Opava’s strong home form, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, faces Arsenal Česká Lípa, who are struggling away, conceding 1.83 on average. The model rates a home win at 81 %, a draw at 13 %, and an away win at 6 %, making the home victory the clear favourite. The expected total is 3.8 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for 10.3 % of outcomes. The match is expected to see 3 goals, the most probable total. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1 %, Home +2 handicap at 98.1 %, Under 7.5 at 96.2 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.4 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.9 %, Home or Draw at 93.6 %, Home +1 handicap at 93.6 %, and Under 6.5 at 91.3 %. Opava’s recent draw against Třinec and Arsenal’s win over Baník Ostrava II hint at a tight contest, but the venue advantage and the model’s high confidence in a 2-0 result underline Opava’s edge.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Opava win
80.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
13.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa win
6.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Opava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.93
1.14
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
1.00
2.33
0.67
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.27
1.89
1.22
0.62
1.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.55
1.82
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.83
vs Stronger (11)
1.55
1.82
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.4%
Under 2.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
51.8%
Under 3.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
6.0%
Opava goals ↓
Arsenal Česká Lípa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
6.4%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
2
10%
8.1%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
3
10%
8.1%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
7.6%
6.0%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Opava goals (down), columns = Arsenal Česká Lípa goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Opava is 0.33 points worse than Arsenal Česká Lípa in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Opava is 0.17 goals worse than Arsenal Česká Lípa in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Opava is 0.33 goals better than Arsenal Česká Lípa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Opava or Draw
93.6%
Avg Implied -
81%
13%
6%
covers Opava + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Opava or Arsenal Česká Lípa
86.9%
Avg Implied -
81%
13%
6%
covers Opava + Arsenal Česká Lípa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arsenal Česká Lípa
19.5%
Avg Implied -
81%
13%
6%
covers Draw + Arsenal Česká Lípa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Opava over/under 0.5
Over
94.9%
Under
5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5
Over
79.6%
Under
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 3.5
Over
34.5%
Under
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5
Over
54.7%
Under
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Opava, so a minus line means Opava give that many goals of a start and Arsenal Česká Lípa receive them. At -1, Opava must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Opava win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Opava)
Opava -2
41.1%
Draw -2
21.1%
Arsenal Česká Lípa +2
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Opava)
Opava -1
62.1%
Draw -1
18.4%
Arsenal Česká Lípa +1
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Opava)
Opava +1
93.6%
Draw +1
4.5%
Arsenal Česká Lípa -1
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Opava)
Opava +2
98.1%
Draw +2
1.5%
Arsenal Česká Lípa -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Opava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.21
0.71
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.64
1.33
0.78
0.23
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Opava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.64
0.56
0.44
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.82
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.82
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Opava's squad is €2m more valuable than Arsenal Česká Lípa's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Opava and Arsenal Česká Lípa have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov