Osasuna are tipped to lift the win in a tight La Liga clash, with the model favouring a home victory. The average goal expectation sits at 2.7, pointing to a modestly high-scoring affair, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.1 % chance. Osasuna’s home form shows 1.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Levante’s away record is 1.0 scored and 1.64 conceded. The home win probability is 47 %, the draw 27 %, and the away win 26 %. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8 %, edge 2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1 %, edge 3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.1 %, edge 1 %), Under 6.5 (96.7 %, edge 0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 %, edge 4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.6 %, edge 4 %) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.3 %, edge 2 %). Both sides have struggled recently, with Osasuna losing five straight games and Levante losing two before a win streak, setting the stage for a cautious, low-scoring encounter.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Osasuna, fell short as the match finished 0-0, a draw that extended both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model had tipped a home win with a 47 % probability, but that call proved incorrect. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.1 %, Under 6.5 at 96.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.6 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.3 %. The model’s predictions on total goals and individual halves all matched the outcome, underscoring the match’s low-scoring nature.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Osasuna win✗ Miss
46.6%
Avg Implied 50.9% · @ 1.87
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Dafabet
1.88
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.52
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.66
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.56
Unibet
3.55
Levante win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.34
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.60
1xBet
4.57
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Osasuna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.47
1.64
1.36
1.25
1.56
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
2.12
1.40
2.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.15
1.78
1.00
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
1.43
1.00
0.81
1.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.12
0.33
0.67
0.40
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.45
1.35
1.73
1.09
1.11
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.9%
@ 1.33+5.3%
Under 1.5
24.1%
@ 3.19-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.33
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
@ 2.08+4.1%
Under 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.76-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.16
1xBet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
@ 3.63+2.1%
Under 3.5
72.0%
@ 1.27-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.88+4.6%
No
45.8%
@ 1.86-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
888Sport
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
No
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.35+6.0%
1-0
9.6%@ 6.17+2.3%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.89+3.6%
2-0
8.4%@ 8.02+2.8%
0-0 ✓
8.1%@ 9.15+3.1%
1-2
6.6%@ 13.22+3.2%
0-1
6.5%@ 10.26+2.0%
2-2
5.2%@ 14.86+2.2%
Osasuna goals ↓
Levante goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
6.5%
4.2%
1.6%
0.4%
1
9.6%
13%
6.6%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osasuna goals (down), columns = Levante goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Osasuna and Levante are level in average points per game (both 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Osasuna is 0.08 goals worse than Levante in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Osasuna is 0.29 goals better than Levante in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Osasuna is 4.1 percentage points better than Levante in terms of average possession (47% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Osasuna
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levante
For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.0 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osasuna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.6
9.5
4.8
5.1
4.5
25.2
24.9
25.5
vs Stronger (13)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.9
5.7
4.3
23.5
23.3
23.7
vs Similar (35)
8.8
8.4
9.2
4.8
4.9
4.7
25.8
25.4
26.2
vs Weaker (2)
13.5
-
13.5
3.0
-
3.0
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
39%
26%
50%
72%
78%
67%
80%
83%
77%
% under line
61%
74%
50%
28%
22%
33%
20%
17%
23%
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.0
4.6
5.0
4.4
24.7
25.9
23.7
vs Stronger (10)
13.0
10.4
15.6
4.3
4.8
3.8
23.5
25.8
21.2
vs Similar (34)
9.1
9.9
8.4
4.8
4.8
4.8
25.2
26.4
24.1
vs Weaker (6)
9.6
8.5
10.3
4.3
7.0
3.0
24.0
22.0
25.3
% over line
49%
52%
46%
64%
70%
59%
71%
78%
65%
% under line
51%
48%
54%
36%
30%
41%
29%
22%
35%
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.7
Racing Santander
10.6
Alaves
10.5
Real Madrid
10.5
Real Sociedad
10.2
Levante
10.0
Espanyol
9.7
Valencia
9.7
Athletic Club
9.7
Sevilla
9.3
Osasuna
9.1
Villarreal
9.1
Deportivo La Coruna
9.0
Real Betis
9.0
Malaga
9.0
Getafe
8.9
Elche
8.2
Celta Vigo
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.4
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Getafe
5.4
Sevilla
5.3
Malaga
5.2
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Alaves
4.9
Osasuna
4.9
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.9
Real Betis
4.8
Levante
4.8
Athletic Club
4.7
Elche
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Villarreal
4.4
Barcelona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.2
Alaves
28.9
Elche
27.9
Sevilla
27.6
Racing Santander
26.8
Real Sociedad
26.6
Espanyol
25.9
Rayo Vallecano
25.8
Athletic Club
25.5
Osasuna
25.3
Celta Vigo
24.9
Levante
24.8
Villarreal
24.6
Malaga
24.6
Valencia
24.4
Real Madrid
24.1
Real Betis
23.7
Deportivo La Coruna
23.6
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.0%
@ 2.05-0.5%
Under 9.5
55.0%
@ 1.71+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.2%
@ 1.38+4.8%
Under 3.5
27.8%
@ 2.85-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Betano
2.90
Superbet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.7%
Under 21.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Osasuna or Draw✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 77.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
-0.0%
47%
28%
26%
covers Osasuna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Osasuna or Levante✗ Miss
75.1%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.29
Edge
+1.5%
47%
28%
26%
covers Osasuna + Levante
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
Draw or Levante✓ Hit
47.4%
Avg Implied 48.8% · @ 1.94
Edge
-1.4%
47%
28%
26%
covers Draw + Levante
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.01
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Osasuna over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
84.1%
@ 1.20+6.2%
Under
15.9%
@ 4.23-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.56
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
888Sport
4.20
Osasuna over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.9%
@ 2.00+8.1%
Under
45.1%
@ 1.76-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Osasuna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.0%
@ 4.24+6.0%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.20-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.41
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Osasuna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 9.76+1.9%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.04-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.25
Superbet
9.40
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
Levante over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.1%
@ 1.53+7.4%
Under
31.9%
@ 2.37-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Under
Unibet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.45
Betfair
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Levante over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
@ 3.65+6.1%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.26-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.99
Marathonbet
3.82
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Levante over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 10.13+1.6%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.03-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
12.00
Marathonbet
11.75
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
11.00
Superbet
9.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Unibet
1.03
Levante over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 25.50-0.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
30.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Osasuna, so a minus line means Osasuna give that many goals of a start and Levante receive them. At -1, Osasuna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Osasuna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Osasuna)Actual: Levante
Osasuna -2
14.0%
@ 7.30+1.6%
Draw -2
16.4%
@ 5.32-0.6%
Levante +2
69.6%
@ 1.28-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Unibet
5.00
Away
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Osasuna)Actual: Levante
Osasuna -1
30.4%
@ 3.37+3.6%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.49-3.8%
Levante +1
47.4%
@ 1.92+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Superbet
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.55
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Handicap +1 (Osasuna)Actual: Osasuna
Osasuna +1
77.5%
@ 1.21+4.4%
Draw +1
13.4%
@ 5.26-3.5%
Levante -1
9.1%
@ 8.90-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.40
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Osasuna)Actual: Osasuna
Osasuna +2
90.9%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Draw +2
6.3%
@ 11.67-1.6%
Levante -2
2.8%
@ 26.33-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Betfair
34.00
Bet365
26.00
10Bet
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Osasuna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.45
0.56
0.44
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.43
0.57
0.31
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.75
0.00
0.33
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.75
0.55
0.64
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.42+3.7%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.76-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.88
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Unibet
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.1%
@ 2.98+0.7%
Under 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.37-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.15
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 7.81-0.6%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.06+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
9.00
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osasuna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 1.85+4.3%
Under
45.4%
@ 1.88-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Osasuna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 5.28-3.6%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.12+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.40
Unibet
5.20
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Osasuna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 13.50-3.3%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Levante over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.0%
@ 2.69+3.5%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.42-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.65
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Levante over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 10.33-1.4%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.03+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Superbet
9.90
Unibet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Levante over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 30.00-2.1%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Betano
15.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Osasuna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
1.00
0.93
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.62
0.60
1.60
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.70
1.22
0.56
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
-
-
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
1.00
0.43
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.38
0.33
0.33
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.60
1.18
0.45
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.7%
@ 1.27+7.8%
Under 0.5
18.3%
@ 3.59-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Under
Unibet
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.0%
@ 2.24+5.1%
Under 1.5
53.0%
@ 1.62-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Unibet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 5.06+1.9%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.15-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
888Sport
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osasuna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.1%
@ 1.59+4.6%
Under
36.9%
@ 2.24-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Osasuna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 3.85-1.7%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.22+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Osasuna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 9.25-3.7%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Levante over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.4%
@ 2.22+5.5%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.60-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.23
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Levante over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 7.40-1.5%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Levante over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 19.75-3.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.7%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.8%
1.02
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
1.04
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Unibet
1.03
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.7%
1.15
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.1%
1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.8%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.27
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
+7.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.5%
1.22
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.5%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
1.23
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.9%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
75.1%
1.29
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.2%
1.38
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
-
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
72.0%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.0%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Osasuna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Budimir67%
Kike Barja33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Rubén García0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Raúl García de Haro0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Herrera67%
Kike Barja67%
Jon Moncayola33%
Raúl García de Haro33%
Jorge Herrando33%
Iker Muñoz33%
Lucas Torró0%
Rubén García0%
Ante Budimir0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raúl García de Haro33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Rubén García0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Kike Barja0%
Ante Budimir0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rubén García33%
Ante Budimir33%
Raúl García de Haro33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Kike Barja0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Levante
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián de la Fuente33%
Enzo Bardeli33%
Jon Ander Olasagasti33%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Iván Romero0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeremy Toljan33%
Iván Romero33%
Adrián de la Fuente0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Jon Ander Olasagasti0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Bardeli33%
Jon Ander Olasagasti33%
Etta Eyong33%
Adrián de la Fuente0%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Iván Romero0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrián de la Fuente33%
Iván Romero33%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Jon Ander Olasagasti0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Osasuna's squad is €18m less valuable than Levante's (€71m vs €89m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Osasuna's attack is €26m less valuable than Levante's (€25m vs €51m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Osasuna's midfield is €4m less valuable than Levante's (€12m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Osasuna's defence is €11m more valuable than Levante's (€33m vs €22m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Sevilla
Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Getafe
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Malaga