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Orijent 1919 vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo Result & Analysis

Date: 06/09/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-1
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Orijent 1919 are the clear favourites to win at home, with a 42% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 29% for Bsk Bijelo Brdo to come away with victory. The model expects a modest 2.5 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.8% probability. Orijent’s home form shows they average 1.83 goals scored and concede 1.0 against opponents of similar strength, while Bsk Bijelo Brdo, playing away, averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.07 conceded versus comparable teams. The suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 74.8% chance and Over 1.5 with a 73.4% chance. The match is poised for a balanced contest, with Orijent’s recent win over Dinamo Zagreb U21 hinting at momentum, while Bsk Bijelo Brdo’s draw against HNK Cibalia suggests resilience. The overall shape points to a tight game where the home side’s edge could decide the outcome.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Orijent 1919, failed to deliver, as the match ended in a 1-1 draw. The model had picked a home win with a 42% probability, but that call was wrong. The game was a tidy 1-1, matching the most likely score of 1-1 that the model assigned a 13.8% chance. The under 3.5 goal selection, with a 74.8% probability, hit, while the over 1.5 goal pick, at 73.4%, also hit. Orijent’s recent form, coming off a win, and Bsk Bijelo Brdo’s recent draw, set the stage for the unexpected stalemate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orijent 1919 win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W32W11D00D21W41W40W41W13LA·DUB19/04H·SES27/04A·OPA02/05H·VUK10/05A·RUD17/05H·BSK24/05A·JAR31/05A·DUG16/08H·HRV23/08A·RUD29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.031.641.001.691.06
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.501.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.781.071.831.001.731.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W50W31W30W23L12L21W40W11D00DA·CRO19/04A·JAR26/04H·DUG04/05A·ZRI10/05H·HNK17/05A·ORI24/05H·DUB30/05H·OPA16/08A·SES22/08H·HNK31/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.001.290.861.501.12
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.480.961.310.851.641.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
Orijent 1919 goals ↓
Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals →
01234
09.1%7.7%5.1%1.9%0.5%
19.8%14%7.1%2.7%0.8%
27.8%8.9%5.0%1.9%0.5%
33.7%4.2%2.4%0.9%0.3%
41.3%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orijent 1919 goals (down), columns = Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Orijent 1919 is 0.12 points worse than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Orijent 1919 is 0.30 goals better than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Orijent 1919 is 0.33 goals worse than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W10W00D21W21W20W10W03LA·DUB19/04H·SES27/04A·OPA02/05H·VUK10/05A·RUD17/05H·BSK24/05A·JAR31/05A·DUG16/08H·HRV23/08A·RUD29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.860.290.750.56
vs Stronger (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.850.480.920.330.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W30W21W03L12L11D10W10W00DH·RUD13/04A·CRO19/04A·JAR26/04H·DUG04/05H·HNK17/05A·ORI24/05H·DUB30/05H·OPA16/08A·SES22/08H·HNK31/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.470.530.730.60
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.590.500.500.850.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W22D01L00D00D20W20W31W10WA·DUB19/04H·SES27/04A·OPA02/05H·VUK10/05A·RUD17/05H·BSK24/05A·JAR31/05A·DUG16/08H·HRV23/08A·RUD29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.790.710.940.50
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.930.590.920.670.930.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D20W10W20W00D10W30W01L00DH·RUD13/04A·CRO19/04A·JAR26/04H·DUG04/05H·HNK17/05A·ORI24/05H·DUB30/05H·OPA16/08A·SES22/08H·HNK31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.870.400.670.60
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)0.780.440.860.430.690.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Orijent 1919 and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Orijent 1919 and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
Orijent 1919 and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Orijent 1919 and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
O1 wins
4
Draws
1
BBB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Orijent 1919 vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo · H/A from O1
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/25HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-1
01/03/25HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-2
05/10/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O10-0
12/05/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O10-0
17/02/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O12-2
23/09/23HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
20/05/23HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-1
19/11/22ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O10-0

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ARudes Vs O13-1
23/08/25HO1 Vs Hrvace4-1
16/08/25ADugopolje Vs O10-4
31/05/25AJarun Vs O11-4
24/05/25HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-1
17/05/25ARudes Vs O10-0
10/05/25HO1 Vs Vukovar1-1
02/05/25AOpatija Vs O12-3
27/04/25HO1 Vs Sesvete2-0
19/04/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs O10-1

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25HBBB Vs HNK Cibalia0-0
22/08/25ASesvete Vs BBB1-1
16/08/25HBBB Vs Opatija4-0
30/05/25HBBB Vs Dubrava Zagreb2-1
24/05/25AOrijent 1919 Vs BBB2-1
17/05/25HBBB Vs HNK Cibalia2-3
10/05/25AZrinski Jurjevac Vs BBB0-3
04/05/25HBBB Vs Dugopolje3-1
26/04/25AJarun Vs BBB0-5
19/04/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs BBB1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.64
HomeWWDWW1.68
AwayWDWWL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.282.202.36
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.381.401.36
Conceded0.900.801.00
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.44
HomeWLWWD1.52
AwayWWWLD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.542.362.72
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.261.241.28
Conceded1.281.121.44
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
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Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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