Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC Result & Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus are the clear favourites, the model rating them at 70% for a home win, 20% for a draw and 9% for a Volos NFC victory. The Greek side’s home form shows they average 2.08 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against weaker opponents, while Volos NFC, playing away against stronger opposition, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. The expected total goals for the match is 2.8, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Olympiakos, carrying a 14% probability. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 97.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 94.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 88.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.1%, Over 25.5 fouls at 79.1%, Over 1.5 at 77.3% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 72.1%, and Under 5.5 cards at 71.1%.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, did not deliver, with the final score 1-1 resulting in a draw. Olympiakos Piraeus, on a two-game winning run, failed to convert their 70% probability of victory, while Volos NFC, despite a 9% chance of triumph, managed a respectable draw. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with a 77.3% probability. The prediction of a 2-goal total, the most likely at 25%, was missed as the match produced only two goals. The model’s call was wrong, but its over-goals pick proved correct.