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Opava vs Sparta Praha II Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 3-2
Opava
Opava
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Opava win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OpavaOpava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L31W12L12L10W11D03L11D01LA·CHR07/10H·TÁB21/10A·VYŠ28/10H·PRO04/11A·VAR12/11H·PŘÍ01/03A·VIK10/03A·ART16/03H·HAN29/03A·SIG07/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.071.361.070.561.06
vs Stronger (3)2.331.002.001.003.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.771.121.251.080.361.14
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D24L02L10W21W40W20W12L32W53WH·HAN08/10A·ART21/10H·SIG29/10A·VLA04/11H·TÁB12/11H·PRO03/03A·CHR09/03H·VAR17/03A·ZBR29/03H·VYŠ07/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.431.621.311.501.57
vs Stronger (1)2.002.002.002.00--
vs Similar (28)1.541.391.601.271.461.54
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
Opava goals ↓
Sparta Praha II goals →
01234
08.6%7.8%5.6%2.3%0.7%
18.8%14%7.7%3.2%1.0%
27.0%8.6%5.3%2.2%0.7%
33.2%3.9%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Opava goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Praha
2.00
Sigma Olomouc II
1.90
Táborsko
1.63
Vyškov
1.57
Chrudim
1.40
Opava
1.33
Vlašim
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Příbram
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.23
Varnsdorf
1.20
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Hanácká
0.83
Opava is 0.10 points better than Sparta Praha II in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Praha
1.83
Sparta Praha II
1.73
Varnsdorf
1.70
Chrudim
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.63
Vyškov
1.50
Viktoria Žižkov
1.47
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Vlašim
1.37
Táborsko
1.37
Opava
1.20
Artis
1.13
Hanácká
1.10
Příbram
1.07
Opava is 0.53 goals worse than Sparta Praha II in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.87
Dukla Praha
0.97
Artis
1.13
Opava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc II
1.27
Vyškov
1.27
Zbrojovka Brno
1.40
Vlašim
1.43
Příbram
1.43
Vysočina Jihlava
1.53
Chrudim
1.60
Varnsdorf
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Prostějov
1.73
Hanácká
1.77
Sparta Praha II
1.93
Opava is 0.73 goals better than Sparta Praha II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OpavaOpava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W00D11D10W01L00D00D00DA·CHR07/10H·TÁB21/10A·VYŠ28/10H·PRO04/11A·VAR12/11H·PŘÍ01/03A·VIK10/03A·ART16/03H·HAN29/03A·SIG07/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.330.500.360.310.31
vs Stronger (3)1.331.001.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.310.270.420.250.210.29
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D00D10W20W10W02L21W30WH·HAN08/10A·ART21/10H·SIG29/10A·VLA04/11H·TÁB12/11H·PRO03/03A·CHR09/03H·VAR17/03A·ZBR29/03H·VYŠ07/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.690.380.790.57
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.750.460.670.330.850.62
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OpavaOpava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W12L01L00D10W03L11D01LA·CHR07/10H·TÁB21/10A·VYŠ28/10H·PRO04/11A·VAR12/11H·PŘÍ01/03A·VIK10/03A·ART16/03H·HAN29/03A·SIG07/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.860.710.250.75
vs Stronger (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.850.830.830.140.86
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W02L10W11D20W10W10W11D23LH·HAN08/10A·ART21/10H·SIG29/10A·VLA04/11H·TÁB12/11H·PRO03/03A·CHR09/03H·VAR17/03A·ZBR29/03H·VYŠ07/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.970.940.940.711.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.790.930.930.930.620.92
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DP (13)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
OPA wins
1
Draws
2
SPI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Opava vs Sparta Praha II · H/A from OPA
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23ASparta Praha II Vs OPA0-0
19/04/23HOPA Vs Sparta Praha II1-2
18/09/22ASparta Praha II Vs OPA1-0

OpavaOpava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24ASigma Olomouc II Vs OPA1-0
29/03/24HOPA Vs Hanácká1-1
16/03/24AArtis Vs OPA3-0
10/03/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs OPA1-1
01/03/24HOPA Vs Příbram1-0
12/11/23AVarnsdorf Vs OPA2-1
04/11/23HOPA Vs Prostějov1-2
28/10/23AVyškov Vs OPA1-3
21/10/23HOPA Vs Táborsko0-1
07/10/23AChrudim Vs OPA1-0

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24HSPI Vs Vyškov5-3
29/03/24AZbrojovka Brno Vs SPI2-3
17/03/24HSPI Vs Varnsdorf1-2
09/03/24AChrudim Vs SPI0-2
03/03/24HSPI Vs Prostějov4-0
12/11/23HSPI Vs Táborsko2-1
04/11/23AVlašim Vs SPI0-1
29/10/23HSPI Vs Sigma Olomouc II0-2
21/10/23AArtis Vs SPI4-2
08/10/23HSPI Vs Hanácká1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.20
HomeWLLWD1.48
AwayWLDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals1.902.161.64
Over 1.5 %54%64%44%
Over 2.5 %30%40%20%
Over 3.5 %8%8%8%
Scored0.921.200.64
Conceded0.980.961.00
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.36
HomeLWWLW1.54
AwayDLWWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals2.782.583.00
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.341.381.29
Conceded1.441.191.71
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3060
60%
2.0
5529+26
2.8
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.0
-
2Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3057
60%
1.9
4938+11
2.9
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3TáborskoTáborsko3049
43%
1.6
4126+15
2.2
60%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4VyškovVyškov3047
43%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5ChrudimChrudim3042
37%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6OpavaOpava3040
37%
1.3
3636+0
2.4
63%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.4
-
8ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3434+0
2.3
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.11.1
-
9Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
37%
1.3
4142-1
2.8
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.41.4
-
10Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
4451-7
3.2
80%
50%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.7
-
11Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3037
33%
1.2
5258-6
3.7
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
37%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
73%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.7
-
13PříbramPříbram3037
37%
1.2
3243-11
2.5
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
14VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3036
27%
1.2
5150+1
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3035
30%
1.2
4246-4
2.9
77%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
16HanáckáHanácká3025
20%
0.8
3353-20
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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