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Orijent 1919 vs Karlovac 1919 Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 1-0
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Vs
49%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Orijent 1919 is expected to secure a home win, backed by a 49% probability of victory. The match is likely to be a low-scoring, tactical affair with a predicted total of 2.6 goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring 13.3% of the time.

Orijent 1919 has been scoring 1.21 goals per game at home, conceding 1.14, particularly against similar-strength opponents. Karlovac 1919, on the other hand, has been scoring 1 goal per game away from home, while conceding 1.77 goals, especially when facing similar-strength opponents.

The model's selection is the Home win, with the draw at 28% and the away win at 23%. The Under 3.5 model selection has a probability of 74.4%, while the Over 1.5 model selection has a 73.7% chance of missing. The home win percentage is 49%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 23%.

Results analysis

Orijent 1919's win extends their run of form, coming off a convincing 3-0 victory over Dugopolje. The final score was 1-0, with the home win being the correct actual result. The model's call was correct, as it had predicted a home win with a 49% probability, making it the favourite. The model's selection, Home win, was the correct outcome.

The model's selection for Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 74.4% probability, while the selection for Over 1.5 goals missed, with a 73.7% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orijent 1919 win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W12L32W11D02L11D04L01L01LH·DUB07/03A·KAR13/03A·SES20/03H·RUD29/03A·BSK04/04A·JAR12/04H·OPA19/04A·HRV25/04H·CRO02/05A·DUB09/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.211.141.061.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.131.271.211.141.061.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W03L01L02L50W10W12L03L03L03LA·HNK08/03H·ORI13/03H·HRV20/03A·CRO28/03H·DUB02/04H·BSK10/04A·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.440.941.001.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.231.331.440.941.001.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0 ✓
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
Orijent 1919 goals ↓
Karlovac 1919 goals →
01234
08.9%6.5%3.9%1.3%0.3%
111%13%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.4%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.9%4.9%2.5%0.8%0.2%
41.9%1.9%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orijent 1919 goals (down), columns = Karlovac 1919 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Orijent 1919 is 0.12 points worse than Karlovac 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Orijent 1919 and Karlovac 1919 are level in goals scored per game (both 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Orijent 1919 is 0.12 goals better than Karlovac 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L22D10W01L11D03L00D00DH·DUB07/03A·KAR13/03A·SES20/03H·RUD29/03A·BSK04/04A·JAR12/04H·OPA19/04A·HRV25/04H·CRO02/05A·DUB09/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.500.500.500.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.600.500.500.500.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L01L30W10W02L03L03L01LA·HNK08/03H·ORI13/03H·HRV20/03A·CRO28/03H·DUB02/04H·BSK10/04A·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.620.440.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.670.620.440.430.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D10W01L01L00D01L01L01LH·DUB07/03A·KAR13/03A·SES20/03H·RUD29/03A·BSK04/04A·JAR12/04H·OPA19/04A·HRV25/04H·CRO02/05A·DUB09/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.710.640.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.670.710.640.560.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W02L00D01L20W00D10W00D00D02LA·HNK08/03H·ORI13/03H·HRV20/03A·CRO28/03H·DUB02/04H·BSK10/04A·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.810.500.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.670.810.500.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (38)
€5m
SES (57)
€5m
O1 (36)
€5m
BBB (30)
€4m
RUD (35)
€4m
DUG (43)
€4m
CZ (43)
€4m
HC (29)
€4m
K1 (44)
€4m
HRV (52)
€3m
OPA (39)
€3m
Orijent 1919's squad is €1m more valuable than Karlovac 1919's (€5m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O1 (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O1 (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O1 (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
O1 wins
1
Draws
0
K1 wins

Head-to-head

Orijent 1919 vs Karlovac 1919 · H/A from O1
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs O10-3
18/10/25HO1 Vs Karlovac 19191-1

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs O11-0
02/05/26HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-1
25/04/26AHrvace Vs O14-0
19/04/26HO1 Vs Opatija1-1
12/04/26AJarun Vs O12-0
04/04/26ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O11-1
29/03/26HO1 Vs Rudes3-2
20/03/26ASesvete Vs O12-1
13/03/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs O10-3
07/03/26HO1 Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26HK1 Vs Rudes0-3
01/05/26ASesvete Vs K13-0
24/04/26HK1 Vs Dugopolje0-3
18/04/26AHNK Cibalia Vs K12-1
10/04/26HK1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
02/04/26HK1 Vs Dubrava Zagreb5-0
28/03/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs K12-0
20/03/26HK1 Vs Hrvace0-1
13/03/26HK1 Vs Orijent 19190-3
08/03/26AHNK Cibalia Vs K11-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.44
HomeLDWDL1.44
AwayLDLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.502.442.56
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.361.361.36
Conceded1.141.081.20
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.30
HomeLWWLL1.75
AwayLWLLL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%56%21%
AVG goals2.572.382.79
Over 1.5 %73%56%93%
Over 2.5 %53%44%64%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.231.441.00
Conceded1.330.941.79
BTTS37%19%57%
Clean Sheet27%44%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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