Orsha vs Slonim Result & Analysis

Orsha and Slonim face a razor-thin contest, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 39% for Orsha, 26% for a draw, and 34% for Slonim, making a home victory the most likely outcome. The expected total is three goals, but the most probable total is two, with a 23% chance of that figure. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 12.1% probability. In terms of recent form, Orsha is coming off a win and has averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against similarly matched opponents at home, while Slonim, after a defeat, averages 1 goal scored and 2 conceded on the road against similar teams. The model’s selection is an 81.9% chance of Over 1.5 goals. All figures are presented in percentages, with no other outcomes or selections mentioned.

The upset came early as Orsha, the pre-match favourite, failed to secure the win they were tipped for, with Slonim snatching a 1-2 victory. The model had picked a home win with a 39% chance, but that call was wrong. The match delivered the only suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, which hit with an 81.9% probability. Orsha entered the game on a win, having just beaten Slonim 2-1, while Slonim came off a 1-2 defeat. The final score of 1-2 gave Slonim the away win, confirming the model’s prediction of an upset and the accuracy of the over-goals selection.