This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.17
1.88
1.19
1.21
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.69
1.15
2.00
1.12
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (17)
1.47
1.18
1.75
1.25
1.22
1.11
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
Osasuna goals ↓
Rayo Vallecano goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
8.1%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.8%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.4%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.0%
3.8%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osasuna goals (down), columns = Rayo Vallecano goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Osasuna is 0.29 points worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.81).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Osasuna is 0.55 goals worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Osasuna is 0.33 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Osasuna
For 4.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 17.2 · Total 31.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
For 3.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osasuna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.0
7.9
5.6
6.0
5.2
27.9
27.4
28.3
vs Stronger (7)
8.0
8.2
7.7
4.0
4.5
3.3
20.4
20.0
21.0
vs Similar (28)
8.3
9.3
7.4
5.4
5.8
5.0
28.9
28.6
29.2
vs Weaker (15)
9.0
9.0
9.0
6.7
7.1
6.3
29.4
29.2
29.6
% over line
40%
48%
32%
82%
88%
76%
82%
80%
84%
% under line
60%
52%
68%
18%
12%
24%
18%
20%
16%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.2
2.4
2.4
2.5
28.0
28.0
28.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
9.3
9.1
9.5
2.4
2.9
1.8
29.1
30.7
26.2
vs Weaker (26)
9.8
10.7
9.0
2.5
1.8
3.1
27.1
24.8
29.0
% over line
50%
46%
55%
30%
28%
32%
88%
92%
82%
% under line
50%
54%
45%
70%
72%
68%
12%
8%
18%
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valladolid
11.0
Almeria
10.9
Huesca
10.9
Zaragoza
10.8
Rayo Vallecano
10.7
Numancia
10.5
Lugo
10.3
Sporting Gijon
10.1
Barcelona B
10.1
Granada CF
10.0
Tenerife
9.8
Cadiz
9.8
Mallorca
9.8
Cordoba
9.6
Alcorcon
9.6
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Gimnastic
9.2
Albacete
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Sevilla B
8.8
Reus Deportiu
8.7
Osasuna
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
6.4
Tenerife
5.8
Huesca
5.7
Valladolid
5.7
Osasuna
5.6
Oviedo
5.5
Gimnastic
5.5
Lugo
5.5
Almeria
5.4
Albacete
5.3
Numancia
5.2
Mallorca
5.2
Rayo Vallecano
5.2
Granada CF
5.2
Cadiz
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Alcorcon
5.1
Barcelona B
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.6
Cultural Leonesa
4.6
Cordoba
4.2
Reus Deportiu
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
33.7
Alcorcon
32.8
Lugo
32.5
Tenerife
32.1
Valladolid
31.6
Oviedo
31.2
Mallorca
31.0
Almeria
30.2
Gimnastic
30.2
Cordoba
30.0
Cultural Leonesa
29.9
Zaragoza
29.7
Reus Deportiu
29.5
Sevilla B
29.2
Cadiz
29.1
Sporting Gijon
29.1
Huesca
28.8
Granada CF
28.3
Numancia
27.9
Osasuna
27.9
Rayo Vallecano
27.7
Barcelona B
27.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.1%
Under 9.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
82.2%
Under 3.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.0%
Under 21.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Osasuna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.86
0.71
0.71
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.33
0.75
0.50
0.14
0.14
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.81
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.62
1.00
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
0.59
0.41
0.62
0.50
0.56
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osasuna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Osasuna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.93
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
5.00
-
-
1.00
5.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.50
1.29
0.43
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.73
0.62
1.00
0.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.06
0.69
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.54
1.00
0.62
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.76
1.12
0.75
0.67
0.78
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osasuna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Osasuna · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Budimir67%
Kike Barja33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Rubén García0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Raúl García de Haro0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Herrera67%
Kike Barja67%
Jon Moncayola33%
Raúl García de Haro33%
Jorge Herrando33%
Iker Muñoz33%
Lucas Torró0%
Rubén García0%
Ante Budimir0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raúl García de Haro33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Rubén García0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Kike Barja0%
Ante Budimir0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rubén García33%
Ante Budimir33%
Raúl García de Haro33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Kike Barja0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Rayo Vallecano · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Camello67%
Álvaro García33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Camello33%
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Fran Pérez33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Jorge de Frutos33%
Sergio Camello0%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Fran Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergio Camello33%
Florian Lejeune33%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Álvaro García0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Osasuna's squad is €5m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€71m vs €76m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Osasuna's attack is €5m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€25m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Osasuna's midfield is €3m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€12m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Osasuna's defence is €3m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€33m vs €36m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →