimović3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Filip Mladenović0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
George Baldock0%
Philipp Max0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Andraž Šporar0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
Olympiakos Piraeus's squad is €65m more valuable than Panathinaikos's (€175m vs €109m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus's attack is €38m more valuable than Panathinaikos's (€84m vs €46m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Olympiakos Piraeus's midfield is €22m more valuable than Panathinaikos's (€47m vs €26m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus's defence is €6m more valuable than Panathinaikos's (€44m vs €38m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
OP wins
5
Draws
2
PAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos · H/A from OP
DateH/AGameScore
26/01/25HOP Vs Panathinaikos1-1
15/01/25APanathinaikos Vs OP1-1
06/10/24APanathinaikos Vs OP0-0
19/05/24APanathinaikos Vs OP2-2
10/03/24HOP Vs Panathinaikos1-3
04/02/24APanathinaikos Vs OP2-0
22/10/23HOP Vs Panathinaikos1-1
08/05/23HOP Vs Panathinaikos1-0

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/25ALevadiakos Vs OP0-1
30/01/25HOP Vs Qarabag3-0
26/01/25HOP Vs Panathinaikos1-1
23/01/25AFC Porto Vs OP0-1
19/01/25AAtromitos Vs OP1-2
15/01/25APanathinaikos Vs OP1-1
11/01/25HOP Vs Aris Thessalonikis2-1
06/01/25APanetolikos Vs OP0-2
21/12/24HOP Vs Lamia1-0
16/12/24AAthens Kallithea Vs OP1-1

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25HPAN Vs OFI Crete3-2
01/02/25HPAN Vs OFI3-2
26/01/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs PAN1-1
19/01/25HPAN Vs AEK Athens FC1-0
15/01/25HPAN Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-1
12/01/25APanserraikos Vs PAN2-2
08/01/25HPAN Vs Atromitos2-1
05/01/25HPAN Vs PAOK2-1
22/12/24HPAN Vs Athens Kallithea1-0
22/12/24HPAN Vs Kallithea1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Greece: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.08
HomeDWWDW2.39
AwayWDWWW1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%70%52%
AVG goals2.422.572.30
Over 1.5 %74%83%67%
Over 2.5 %42%57%30%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.701.961.48
Conceded0.720.610.81
BTTS46%52%41%
Clean Sheet44%48%41%
Corners8.478.278.64
Cards4.834.555.08
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Greece: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.96
HomeWDWWW2.04
AwayWWWDD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals2.522.502.54
Over 1.5 %66%62%71%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.541.541.54
Conceded0.980.961.00
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet40%35%46%
Corners9.9311.058.76
Cards6.025.836.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3685
72%
2.4
6424+40
2.4
72%
44%
17%
8.1
33%
4.9
69%
25.4
69%
175
8447441.80.7
57%
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3669
56%
1.9
4936+13
2.4
61%
42%
28%
10.1
56%
6.1
89%
30.1
94%
109
4626381.41.0
57%
3Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3866
50%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
76%
32%
16%
9.0
47%
5.3
84%
27.8
87%
41
227121.31.0
54%
4AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3663
53%
1.8
5529+26
2.3
67%
44%
17%
8.5
34%
6.2
89%
27.1
89%
85
4416261.50.8
65%
5PAOKPAOK3662
53%
1.7
7143+28
3.2
83%
72%
33%
9.2
47%
5.2
72%
26.0
75%
82
3028242.01.2
58%
6LevadiakosLevadiakos4262
38%
1.5
6247+15
2.6
69%
52%
29%
8.4
27%
6.5
83%
30.4
95%
16
5551.51.1
49%
7Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3859
47%
1.6
4744+3
2.4
74%
50%
11%
8.6
50%
5.9
84%
26.1
87%
13
5261.21.2
45%
8PanetolikosPanetolikos4259
38%
1.4
3534+1
1.6
52%
24%
2%
8.5
32%
5.5
80%
26.1
80%
13
7230.80.8
43%
9AtromitosAtromitos3852
37%
1.4
4641+5
2.3
71%
50%
8%
8.5
32%
6.1
84%
30.2
95%
12
3261.21.1
45%
10PanserraikosPanserraikos4247
31%
1.1
5271-19
2.9
79%
64%
33%
9.4
49%
6.7
85%
28.4
85%
6
2131.21.7
49%
11Volos NFCVolos NFC4241
26%
1.0
3965-26
2.5
74%
45%
21%
8.3
24%
6.2
85%
32.4
95%
10
4250.91.5
47%
12OFIOFI3238
31%
1.2
4047-7
2.7
81%
56%
28%
9.7
44%
6.3
84%
28.9
91%
18
6381.21.5
48%
13
OC
OFI Crete
3238
31%
1.2
4047-7
2.7
81%
56%
28%
9.7
44%
6.3
84%
29.9
91%
0
0001.21.5
-
14KallitheaKallithea3636
22%
1.0
3652-16
2.4
78%
47%
22%
9.7
53%
5.9
81%
28.5
94%
5
2131.01.4
45%
15
AK
Athens Kallithea
3533
20%
0.9
3352-19
2.4
77%
46%
23%
9.9
54%
5.9
77%
29.5
94%
0
0000.91.5
-
16LamiaLamia4122
10%
0.5
2372-49
2.3
68%
44%
17%
8.3
40%
4.8
68%
28.7
90%
0
0000.61.8
41%
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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