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Opava vs Ústí nad Labem Result & Analysis

Date: 17/10/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 3-3
Opava
Opava
Vs
52%
25%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Opava win✗ Miss
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem win✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OpavaOpava

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D32W22D00D00D31W10W11D40W01LA·PRO30/07H·CHR02/08H·VIK09/08A·SOK13/08A·VYS16/08H·VLA23/08H·BAN15/09A·SLA21/09H·SPA27/09A·HAN04/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.971.731.070.400.87
vs Stronger (5)0.801.00--0.801.00
vs Similar (25)1.120.961.731.070.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W02L12L54W32W11D12L02L11D01LA·BAN13/08H·ART18/08A·TÁB23/08A·KRÁ27/08H·ČES31/08A·CHR13/09H·PRO19/09H·ZLI24/09A·VIK28/09H·ZBR03/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.722.001.902.381.50
vs Stronger (2)4.004.003.004.005.004.00
vs Similar (14)1.711.211.621.381.831.00
vs Weaker (2)3.503.004.004.003.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
Opava goals ↓
Ústí nad Labem goals →
01234
06.6%5.0%3.4%1.2%0.3%
18.9%12%6.0%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
35.3%5.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
42.4%2.6%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Opava goals (down), columns = Ústí nad Labem goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zbrojovka Brno
2.53
Táborsko
1.77
Artis
1.73
Ústí nad Labem
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.57
Příbram
1.53
Opava
1.47
Viktoria Žižkov
1.37
Slavia Praha II
1.27
Vlašim
1.27
Chrudim
1.17
České Budějovice
1.13
Hanácká
1.13
Prostějov
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
0.97
Sparta Praha II
0.83
Opava is 0.13 points worse than Ústí nad Labem in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zbrojovka Brno
2.07
Ústí nad Labem
1.77
Artis
1.67
Táborsko
1.63
Baník Ostrava II
1.50
Opava
1.40
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Vlašim
1.37
Chrudim
1.27
Viktoria Žižkov
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.07
Hanácká
1.07
Prostějov
1.07
České Budějovice
1.03
Příbram
0.97
Sparta Praha II
0.90
Opava is 0.37 goals worse than Ústí nad Labem in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zbrojovka Brno
0.73
Příbram
1.00
Opava
1.03
Táborsko
1.10
Vlašim
1.13
Artis
1.23
Baník Ostrava II
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
České Budějovice
1.43
Hanácká
1.43
Prostějov
1.47
Ústí nad Labem
1.53
Slavia Praha II
1.57
Chrudim
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.73
Sparta Praha II
1.80
Opava is 0.50 goals better than Ústí nad Labem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OpavaOpava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D22D00D00D20W10W01L20W00DA·PRO30/07H·CHR02/08H·VIK09/08A·SOK13/08A·VYS16/08H·VLA23/08H·BAN15/09A·SLA21/09H·SPA27/09A·HAN04/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.930.670.270.33
vs Stronger (5)0.400.20--0.400.20
vs Similar (25)0.640.560.930.670.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L21W00D10W01L01L10W01LA·BAN13/08H·ART18/08A·TÁB23/08A·KRÁ27/08H·ČES31/08A·CHR13/09H·PRO19/09H·ZLI24/09A·VIK28/09H·ZBR03/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.280.781.100.801.500.75
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.003.002.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.000.570.750.621.330.50
vs Weaker (2)3.001.004.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OpavaOpava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D00D00D11D00D10W20W01LA·PRO30/07H·CHR02/08H·VIK09/08A·SOK13/08A·VYS16/08H·VLA23/08H·BAN15/09A·SLA21/09H·SPA27/09A·HAN04/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.800.400.130.53
vs Stronger (5)0.400.80--0.400.80
vs Similar (25)0.480.400.800.400.000.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D33D32W01L11D01L01L00DA·BAN13/08H·ART18/08A·TÁB23/08A·KRÁ27/08H·ČES31/08A·CHR13/09H·PRO19/09H·ZLI24/09A·VIK28/09H·ZBR03/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.940.901.100.880.75
vs Stronger (2)2.502.002.001.003.003.00
vs Similar (14)0.710.640.880.750.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.004.001.000.00
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Opava and Ústí nad Labem have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
Opava and Ústí nad Labem have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
Opava and Ústí nad Labem have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
Opava and Ústí nad Labem have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OPA wins
0
Draws
0
ÚNL wins

Head-to-head

Opava vs Ústí nad Labem · H/A from OPA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OpavaOpava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25AHanácká Vs OPA1-0
27/09/25HOPA Vs Sparta Praha II4-0
21/09/25ASlavia Praha II Vs OPA1-1
15/09/25HOPA Vs Baník Ostrava II1-0
23/08/25HOPA Vs Vlašim3-1
16/08/25AVysočina Jihlava Vs OPA0-0
13/08/25ASokol Lanžhot Vs OPA0-0
09/08/25HOPA Vs Viktoria Žižkov2-2
02/08/25HOPA Vs Chrudim3-2
30/07/25AProstějov Vs OPA0-0

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/25HÚNL Vs Zbrojovka Brno0-1
28/09/25AViktoria Žižkov Vs ÚNL1-1
24/09/25HÚNL Vs Zlin0-2
19/09/25HÚNL Vs Prostějov1-2
13/09/25AChrudim Vs ÚNL1-1
31/08/25HÚNL Vs České Budějovice3-2
27/08/25AKrálův Dvůr Vs ÚNL4-5
23/08/25ATáborsko Vs ÚNL2-1
18/08/25HÚNL Vs Artis0-2
13/08/25ABaník Sokolov Vs ÚNL0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.44
HomeWDWWW1.80
AwayDDDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals2.342.881.80
Over 1.5 %62%72%52%
Over 2.5 %48%68%28%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.241.800.68
Conceded1.101.081.12
BTTS46%64%28%
Clean Sheet38%28%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.50
HomeLWLLL1.30
AwayWLWDD1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%50%
AVG goals3.893.903.88
Over 1.5 %94%90%100%
Over 2.5 %67%70%62%
Over 3.5 %39%40%38%
Scored2.172.002.38
Conceded1.721.901.50
BTTS67%60%75%
Clean Sheet17%10%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3076
80%
2.5
6222+40
2.8
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.10.7
-
2TáborskoTáborsko3053
53%
1.8
4933+16
2.7
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.1
-
3ArtisArtis3052
50%
1.7
5037+13
2.9
87%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.71.2
-
4Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem3048
50%
1.6
5346+7
3.3
90%
73%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
5Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3047
47%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.3
-
6PříbramPříbram3046
43%
1.5
2930-1
2.0
63%
30%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
7OpavaOpava3044
37%
1.5
4231+11
2.4
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.0
-
8Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3041
40%
1.4
3852-14
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.7
-
9VlašimVlašim3038
33%
1.3
4134+7
2.5
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.1
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3038
37%
1.3
4247-5
3.0
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.6
-
11ChrudimChrudim3035
30%
1.2
3850-12
2.9
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
12HanáckáHanácká3034
33%
1.1
3243-11
2.5
63%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
13České BudějoviceČeské Budějovice3034
33%
1.1
3143-12
2.5
70%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
14ProstějovProstějov3030
20%
1.0
3244-12
2.5
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3029
23%
1.0
3239-7
2.4
80%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
16Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3025
23%
0.8
2754-27
2.7
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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