Opava are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with a 46% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of a Jihlava win. The model’s pick is a home win, and the match is expected to see about 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.1% chance.
Home side Opava have scored an average of 1.89 goals and conceded 1.22 against similarly strong opponents, while away Vysočina Jihlava have managed 1.58 goals and yielded 1.42 at home. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Under 5.5 (94.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.1%), Home +2 handicap (89.0%) and Under 4.5 (86.0%). The home team’s recent form shows a draw after a 3-3 draw with Slavia Praha II, while the visitors are coming off a 1-3 defeat to Dukla Praha.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Opava win
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava win
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Opava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.93
1.14
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
1.00
2.33
0.67
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.27
1.89
1.22
0.62
1.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vysočina Jihlava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.23
1.14
1.00
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.80
0.50
1.50
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.17
1.25
0.92
1.58
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
Opava goals ↓
Vysočina Jihlava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
6.3%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
1
9.2%
13%
6.8%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.4%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.3%
4.9%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Opava goals (down), columns = Vysočina Jihlava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Opava is 0.17 points worse than Vysočina Jihlava in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Opava is 0.17 goals better than Vysočina Jihlava in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Opava is 0.67 goals worse than Vysočina Jihlava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Opava or Draw
73.5%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Opava + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Opava or Vysočina Jihlava
72.6%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Opava + Vysočina Jihlava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vysočina Jihlava
53.9%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Draw + Vysočina Jihlava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Opava over/under 0.5
Over
79.3%
Under
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5
Over
46.7%
Under
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5
Over
21.0%
Under
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Opava, so a minus line means Opava give that many goals of a start and Vysočina Jihlava receive them. At -1, Opava must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Opava win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Opava)
Opava -2
10.0%
Draw -2
14.3%
Vysočina Jihlava +2
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Opava)
Opava -1
24.3%
Draw -1
21.8%
Vysočina Jihlava +1
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Opava)
Opava +1
73.5%
Draw +1
15.5%
Vysočina Jihlava -1
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Opava)
Opava +2
89.0%
Draw +2
7.6%
Vysočina Jihlava -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Opava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.21
0.71
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.64
1.33
0.78
0.23
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vysočina Jihlava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
0.92
0.42
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Opava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.64
0.56
0.44
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vysočina Jihlava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.36
0.57
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Opava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Opava and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Opava and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Opava and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Opava and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
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Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vlašim
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov