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Opatija vs Karlovac 1919 Result & Analysis

Date: 29/05/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
Opatija
Opatija
Vs
58%
26%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Opatija a 58% win probability against Karlovac 1919 in the Croatia: First NL on 2026-05-29, with 26% for the draw and 16% for Karlovac 1919. The model estimates around 2.5 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (13.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (72%).

Results analysis

Opatija finished 3-1 against Karlovac 1919 (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 58% home win, 26% draw and 16% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (72%). Missed: Under 3.5 (76%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Opatija win✓ Hit
58.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 win✗ Miss
15.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OpatijaOpatija

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W01L11D11D20W00D20W31W23LA·HNK21/03H·DUG27/03A·SES02/04H·RUD10/04A·ORI19/04H·JAR24/04A·BSK02/05A·HRV10/05H·CRO15/05A·DUB23/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.101.201.000.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.831.171.001.250.751.12
vs Weaker (18)1.001.061.270.910.571.29
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L02L50W10W12L03L03L03L01L21WH·HRV20/03A·CRO28/03H·DUB02/04H·BSK10/04A·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05A·ORI16/05H·JAR22/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.441.001.001.71
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.251.321.471.001.001.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Opatija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.5%
3-1 ✓
5.3%
Opatija goals ↓
Karlovac 1919 goals →
01234
09.6%5.5%2.6%0.7%0.1%
113%12%4.3%1.1%0.2%
212%9.4%3.7%0.9%0.2%
36.8%5.3%2.1%0.5%0.1%
42.9%2.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Opatija goals (down), columns = Karlovac 1919 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Opatija is 0.06 points worse than Karlovac 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.27).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Opatija is 0.27 goals worse than Karlovac 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Opatija is 0.21 goals better than Karlovac 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OpatijaOpatija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D00D11D10W00D20W11D03LA·HNK21/03H·DUG27/03A·SES02/04H·RUD10/04A·ORI19/04H·JAR24/04A·BSK02/05A·HRV10/05H·CRO15/05A·DUB23/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.730.330.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.670.750.750.380.62
vs Weaker (18)0.560.390.730.180.290.71
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L30W10W02L03L03L01L00D11DH·HRV20/03A·CRO28/03H·DUB02/04H·BSK10/04A·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05A·ORI16/05H·JAR22/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.560.500.430.79
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.640.530.530.380.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Opatija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Opatija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opatija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opatija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (38)
€5m
SES (57)
€5m
O1 (36)
€5m
BBB (30)
€4m
RUD (35)
€4m
DUG (43)
€4m
CZ (43)
€4m
HC (29)
€4m
K1 (44)
€4m
HRV (52)
€3m
OPA (39)
€3m
Opatija and Karlovac 1919 have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Opatija vs Karlovac 1919 · H/A from OPA
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/26HOPA Vs Karlovac 19192-1
26/09/25AKarlovac 1919 Vs OPA1-1

OpatijaOpatija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs OPA3-2
15/05/26HOPA Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-1
10/05/26AHrvace Vs OPA0-2
02/05/26ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs OPA0-0
24/04/26HOPA Vs Jarun2-0
19/04/26AOrijent 1919 Vs OPA1-1
10/04/26HOPA Vs Rudes1-1
02/04/26ASesvete Vs OPA1-0
27/03/26HOPA Vs Dugopolje3-0
21/03/26AHNK Cibalia Vs OPA2-0

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/26HK1 Vs Jarun2-1
16/05/26AOrijent 1919 Vs K11-0
08/05/26HK1 Vs Rudes0-3
01/05/26ASesvete Vs K13-0
24/04/26HK1 Vs Dugopolje0-3
18/04/26AHNK Cibalia Vs K12-1
10/04/26HK1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
02/04/26HK1 Vs Dubrava Zagreb5-0
28/03/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs K12-0
20/03/26HK1 Vs Hrvace0-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Opatija
Opatija
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.50
HomeDWDWW1.67
AwayLDDWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals1.962.171.77
Over 1.5 %62%71%54%
Over 2.5 %34%46%23%
Over 3.5 %10%8%12%
Scored1.041.290.81
Conceded0.920.880.96
BTTS38%50%27%
Clean Sheet40%33%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.31
HomeWWLLW1.82
AwayWLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%59%20%
AVG goals2.532.412.67
Over 1.5 %72%59%87%
Over 2.5 %53%47%60%
Over 3.5 %19%18%20%
Scored1.221.470.93
Conceded1.310.941.73
BTTS38%24%53%
Clean Sheet25%41%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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